When I wrote that piece in UnHerd a couple of months ago on the topic of civil war, said topic had just left the realm of the criminally insane and entered the fringes of polite society.

It now looks poised to become a major mainstream talking point.

newsweek.com/2021/12/31/mil…
You have to wonder if stuff like this appearing in WaPo, newsweek, the Atlantic etc is a sort of trial balloon for more or less using the military/national guard for a massive show of strength around 2024. If so, that's just a crazy level of risk-taking.
The US military is in a terrible shape, and those generals in WaPo are likely 100% correct in saying that the armed forces are just too demoralized, unreliable, or outright loyal to the other team to be of much use.
But US elites - from my very limited experience - today have this serene attitude of "just throw it on the floor, the dogs will eat it" regarding the apparatus of state. They are so stuck in abstract thinking that they're blind to the human element.
As the beheaded King Charles I put it: "There is more to the doing, than bidding it be done." The US is rapidly approaching the danger zone where one shouldn't rely on regulars to do much of anything controversial.

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More from @Tinkzorg

19 Dec
There's a real elephant in the room to texts like this, which is that the world population in 1920 was less than two billion people, and a hundred years later it is approaching eight billion people. A 400% increase in a single century.

theamericanconservative.com/articles/elon-…
If your attitude is "bro, population growth is no big deal", that's okay, but you have to ask: how many more centuries of 400% growth do you find practical? One, for a cool 32 billion people in 2120? Two, for measly 128 billion human souls sharing this vast planet by 2220?
These arguments basically work on a sort of "supply side economics" logic to population growth; if you have more people, the rest will fall into place. Not only does this logic *not* apply to any other organism on God's green Earth, but any medieval peasant would find it absurd.
Read 26 tweets
18 Dec
Incredibly high, near 100%. Historically, purging or downscaling the military's lower ranks creates MASSIVE societal instability. The pauperized soldiers stick around and tend yo flock to ANY banner that will make use of their skills. And this is *before* factoring in ideology.
At the siege of Osaka, Toyotomi Hideyori had tens of thousands of ronin soldiers holed up with him in Osaka castle, basically just detritus and castoffs from previous wars. You never *solve* the issue of unreliable troops by purging them. That's when the real trouble starts!
Another good example of a lower army purge is post-Napoleonic France. Not exactly a smashing success story, as those purged soldiers helped cause not one but TWO revolutions in the span of a few decades.
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec
bruh if you want to solidify support around some project of basically stealing the 2024 election, there's no goddamn reason to ever go "uhhhh if the troops end up thinking 2024 is stolen there's a really good chance they just won't follow orders anymore"
There is no situation where you ever want to get the message out there that the military is catastrophically unreliable and won't be there to help you if Kamala Harris wins by 500 electors or whatever. First off, this is just demoralizing. Second, you're giving grunts ideas.
If Lockheed Martin were selling psionic clone troopers at a discount right now or whatever you could conceivably go "duh, of course this is just FUD, they're trying to get the pentagon to buy the new expensive clone troops". But there are no clone troopers here.
Read 8 tweets
18 Dec
The gracious comrade Stalin ( @Stal_Apu ) sent me this article and I have to say that it is a doozy. Given that he and I have been writing about these issues for a bit, I'll give my own (political side, not military side) view of what's written.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
First off, these people are not just random OpEd writers. These are retired flag rank officers (one brigadier general and two major generals). Second, what they write here is worth quite a few raised eyebrows. It's a pretty radical piece!
Put simply, the writers identify the lower ranks of the US armed services as being, not to beat around the bush here, *catastrophically* unreliable. They start by talking about the demographic makeup of the J6 protest, but that's not necessarily the biggest mic drop.
Read 23 tweets
27 Nov
The incredibly anti-burkean idea that "culture" is somehow a vcr that you can program, rather than the result and sum total of a million different social processes, is going to destroy so many wannabe "counter-revolutionaries" in the years ahead.

unherd.com/thepost/conser…
It's a seductive idea, though. Partly because idealism is always seductive, but also because it lets you ignore fundamental questions about the "who" and "what" of your own coalition. People who think like this generally have no experience with retail politics.
The notion that somehow the "only" politics that is possible today is "middle class politics" speaks more to the makeup of various putative political "dissidents" today than anything else.
Read 19 tweets
26 Nov
The year is 1872. After Swedish scientists discover trans-newtonian elements in Norrland, the new King Oscar II of Sweden reforms the Kalmar Union of old. This is followed by detonating many nuclear warheads over China and America, wiping out the anglo and sino plague.
The genocide of the Anglo and the Chinaman has left only about 550 million humans left on planet earth, but the good news is that the remaining humans are now poised to explore space as part of the glorious Scandinavian Empire.
The first order of business is to conduct a mineral survey of the solar system. His Royal Swedish Majesty's Astrogation Corps currently have three vessels available for this task: the Copernicus, the Linnaeus, and the Newton.
Read 8 tweets

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