Good time as any for an update thread on some OTC pharmacological interventions against C19.

Niclosamide inhibits viral replication in human bronchial epithelium with an IC50 at orally hittable (~1g b.i.d.) concentrations.

journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
For references on niclosamide oral hittability see also:



Pulverized, it may even be possible to hit the IC90. Routinely taken at doses up to 2g and very well tolerated for short spans of time.

OTC in Europe & Asia, or online at niclosam dot com.
Ambroxol also hits 50% viral inhibition at extremely low concentrations, and in fact inhibition paradoxically decreases with increasing concentration. Very bioavailable. A little dab (~15mg oral t.i.d.) will do you.

doi.org/10.1101/2020.0…
Bromhexine (left panel above) is mostly metabolized to ambroxol and is more bioavailable, so it works just as well or better at ~8mg t.i.d.



Also available OTC in Europe and Asia, or online at dpkitaoka dot com (search "bromhexine").
Combining the cathepsin inhibitor (niclosamide) and the serine protease inhibitor (bromhexine), yields near-total viral blockade:

>> "the combination of the CTPB inhibitor ... and the TMPRSS2 inhibitor ... reduced viral load to less than 0.01%"

doi.org/10.1016/j.omtn…
Both well tolerated, both very obtainable, and in conjunction likely still extremely effective against all variants. A bit pricey but IMO both worth stocking up on, still.

Makes a great Christmas gift!

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More from @unlearnedhands

11 Dec
I have been toward the pessimistic end of the scale in my 'rona takes, and mostly borne out. But here is an incomplete list of things I never would have guessed would be true at T+2 years in:
1) That IPAC people would still be die-harding in denial about airborne spread.

2) That millions of people would continue to voluntarily die rather than take a vaccine.

3) That virologists would still be spouting bosh about evolution toward mildness and T cell protection.
4) That it would still need repeating that it takes about two weeks for hospitalizations and five weeks for deaths to catch up with cases.

5) That the same people would still say "travel bans are bad" in one breath and "you should limit your contacts" in the next.
Read 6 tweets
17 Oct
I can confirm from a non-programmer perspective that this point generalizes: working as a cook I went from neophyte dishpit recruit to sous-chef in the span of a few years because I spent more effort than 95% of my peers on optimizing frequent tasks for speed.
As an apprentice electrician (~2yrs exp) I'm now trusted with journeyman-level work and have been told by multiple people that I'll be running jobs the moment I've got my red seal, for exactly the same reason: high (speed * accuracy) factor. It's one of the most portable skills.
Of course both of these fields aren't thought of as ones where having better ideas is important, but it remains true that in both venues the fact that I can execute quickly means I can move along the learning curve to more advanced things more rapidly.
Read 6 tweets
16 Oct
Lordy, the quantity theory of money just needs to die already.

On the one hand PQ ~ M is necessarily true, but the way it's presented always implies that it is M that drives P and not the other way around. Wicksell showed that was wrong in 1898 and the case has not improved.
If you never bother to inquire into the mechanism by which M changes, you might believe this; once you discover that M is determined completely by bank loans, and ask what determines the volume of bank credit, it becomes obvious that PQ drives M.
More exactly, the term structure of PQ determines current M: borrowers want more liquidity when they expect to have more liabilities coming to maturity, and in proportion to those expected liabilities.

Bank credit is the tip of a funnel whose wide mouth is commercial credit.
Read 14 tweets

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