THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST, Part 2.

In today’s 1st thread, I discussed the math of infections to help you understand what #TinyWiseDecisions you can make to be #COVIDSafer this winter.

In this 2nd thread, I want to give some concrete ideas for making your risk a little lower.
Omicron is very contagious & ideally, we would all be taking STRONG precautions.

But risk is additive & a spectrum, so #TinyWiseDecisions will help.

Choose something from this thread or share an idea of your own, so that we can all be just that much safer this holiday season.
Idea 1: If you are planning to attend more than one holiday event, choose one of them to decline.

Attending even one less gathering makes everyone safer.
Idea 2: If you are hosting a gathering, invite one less household.

Infection transmits easily within households, so having many different households together is more risky than fewer households.
Idea 3: If you’re going to a gathering, take a rapid test right before heading out of the house.

If the test is positive, or if you have any symptoms, stay home!
Idea 4: Wear a mask if you weren’t planning on wearing one. If you were already planning to wear a mask, choose a better mask.

KN95s or N95s are good. If you’re already wearing those, make them better by ensuring a nice snug fit.
Idea 5: If you are attending a holiday gathering, open up the windows to let some fresh air in, even if it’s a bit frosty.

If you were already going to do that, consider spending some of the time in the garden or on the balcony (if you have either—I dont!).
Idea 6: If you were going to visit more than one household, add an additional day or two between your planned visits.

Just a couple extra days will give you time to detect if you or anyone at the first household was infected.
Idea 7: If you were planning a holiday outing to the movies or theater or a restaurant or similar, choose a less crowded time or place, an outdoor seating option if available, or wait a few days before seeing family.
Idea 8: If you’ve been delaying getting vaccinated, make an appointment today! Accept whichever vaccine is available soonest.

The best vaccine is the one in your arm!
Idea 9: If your religious community is offering virtual services, choose those instead of in person. If you dont have that option, choose a less busy service (7am maybe?).

Mask up, spread out, dont shake hands or hug, dont linger too long chatting, ask to keep doors open.
Idea 10: If your gathering has a meal, consider having people plan to bring the food home rather than eating all together. Eating requires unmasking & unmasking means more chance of transmission.

Alternative: have different households eat in different rooms at the gathering.
Okay, there are surely many many many other ways to make your holiday safer & to choose #TinyWiseDecisions, but I’m running out of steam right now.

Share with us what you are planning to keep yourself & your loved ones #COVIDSafer this holiday season.
An important caveat to Idea #6.

Waiting gives time for symptoms to manifest but waiting for less time could just make you asymptomatic & infectious at your visit! Be careful out there, friends 💜
For all you “no one would do this” folks….

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dr Ellie Murray, ScD

Dr Ellie Murray, ScD Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @EpiEllie

Mar 7
I saw someone say that much of what we see as scary about polio is actually “long polio” & tbh that’s pretty true.

I think the “long” framing makes it clear long COVID isn’t unprecedented & that we need to face up to it.

What other long infectious diseases are there?

A list*
*Thread disclaimer: obviously not all cases of all of the diseases in the following tweets share the exact same cause, because very few diseases have only one single cause (tho a few do!)

The diseases below are those that CAN be caused by infections with the pathogens listed.
Rheumatic heart disease ==> long strep throat / long scarlet fever
Read 19 tweets
Jan 12
There was a truly misguided and factually incorrect Wall Street Journal article yesterday claiming we should *accelerate* the spread of omicron.

The authors fundamentally misunderstand the evolution of infectious diseases in a way I think many talking heads share.

A 🧵
When people think about evolution, they are accustomed to thinking about long time scales, decades, centuries, millennia.

But evolution does NOT depend on calendar time!
Evolution happens on *reproduction* time.

Every new member of a species is a chance for new mutations that may lead to that individual being better or worse at reproducing.
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(