Variation over time shows the jump in hospitalizations among unvaccinated people in week ending Dec 4.
I've adjusted the dotted-rate lines to match the long-term averages on the first tweet. Hoping to communicate how things are changing relative to the average.
Numbers on the age group case chart have enough data to be more stable now.
Overall shape is holding, and impact in ages 30-59 remains lowest. All ages still hold a relative rate >4x (>75% eff.) in this period.
New chart this week - death rates adjusted for size of group over time. This isn't age adjusted, so it will tend to *understate* vaccine effectiveness.
The numbers here are smaller than cases, so they're less stable week-to-week, but the effect of vaccines is clear and holding.
I've held off on doing charts on deaths in the past. I don't want to be disrespectful of anyone's loss, and I don't want to seem callous about this.
No one's death is reducible to a statistic. I'm sorry if you've lost someone in this, no matter what choices they made.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
I used to work with a guy who talked about the difference between strategy and tactics. I think a lot of our COVID talk has tended to focus on tactics; what are we doing now, what are we doing next, what works, and what doesn't.
I don't think we talk about strategy that much. Talk of herd immunity has fallen off, and our summer re-opening turned out to be too optimistic.
Today we heard another really excellent call to action - to get boosters to as many people as possible as soon as we can. It's a good call, it's based strongly in the data, and I support it. Go get your shot!