How long will it take for an air launched missile that has a maximum velocity of 950mph and to hit a target 11 kilometres away?
The arrival of the JF-17 Thunder and subsequently A-29 Super Tucano brought a unique kind of challenge that Boko Haram/ISWAP has not confronted since the insurgency began..a challenge that is existential in nature.
STANDOFF ATTACK CAPABILITY
Standoff precision strike is the ability to attack targets from distances far beyond visual and audio range. Paired with an effective strategy aimed at high value targets, long range precision is one of the most effective tool available to NAF theatre commanders.
The procurement of precision guided munitions (PGMs) radically enhanced what the NAF could achieve in the battlespace. One JF-17 can strike dozens of individual targets with pinpoint accuracy without needing to visually ID the target.
The arrival of the A-29 with its far..
deadlier compliment of PGMs made it worse for the insurgents.
PGMs follows one of two approaches: Stand in strikes employ aircraft to fly far above the flight envelop of tripple A fire and release munitions like the GBU laser guided bombs to targets with pin point accuracy.
Standoff strike attack targets from a distance by launching long range missiles a dozens or more miles away from the target.
The NAF is currently the only service that operates long range standoff munitions. Bolstering it's strike capacity.
Yes, it is simplistic to think that lobbing a missile long ranges will renders penetrative airstrikes with dumb bombs useless.
Both standoff and penetrative strike capabilities are necessary. The NAF has done a remarkable job of working out scenarios that has a combination
of that which works from inside and that which works from outside … a balance of penetrating and standoff strike forces. As a matter of fact the vast majority of NAF strikes are stilm bt penetrate strikes, carried out by legacy Alpha jet, F-7Ni fighters and Aero L-39s.
these are legacy aircafts that must approach targets closely enough to deploy ordnance. Increasing the probability they will be detected from a long way off, affording the enemy the time needed to prepare for incoming or change locations
By contrast, stand-off PGMe eliminates an enemy’s ability to respond. If you are wondering how five top ISWAP commanders were killed in a 14 day span, some of them just days apart, now you know. They most likely never saw it coming.
However the NAF still priotizes penetrative strikes regardless of the platform. The JF-17, Alpha jets, F-7Ni...all use General Purpose Bombs for 80% of their strikes. and it will remain so for a very long time.
Been asked on numerous occasions why dont we see the PGMs
touted about on the JF-17 and Super Tucanos. "If we truly have them as you claim why dont they use it?"
So many arm chair generals in Nigeria. They want photos. The NAF is not in the business of inviting the press for photo ops before a sortie.
On a serious note, Success in warfare comes down to inflicting overwhelming attacks against enemy targets. Sustaining such operations demands an affordable means to conduct strikes. Nigeria has a stock of just 400 GBU-12 laser guided bombs for example. In a fiscally
..challenging period the NAF must consider the effectiveness, as well as the cost of using standoff PGMs that cost $25,000 apiece on Toyota 4x4 trucks and motorcycles or firing positions. It is simply a matter of weapons cost.
Affordability is a critical consideration, given requirements to attack hundreds or thousands of targets. Destroying a $3,000 ISWAP truck or motorcycle can cost half a million dollars in one sortie.
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France is closing 2023 with a diminished presence in the restive Sahel region and Al-Qaeda is livid with rage against the putchist in Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso, going as far as calling them trecherous.
The leader of Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Magreb recently released a 22 minutes tape where he branded the new military rulers of Niger, Burkina Faso and Mali "treacherous"and called on the citizens of these countries to turn on their leaders.
Why is AQIM upset about the French exit
from the Sahel and lashing out at the junters? It's bad for business.
The supply of money and weapons has come under threat. They've been raking in millions thanks to the geopolitical aspirations of a former colonial power determined to maintain a strategic foothold in Africa.
Nigeria gave France 48 hours to close down its Embassy in Lagos and to pack out of the country in retaliation against France exploding three nuclear devices in the Sahara despite vehement protests by Nigeria and other newly independent
African countries. Nigeria also banned French ships and aeroplanes from calling at her ports. The French Embassy in Lagos remained shut until October 1965. This unprecedented demonstration of power and resolve by an African country was a source of worry for France.
The French were worried that the size and potential strength of Nigeria might lead to a re-orientation of French West African countries away from France and towards Nigeria. Paris was preoccupied with the re-establishment and preservation of French imperial power which had been
For the NAF to transform it's self from a tactical, defensive force within Nigeria to one capable of strategic missions beyond territorial borders we need to up our numbers game.
The NAF already has the quality based on current and projected platforms.
A decade+ long insurgency, that necessitated on-going reforms changed the NAF's equipment priorities, from modernizing high tech hardware to platforms optimized for COIN and network-centric warfare.
The air force has progressed considerably towards building
and fielding a formidable force, and has assumed responsibilities that accompany the projection of national power in the sub region.
Only problem is the limited number of air superiority fighters. The smallest number of fighters in decades.
Still feeling under the weather 🤕. It gets worse as evening approaches.
However, after going through the comment section I've decided it's time to make the case for an ECOWAS intervention in Niger before analysing the capabilities of the potential belligerent of this crises.
ECOWAS weak response to recent coup 'd'etats paved the way for what is now a belt of dictatorships that stretches all the way from Guinea, Burkina Faso, Mali and now Niger. They plotters gained the perception that ECOWAS is weak and could be challenged.
Failure of the regional bloc to respond militarily gave them the perception that they can push ECOWAS further without ramifications.
The latest coup in Niger has fundamentally changed the region. A new cold war between democratic states and military junta's...
In 1983 Maj. General Muhammadu Buhari, GOC of the 3rd Division in Jos flushed out Chadian forces that invaded Nigerian communities in dramatic fashion. 40 years later he presides over what is arguably the biggest military build-up in Nigeria's history.
The President realised the nation was in need of an overhaul of the military. Nigeria had been humiliated in the early stages of the insurgency and the terrorists seemed secure in their unrelenting mission of conquest. Boko Haram captured and occupied 22 LGA's in the northeast.
The Nigerian military was plagued by low morale, low pay, outdated equipment, and zero maintenance on what did exist. Soldiers were tired. It just wasn't worth it to them. There were instances of soldiers refusing to fight. Some fleeing to Cameroon on two occasions.
NAF A-29 with its panoply of GBU Paveway II laser guided bombs, 70mm rockets with Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System (APKWS) and 589 kilogram bombs. The cutting edge of American precision guided munitions and the NAF is the only in sub-sahara Africa to employ them.
The GBU paveway II integrates the most advanced guidance system that basically converts "dumb" Gravity bombs into precision guided munitions. A semi-active laser seeker and pneumatically controlled canards guide the weapon to its targets with pin point accuracy.
Enter the hydra rockets.
In their basic configurations these are basic 70mm unguided rockets. Not different from unguided rockets used by the L-39ZA or Alpha jets.
However the APKWS they came with transforms these "dumb" rockets into laser-guided weapons.