Amazing that two years into this, people still don’t understand that it starts out mild and then worsens
Given omicron’s doubling time, the denominator you have to work with for outcomes is the number of cases that were infected at the same time as the cases you are measuring.
Given omicron’s doubling time, the denominator you have to work with for outcomes is the number of cases that were infected at the same time as the cases you are measuring.
So to determine case hospitalization rate, you have to use the number of cases from when hospitalized people got sick, some 6-8 days ago. Not today’s case number.
Same with case fatality rate — you have to go even further back in time.
Same with case fatality rate — you have to go even further back in time.
So if we have people dying from Omicron now, when case numbers were barely detectable 10 days ago, we should be very, very afraid.
This virus is moving so fast that it is going from first case to over half of cases in just a week, in areas such as northeast Ohio that were already swarming with Delta.
Don’t be fooled by rear view mirror optical illusions.
Don’t be fooled by rear view mirror optical illusions.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
