Every three weeks or so I get The Fear about breadbasket collapse in a transapocalyptic world.
On schedule:
"[T]hese results suggest that major breadbasket regions will face distinct anthropogenic climatic risks sooner than previously anticipated."
nature.com/articles/s4301…
On schedule:
"[T]hese results suggest that major breadbasket regions will face distinct anthropogenic climatic risks sooner than previously anticipated."
nature.com/articles/s4301…
We should be very wary of interpreting gains (where they exist) as likely realizable in the same way losses are likely.
Your corn crop gets destroyed without new action on your behalf; realizing gains from new crops or conditions requires costly action under deep uncertainty.
Your corn crop gets destroyed without new action on your behalf; realizing gains from new crops or conditions requires costly action under deep uncertainty.
We scientists, experts, and commentators have been so deeply conditioned to avoid appearing "alarmist" that we often lay out OTOH/OTOH treatments of forces that (though complex) are simply worsening humanity's situation.
See, for instance: "longer growing seasons" in the Arctic.
See, for instance: "longer growing seasons" in the Arctic.
That situation is not apocalyptic. It is not too late, and we can still choose to build a better world than the one we've got now.
But almost all the impacts we anticipate (even the ones that may open future opportunities) bring far more losses than gains, in and of themselves.
But almost all the impacts we anticipate (even the ones that may open future opportunities) bring far more losses than gains, in and of themselves.
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