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Rupa Subramanya Profile picture
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24 Dec, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Today's case numbers in Ontario probably gave you whiplash but this chart is what ultimately matters. ICU admissions have more or less remained steady. Excellent news on Christmas Eve.
Cases and hospitalizations continue to decouple in Ontario despite Omicron.
We had more people in critical care/invasive ventilation in Ontario in the months after Delta peak and before Omicron,at a time when ON was registering 300-500 cases on average/day.Today's case numbers of 9,500 should give you some reason to be optimistic.
Also this: ICU numbers have actually come down from yesterday in Ontario. 🤞
In Ontario, the number of covid related critical patients is 165 today, up 4 from yesterday. Also those on invasive ventilation is down today to 97 from 103 yesterday.

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More from @rupasubramanya

Rupa Subramanya Profile picture
23 Dec
More good news for us but bad news for the fearmongers out there. According to the UKHSA, those infected with Omicron are 50% to 70% less likely to need hospital care compared with previous variants. Protection against severe disease is likely to be far more robust.
Dr Jenny Harries, the chief executive of the UKHSA, said: "Our latest analysis shows an encouraging early signal that people who contract the Omicron variant may be at a relatively lower risk of hospitalisation than those who contract other variants." bbc.com/news/health-59…
Latest analysis is based on all cases of Omicron and Delta in the UK since the beginning of November. People catching Omicron are:
31%-45% less likely to go to accidents and emergencies.
50%-70% less likely to be admitted to hospital for treatment. bbc.com/news/health-59…
Read 5 tweets
Rupa Subramanya Profile picture
22 Dec
Latest research from the University of Edinburgh using national data from Scotland suggests Omicron is associated with a two-thirds reduction in risk of COVID19 hospitalisation versus Delta. This comes on the heels of similar findings from South Africa research.ed.ac.uk/en/publication…
Also from the University of Edinburgh: "Whilst offering the greatest protection against Delta, booster dose offers substantial additional protection against the risk of symptomatic COVID-19 for Omicron when compared to ≥25 weeks post second vaccine dose". research.ed.ac.uk/en/publication…
"Edinburgh study drawing on the health records of 5.4 million people in Scotland, found risk of hospitalization with Covid19 two-thirds lower with Omicron than with Delta."So large real world data on severity is at odds with model projections?Imagine that. wsj.com/articles/covid…
Read 6 tweets

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