The Tory rebels have already won the argument against 'vaccine passports', even if they lose the vote tonight

My latest for @theipaper
inews.co.uk/opinion/tory-r…
Key issue is what ministers say publicly today.
No.10 insists 'no plans' to change lateral flow test alternative to Covid jjab status.
But more potential rebellion cd be lower if ministers go on record with what PM and Javid told @danny__kruger privately

dannykruger.org.uk/news/statement…
He's finally done it: guarantee of no vaccine-only curbs on access to services.
@sajidjavid just told @Alex_Stafford he would never support 'vaccine passports'.
Says govt will ensure 'there's always an option for lateral flow tests".
"I would not support a vaccine only option"
To be fair it wasn't a guarantee as such, but politically all but impossible for PM to go ahead with any vaccine-only curbs if his Health Secretary has vowed never to support the idea.

Will it be enough to reduce the rebellion tho? Some MPs still worried it's a slippery slope
.@wesstreeting said if govt wanted to extend tests-or-jabs pass to all hospitality, Labour wd look at it if recommended by scientific advisers.
Points out France system works and urges Tory MPs to consider whether "France is not a country that values liberty."
Suspect that will further fuel the Tory rebellion. Especially as he's not ruled out the slippery slope (extending system beyond nightclubs to pubs, restaurants) that many Tory MPs fear.

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More from @paulwaugh

15 Dec
Ouch. @TomTugendhat asks why he's heard Foreign Office facing 10% staff cuts. @BorisJohnson says @trussliz says that's actually "FAKE NEWS!"
Except, it wasn't fake news.
Here's the email to staff.
Will @BorisJohnson come to the Commons to correct the record this afternoon..? Image
.@DavidLammy tells me: "It would appear, not for the first time, the only person spreading fake news is Boris Johnson. The Government is shrinking our diplomatic presence, and the PM can’t even own up to it...
Read 4 tweets
15 Dec
The subplot in yesterday's Tory rebellion could become the main plot of the next election: NHS waiting lists, staff shortages and the Tories' record since 2010.

My latest for @theipaper

inews.co.uk/opinion/nhs-st…
1922 Cttee Treasurer Geoffrey Clinton-Brown put his finger on this on @BBCRadio4 TheWorldTonight.
Suggested @BorisJohnson facing leadership challenge "unless..he can start addressing the really big issues in this country, how do you deal with the backlog in the health service?"
Clifton-Brown said if the PM "came clean on everything" (about No10 parties), had a long term strategy on Covid...he could claw it back. But if he doesn't then I think there will be trouble."
Read 4 tweets
14 Dec
.@BorisJohnson's taken the credit for the NHS vaccine rollout.
But will he take the blame if his pre-Christmas rush on boosters fails to meet his targets?

inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
Senior NHS figures are worried about the new target being unrealistic.

As @oliver_wright and @Smyth_Chris cite NHS sources saying they worry they're being "set up to fail".
thetimes.co.uk/article/we-can…
Asked if this is a "stretch target", @DominicRaab tells @BBCr4today "it is a challenging target, we are not setting easy targets."
Read 4 tweets
12 Dec
Problem for broadcasters who are expected to run the @BorisJohnson statement at 8pm, on boosters programme: there is no opportunity for live Q&A, so feels like PM running scared of scrutiny.
We don't have state run TV in UK, so will they have to give @Keir_Starmer equal airtime?
I understand @Keir_Starmer will be given right of reply. Unclear if it's straight after or later.
.@Keir_Starmer will be doing his own address to the nation at 7pm tonight on @BBCOne
Read 4 tweets
12 Dec
On @TimesRadio, @nadhimzahawi just told @tnewtondunn that if the Tories lose the North Shropshire by-election on Thursday, it would be because it was
"a protest vote" to "send a message" to the Govt.

He just wrote the new @LibDems leaflet.
"Protest away, voters!" "Want to send us a message about No10 parties? Vote against us in North Shropshire!"
Must admit it's a novel approach for a Cabinet minister to deploy the "this is a protest vote" line *before* a by-election, rather than after it.
Read 4 tweets
11 Dec
Excellent issue of @theipaper Weekend today, packed with reports by our politics team.
Splash is by @janemerrick23 inews.co.uk/news/politics/… Image
Brilliant long read on the state of the Conservative party by @HugoGye and @RichardVaughan1 inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
Read 5 tweets

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