Working on the oligarchic coup in Athens, 411 BCE, 8.66-69, as I notice news of Manchin's rejection of BBB. Lattimore's translation:
"as the work of numerous intelligent men, the undertaking not unnaturally went forward, although it was a major one; for it was difficult, in 1/
close to the 100th year after the tyrants were overthrown, to end the freedom of the Athenian people, who were not only not subjects but over more than half of that time had themselves been accustomed to rule over others."

"Not unnaturally" isn't quite right: "unreasonably" 2/
or "improbably" gets the Greek better. Thucydides can be cruelly perceptive at figuring out what's "likely" or "probable," even when it's disturbing, like this successful coup. "Nature" had nothing to do with it.
So here, after BIF and BBB got unlinked, failure of BBB, too,3/
became "not unlikely" in the hands of Manchin. This was predicted (as AOC said Nov 6). 4/

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More from @dan_pericles

15 Dec
No one has been charged with "insurrection" for the Capitol attack, as far as I can find. The word certainly appears in the news but prosecutors are being careful, possibly aware of the difficulty of broad charges in court.
Americans are seldom charged with "treason," 1/
which the founders wisely framed more tightly than the Brits.
Sidebar: Nathanael Tomkins, no direct relation, was hanged _in front of his own house_ on Fetter Lane in 1643 for treason in Waller's Plot. His mate Challoner said: 2/
"if we could make a moderate party here in London, to unite King & Parliament, it would be a very acceptable work, for now the three Kingdoms lay bleeding." But no compromise peace for Parliament, which hanged them for treason. (Waller himself bribed and survived.) 3/
Read 4 tweets
17 Nov
Bill Grueskin's column is meaningful, but I wish that as a professional he'd acknowledged the challenges reporters faced. Here's Goldman to Wemple: "I might have figured [that the FBI had interviewed the dossier’s primary sub-source in January 2017] in early 2019 or late 2018.1/
An extraordinary moment: Right? I knew, s---, there were problems. So now there’s some indication that there were problems with the dossier and the FBI had a sense of it. But there were only a handful of people in that room with the source [in January 2017]. And I couldn’t 2/
— to be able to write a definitive story with the details the IG had was ... a bridge too far, right? ... a mountain too high for me. Because as the IG report shows, THE INFORMATION DIDN’T EVEN GET TO THE FISA COURT. 3/
Read 4 tweets
8 Nov
Translating with Google, I'd say this is looks like an extremely useful survey of the dangers posed by AI, most strikingly "the algorithm may decide to fire when an opponent who takes aim with a weapon approaches but it could also decide to fire because a set of reasonable 1/
conditions (gender, age, height, ethnicity) or not (facial expression, shoe brand, time of day and folds on the dress) regardless of whether the individual is an enemy. Added to this is the threat posed by the adversaries who can, on the one hand, compromise the data on which 2/
extrapolations are made (training) to actually hack the algorithm, and on the other - through generative adversarial networks (GANS) - subtly alter the data that the algorithm collects (such as simple pixels of some images) in the operational phase (inference) to corrupt 3/
Read 5 tweets
29 Oct
I'm not a lawyer and have no standing, but doesn't this concern the cluster of issues Adrian Vermeule discussed, forcefully, in _Law's Abnegation_ (2016). And there, it seems (I emphasize "seems" because what the hell do I know), Levinson argues that the administrative state 1/
is here to stay, largely because lawyers have welcomed it (hence "abnegation"). Sandy Levinson says:
'What is so fascinating about Vermeule’s thesis—and sure to spark some vigorous debate (though not by me)—is that “law’s abnegation” is not the product of “external” 2/
political or social forces that seized control away from formerly powerful courts. Instead, as he puts it, it is a product of a basically common-law process of doctrinal analysis and development. The “chastened and self-effacing version of law ... is itself a product of law’s 3/
Read 9 tweets
10 Sep
It's a bit surprising to find a review citing Peter Green's remark (1996) that "Modern Europe owes nothing to the Achaemenids. We may admire their imposing if oppressive architecture, and gaze in something like awe - from prostration-level, as it were - at the great apadana of 1/
Persepolis, ... Yet the civilisation which could produce such things is almost as alien to us as that of the Aztecs, and for not dis­ similar reasons. Achaemenid Persia produced no great literature or philosophy: her one lasting contribution to mankind was, character­istically 2/
enough, Zoroastrianism. Like Carthage, she perpetuated a fundamentally static culture, geared to the maintenance of a theocratic status quo, and hostile (where not blindly indifferent) to original creativity in any form."

Has anyone responded to this? It reads like the 3/
Read 4 tweets
10 Sep
Intriguing discussion, thanks! Big picture, so much has changed. Nate Cohn reports (NYT) that 41% of voters in 2000 were 4-year college grads, vs. 5% in '52. That has meant huge increases in staffing, and even I, a union activist, can understand this has financial 1/
consequences for institutions. CA residents went to Berkeley in the '60s with very low fees and decently paid faculty. Now, with huge enrollments, maintaining a decently paid labor force requires massive adjustment (I have not researched this!).
Watching the institutional 2/
slide into adjunct hiring in the 1980s, I think few expected we'd end up like this: a lot of the decision making was inpromptu, spur of the moment, often in the face of big problems; and it sure appealed to anyone who evaluated education just by staring at a spreadsheet of 3/
Read 5 tweets

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