1/5) Some detractors argue that bitcoin adoption & subsequent monetization won't continue because there is little interest in _borrowing_ bitcoins.
2/5) Imo this is the Nirvana Fallacy at work: "the informal fallacy of comparing actual things with unrealistic, idealized alternatives".
3/5) Here's why: saying that there's not enough Bitcoin borrowing compared to saving, is basically arguing that bitcoin's price (and therefore, its adoption!) is going up too fast and therefore won't continue.
4/5) One counter to this Nirvana Fallacy:
"What is your realistic baseline? If Bitcoin price appreciation were to happen more slowly, and with more borrowing vs saving, would you be more optimistic about its future adoption?"
5/5) Another question for these detractors: "If Bitcoin's features were the same but we lived in a world with realistic fiat interest rates (≥ real inflation), would you be more optimistic about its future given the relatively higher interest in borrowing Bitcoin vs fiat?"

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More from @TuurDemeester

23 Nov
"What is a Bitcoin?" — created in Nov 2010 by @bitcoinpoet. Accuracy and foresight are remarkable, truly a historic video.
@bitcoinpoet Original video:
@bitcoinpoet In the comment section of the original video one can find the genesis of the salty nocoiner 😁 Although one of them may have helped us all by coining the term "shitcoin"!
Read 4 tweets
20 Nov
Good morning sir👋☕️
You're ignoring my criticism of your transaction count methodology while also assuming that I agree with your total carbon footprint methodology.
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
"How long does a hyperinflation last?"
This IMF paper studied 30 such events, found that hyperinflations:
- ranged in time from 2 to 34 months
- Europe/Russia mean length: 1 year
- Latin America mean length: 2 years

imf.org/external/pubs/…
The paper also, unsurprisingly, confirmed that official consumer price indices tend to severely underestimate the actual scale of monetary devaluation.
Read 8 tweets
7 Nov
1/ After a long hiatus, last month we finally visited my home town of #Bruges. I was moved by its beauty, and inspired by its traditional architecture and highly functional urbanism.
2/ Nearly all of Bruges' construction has gone through a darwinian grind, where only that what's firm, functional, and beautiful survives. Even the floor & street pavement reflects that.
3/ Nearly everything that stands is built out of simple bricks baked from clay — incredibly versatile, durable, and repair-friendly. Featured here is the Church of Our Lady, 13th-15th C, with 115m the third tallest brickwork tower in the world.
Read 7 tweets
1 Oct
1/ A few thoughts seeing the new "In Gold We Trust" chartbook. tinyurl.com/5ycdtxdz

First, the USD M2 money supply is in its 11th doubling cycle since the year 1900.
2/ Historic analogies useful but can deceive. A simple repeat of the 1970s style stagflation is unlikely imo, this time the money priBRRRRRRRRR...
3/ The IFMS heads are today's popes and bishops, in charge of a global monopoly with an ever expanding mandate. bis.org/publ/arpdf/ar2…
Read 8 tweets

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