Alt L1s had a 10,000% year. Development will continue and LT bullish, but profits being distributed year end by funds means large overhang.
ZKR impact on ETH also seems overlooked, wouldn’t write off ETH/altL1 trade yet.
2/ DeFi catalysts
DeFi has already been through a full bear market, with most names down 70-80% against ETH. Who’s left to sell?
L2 proliferation, outside capital being onboarded via projects like @goldfinch_fi, sustainable yield products like @ribbonfinance hard to write off
3/ Gaming froth
No game outside of Axie has the same thriving eco, but almost every game primary + secondary is priced benchmarking $AXS.
Tons of tokens with limited use case trading at blue chip vals ( eg $GALA) with major overhang. Quality and shit both trade down imo
4/ Cross-chain
Hard to disagree here, but if whole market trades down, yields and new yield opps come down, slowing cross-chain volume for current iteration of bridges.
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How to Get Rich in Crypto (without getting lucky):
Inspired by @naval's timeless thread, here are some lessons from 100s of convos I had as an investor and as an interviewer on @theBlockcrunch speaking to people in crypto who "made it".
Whether you're a founder, investor, trader, operator, developer - most people in crypto get rich by the same thing: owning assets that appreciate in value over time.
✅The idea of onboarding billions while preventing sybil via biometrics is powerful.
🚩If profitable enough retinal scans could probably be spoofed and operators have no incentives to stop fraud as they earn commission (ht @richardchen39). Wells Fargo anyone?
✅Using ZKP to preserve biometrics <> address privacy is reassuring.
🚩If biometrics data is stored in a central repository could be a massive honeypot?