In my latest note, I break down Marqeta, my core thesis for the company, and its relationship with Square.. both the good and the bad aspects

$MQ - Marqeta: Massive Growth Ahead seekingalpha.com/article/447382…
$MQ's modern card issuing Platform is the bridge between fintech solutions and the current payments infrastructure
Core Pillars
1. $MQ is playing a key role in the disruption of the consumer credit ecosystem as its the infrastructure for $AFRM $SQ and @Klarna
2. $45$ Trilllion TAM and $MQ only processors a fraction of that
3. MQ's platform grows with its customers at scale. JIT funding, tokenization, instant virtual card issuance, PCI widgets, spend controls, and many more to come.
4. MQ grows alongside its customers, as MQ incentivizes its customers to process more volume w lower processing fees
More than 10 teams at SQ work w/ MQ and nearly everything $MQ offers touches a part of $SQ

MQ takes solutions that smaller customers suggest and creates something similar for SQ, so it can get the ROI it needs to implement the solution, then it filters it to smaller companies
This is strategic and results in a lot of innovation especially within Marqeta's platform, especially considering the wide breadth of $MQ customers

Non-top 5 customers' revenue increase 220% year-over-year

Revenue contribution from Square is high, 68% in Q3, compared to 72% in Q3 of 2020 and this could remain elevated as Square recently acquired AfterPay which is currently a $MQ customer.
This could be a risk for $MQ, but it also highlights the opportunity for $MQ to have multiple "Square-like" customers in $DASH, $AFRM, Klarna, Ramp, and many more fintechs that may even not exist today.

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More from @SimonSaysStocks

23 Nov
"Your margin is my opportunity." - Jeff Bezos

$AMZN is unmatched when it comes to optimizing its business segments to drive synergies

Amazon processed $475 billion in gross merchandise volume and the eCommerce giant receives ~1.6 million orders a day.

That's a lot of payments
Amazon is known for optimizing its operations and then capitalizing on those services by outsourcing them to other companies or consumers. We've seen this many times, for example with AWS or Amazon's logistics division.

Payments and FinTech are $AMZN's next great profit center
Given how many payments Amazon processes, it only makes sense that it expands to optimize its payment rails so that it can lower prices while removing expenses that were considered as the cost of doing business... interchange fees and the card networks
Read 16 tweets
17 Nov
It’s feeling like a day to have a day!

@Marqeta can’t wait to see what you have to say today! $MQ
Key points from today:

- Marqeta’s a part of the 4 party model (The 4.5th Network)
- “Marqeta is the system of record for its customers’ transactions”
- $MQ generates the message at the POS that’s the same across the world
- Marqeta converts that message sends it to its customer
- $MQ allows companies to become the issuer processor
- “Marqeta brought this to the world and today we process a very small amount of payments”
- Typical issuer processors do a lot more and are usually on-premise solutions rather than Marqeta’s platform which is cloud-based
Read 11 tweets
16 Nov
Zoom's stock has been on a ride since the pandemic

Entering March of 2020, $ZM was trading at $113 and would rise to $270 by August of 2020 and $560 during that October.

Fast forward to now, Zoom's share price is down 31% over the last year and trading under $270
$ZM was once trading at a steep valuation, but now that its price has cooled off, Zoom makes for an intriguing opportunity to invest in a state-of-the-art company with pessimism being priced in by Mr. Market

Zoom's core thesis remains intact

Zoom is on pace to become the default communication platform for enterprises and workplace collaboration

Zoom's founder and CEO Eric Yuan is a former WebEx and was influential in writing developing the platform, but would go on to start Zoom
Read 7 tweets
3 Nov
Keith Rabois came up with the idea for $OPEN in 2003, later to be started in 2013

“Peter [Thiel] said to start a company in residential real estate… Well, it’s the largest asset class in the world that’s been completely unaffected by technology”

Opendoor wanted to prove that they could actually price homes

If they couldn't accurately price homes, the business model would fail, hence why Zillow failed. $Z $ZG

seekingalpha.com/news/3763327-z…
83% of homes are more like commodities, so why can’t they be priced like commodities?

They proved this in 2003 and proved that it could operate this business, even during the financial crisis the model in 2008

Read 8 tweets
2 Nov
Sea Limited is a 3-headed monster

With Garena, Shopee and, SeaMoney, $SE dominates the internet in Southeast Asia

Garena's already profitable, it generated $740M in EBITDA last quarter

Sea guided for $4.6B revenue in digital entertainment bookings for 2021 44% YoY growth
The power of a digital entertainment platform and eCommerce platform, tied together by SeaMoney, its financial services branch, will result in highly attractive products for consumers, merchants, and developers within the Southeast Asia region as well as new key internationally
Sea is creating an extremely strong customer Moat

It is using profits from Garena to drive Shopee’s growth.

How?

International Expansion.

First Latin America and now expanding to Europe (Spain, Poland, and France)
Read 13 tweets
26 Oct
$BKSY thread:

Blacksky is a real-time geospatial intelligence provider and leverages Palantir to generate insights for its customers so they can stay up to date with what's happening anywhere around the world

Blacksky sends small satellites to space to establish its satellite network. The more satellites, the faster the revisit rate.

Currently, Blacksky has 14 satellites in space, with plans to get to 30 satellites by the end of 2022.

👉30 minute revisit by the end of 2022
$BKSY has steadily invested in its satellite network since its inception.

Now Blacksky's solutions are ready to be deployed and it's investing in customer acquisition through partnering with more resellers and focusing on selling direct to clients
Read 10 tweets

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