And lastly, most ERs are swamped. Many were bad before the pandemic. They’re worse now.
Even those not crushed with Covid.
Today I saw a patient who needed heart surgery before the pandemic but put it off, showing up today when things got much worse. npr.org/sections/healt…
The point is that even if Omicron cases turn out to be milder (which is no guarantee), the sheer number of expected cases can overwhelm an already fragile system.
Previously we asked you to flatten the curve.
But the next curve could truly flatten us.
Sure, we know a lot more know about Covid. We have much more experience treating severe disease and saving lives.
And we aren’t worried about ventilator shortages like March 2020.
But it’s much harder to produce a nurse than a ventilator.
In South Africa 20% of healthcare providers got sidelined with Covid after Omicron started spreading there.
If we experience even a fraction of that loss amongst our already struggling and short-staffed frontline providers, we’re in huge trouble.
Moreover, everything we learned about how to treat Covid over the last two years doesn’t matter much if you have to wait three times as long in the ER.
In many ways we’re much better off than we were in March 2020.
In many others, we’re not.
Whether out of complacency or exhaustion, we ignore this at our own peril.
As an ER doc, I promise you’d rather face the next few months fully vaccinated.
Wear a mask. Rapid test before indoor gatherings. Be safe.
And if you know a healthcare worker, maybe tell them thanks.
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Many would assume our response would be better next time, especially after all we’ve learned.
But that’s not a given.
For me, we face 3 critical weaknesses and vulnerabilities:
1. Eroding trust in public health leadership
2. Misuse of travel bans
3. Global vaccine inequity
1. Eroding trust in public health:
Public health has always been political. But the pandemic pitted one against the other.
No, CDC & FDA haven’t been perfect. But politicians spouting falsehoods have aggressively worked to undermine confidence in our public health institutions
Some thoughts on the new variant, B.1.1.529 (aka ‘Nu’):
First and foremost, there is reason for concern, but nearly everything is still unclear at this moment.
The incredible team of scientists in South Africa that identified the variant along with @WHO and others are doing the research right now to answer 👇 important questions…
Seven years ago today I walked out of the hospital after surviving Ebola.
That day at a news conference—my knees shaking—I begged the world to focus on the still-raging outbreak in West Africa. Instead, when the immediate threat was over, we moved on.
Years later, Covid hit 🧵
There were so many lessons we should've learned from Ebola.
Foremost amongst them was the importance of global solidarity in responding to global health threats.
But that's a lesson we just didn't learn. Instead, we dodged a bullet and we moved on. thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Few people knew that the New York City hospital where I was treated for Ebola had more doctors than Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone—the 3 hardest-hit countries of the Ebola outbreak—COMBINED.
And SO many frontline providers in those countries died of Ebola during the outbreak.
Who likely needs a booster: organ transplant recipients, the immunosuppressed (e.g. on chemotherapy), and some J&J recipients [particularly the elderly].
Everyone else? There’s no data they are indicated yet.
If we want to end the pandemic and make a long-term difference, we need more than just donated doses.
US financial & technical support can help build critical vaccine manufacturing capacity in countries where production is severely limited or nonexistent. doctorswithoutborders.org/what-we-do/new…