Bull flags are one of my favorite chart patterns. A bull flag is very similar to a flat top breakout, except with one very important difference. Unlike a flat top breakout, a bull flag will experience a slight pullback off the first strong move.
(1/6) Bull Flag Pictured:
(2/5) Stocks that are surging up with high volume, can form bull flags worth trading when they begin to pullback. This puts me into the group of traders who missed the first move but will buy the first & second pullbacks.
(3/5) It's important to not enter a bull flag at the HOD. Some traders will mistake a bull flag for a flat top breakout and wait to buy until the high of day price is hit. When a stock makes a quick move up, a pullback, and then a second move up, a double top is usually formed
(4/5) An important characteristic to watch for on the bull ag is strong volume during the first initial move up, low volume during the pullback, and then high volume as the stock moves back up and through the highs.
(5/5) If you see high volume on the pullback, it may be an indicator that the stock is actually going to reverse, instead of setting up for a second move higher. The high level of volume on the pullback suggests short sellers may be coming into the trade to push it down.
In honor of the New Year commencing, here is a tweet of my favorite threads I posted in 2022. Everything from options basics to charting & candlesticks to @unusual_whales flow, and much more. I hope this helps benefit your 2023 trading!
Although candlestick patterns don't tell the whole story, they can be a great tool to identify short-long term reversals in price action. Knowledge is power! Let's get into it.
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Here are a few of the basic candlesticks patterns everyone should be familiar with & will go further in-depth in this thread.
A+ Setups
An A+ setup to me might be different than what an A+ setup is to you. I like to have 3-4 pieces of conviction to deem something as A+. Examples include:
- Candlestick Patterns
- Charting Patterns
- Supply/Demand Breaks
- Gap Fill Strat/Peaky Strat/Golden Goose etc.
Building a broad watchlist of stocks that I'm interested in trading is a critical part of my preperation for the day. Here's a thread on how I create my watchlist.
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A watchlist is a small to medium list of stocks that align with your guidelines for solid trading setups.
Before the market opens I like to have at least 2-3 tickers with potential setups I will be watching throughout the day.
Pretty simple analysis in my eyes. Going to break it down with a few charts across a few different timeframes.
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Head & Shoulders - Daily Time Frame
Once the 100-102 neckline was broken it was game over. Also, very nice BHG setup on the retest of that neckline November 15th
Rounding Top into Head & Shoulders - Weekly Time Frame
Could've seen this move coming hence the rounding top posted on the weekly time frame. Once the 144 neckline was broken it was a clear move to 100 measured move count.
H&S Peak formed at the previous rounding top neckline
Before placing a trade I always have ideas about my sizing, entries/exits, stop levels & more. By formulating a risk management plan I decrease my risk of losing unnecessary amounts of capital and increase my chances of profitability.
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Risk = the chance that an investment's actual gains will differ from an expected outcome or return.
I like to look at risk as the amount of money you could lose on a trade. If you predetermine how much you are willing to lose, you are able to measure what "loss" means to you.
Determining a Stop Loss:
1. Max pain per trade (Dollar Figure) 2. Key level/area on the chart
Here's a thread on critical trading tactic that I take very seriously. Without consistent uniform sizing, I have noticed, successful trading becomes harder. It's important to come up with a position sizing plan that works for you.
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Position sizing refers to the guide that dictates how much working capital you allocate on a single trade.
Key components to consider:
- Risk Tolerance
- Account Size
- Type of Trade
- Trading Goals
Risk Per Trade:
Everyone is different. Everyone's goals are different. The first question I like to ask myself is how much money am I willing to risk per trade.
I usually choose one or two options: 1. Fixed Amount 2. Percentage of Portfolio