Ajay Sharma Profile picture
Jan 1, 2022 25 tweets 8 min read Read on X
A Thread (🧵) on India's Digital payments system and banking sector.

Let's start - India’s digital payments ecosystem has undergone a huge transformation with events like
demonetization and the COVID-19 pandemic necessitating a more efficient, user-friendly

1/n
and cost effective interface.

The RBI’s digital payment index (RBI – DPI) almost tripled to 271 in FY21 from the base year of
FY18.

The digital transactions value stood at Rs 147trn in FY21, of which large credit transfers is 72%
& Retail payments - 28%

2/n
In value terms, total payments grew at a
CAGR of 11% in FY12-20 but declined in FY21 due to the pandemic.

In volume terms total payments grew at a CAGR of 44.5% during FY19-21.

3/n
Digital Payments Market – Retail payments gain market share

First let's understand the difference between Retail payments and Large credit transfer.

Retail payments are typically payments between consumers, businesses and public authorities. They can be everyday consumer.

4/n
And a credit transfer is a direct payment of money from one bank account into another (RTGS)

Total retail payments grew at a 13.4% CAGR during FY18-FY21
compared to the contraction of 3.3% in large credit transactions over the same
period.

5/n
Paper-based instruments transactions declined by 11.8% over the period.

6/n
Now let's take a look at Credit card & Debit cards transaction.

Spends per card (Credit card) at POS (Point of sale) increased from 9,500rs to 15,211rs (Indicating more people are using credit cards for payments at malls etc)

7/n
ICICI Bank has benefitted the most from the ban on HDFC bank.
ICICI bank increased it's market share to 18% and will most probably surpass SBI.
On the other hand HDFC lost market share but now they can issue cards again and have started recovering the lost ground.

8/n
And in case of Debit cards, PAYTM is the clear winner on the other hand SBI & ICICI are losing market share in case of debit cards.

9/n
In terms of Transaction value, ICICI is growing at a much much faster rate and it's market share increased to 21.4%.

And in case of debit cards, HDFC is the clear winner.

10/n
UPI & IMPS taking market share from other modes of payment ( NEFT, cards, cash).

NEFT (national electronic funds transfer) remains the preferred mode of payment within
credit transfers, but its proportion contracted to 53.6% in Oct’21 from 87.4% in FY19.

11/n
UPI & IMPS (immediate payment service) transaction volumes grew at a CAGR of 95.6% & 32.8% during Sep’19-Sep’21, with a substantial increase in their proportions to 20.6% & 9.9% in Oct’21 from 3.4% & 6.1% in FY19, respectively.

12/n
Amongst UPI remitter banks, SBIN is the market leader with a 26.4% market share,
followed by HDFCB (8.4% market share). The top-6 banks together control ~58% of
the UPI volumes.
SBIN is the leader in the IMPS domain with a 22.4% market share in volume terms

13/n
RTGS (real-time gross settlement) volumes grew at a CAGR of 17.3% over Nov’19 to
Oct’21, but the transaction value ticket size witnessed a sharp decline at a CAGR of
8.5% during the same period.

14/n
The average ticket size has dropped to Rs 5.5lakhs in the post-pandemic period from
Rs 7.2lakhs in the pre-pandemic period.

HDFC is a market leader in terms of volume & value and is ahead of SBIN with a
reasonable gap.

15/n
The story of POS terminals is not very different in terms of network expansion; the number of POS terminals grew at a CAGR of just 3.4% to 51.6lakhs during Oct’19-Oct’21.

HDFCB and RBK have lost market shares, while AXSB, ICICIBC and IIB have gained market share.

16/n
Debit card transactions – Ticket size rises, frequency declines

The banking system’s debit card base has grown at a CAGR of 5.2% in the last two
years to 934mn as of end-Oct’21. Debit card transactions (in value terms) declined at
a CAGR of 2.7% during the period

17/n
18/n
Credit card usage rising faster than debit cards.

In the retail payments ecosystem, the composition of card payment transactions declined to 3.1% in FY21 compared to 3.3%/3.7% in FY19/FY20, respectively The composition inched up to the pre-pandemic level of 3.85% in Oct’21

19/n
The banking industry’s credit card customer base expanded at a CAGR of 11.5%
CAGR during Oct’19-Oct’21 to 66mn, and in value terms, credit card spending
increased by 19% during the period to Rs 1.0trn in Oct’21.

20/n
Credit card spending has surpassed the average pre-pandemic level of Rs 12,000 per
card during Dec’19-Jan’20, with per credit card spending at Rs 15,274 in Oct’21.

21/n
22/n
INDIA VS GLOBAL Average

Cash is still prefered mode of transaction in India,
34% in case of POS vs 21% in case of Global.

23/n
Special thanks to @shubhfin for sharing the report.
Please share and Re-tweet for wider reach.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Ajay Sharma

Ajay Sharma Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TradeSensei07

Aug 13, 2023
Almost everyone is now running behind PSU banks and posting charts that PSU bank is about to give a big breakout etc etc but Index is now always a good representation of the whole sector. Why?

Because just 4 banks have more than 60% weightage in the Index
Image
Image
And 3/4 these banks are not in a mood to move up to quickly.

So what do we do?

We dig deeper and look for the ones that are showing higher relative strength.


Image
Image
Image
Image
These 12 banks make the Nifty PSU Bank index, so let's find the best performing ones and which are providing a good entry.

Let's gooo Image
Read 11 tweets
May 26, 2022
PIRAMAL ENTERPRISES Q4 FY22 RESULTS SUMMARY -

Overview - Overall Pharma grew - 16%

CDMO - 10%
Complex Hospital Generics - 20%
Indian Consumer healthcare - 48%

Margins for full year - 18% (Down YoY from 22% last year)
After the integration with DHFL, total AUM - 65,185Cr

Retail - 21,552Cr
Retail Wholesale mix - 36:64
Off-balance sheet retail assets - 18,747 (earns fee income on them)
Joint Venture with prudential international insurance with 50% stake
Overall GNPA - 3.4%
NNPA - 1.6%
Provisions - 5.7% of total AUM

Made additional provisions of 822cr for some accounts slipping into Stage-2, 215Cr interest reversal.
Read 10 tweets
May 26, 2022
Auto ancillaries are picks and shovels for auto cycle revival.

SJS volumes grew 15.5% in FY22 as compared to -0.2% for the industry.
EBIDTA Margins decline for the consolidated entity - SJS + EXOTECH and grew for the standalone entity.
Doubling the chrome plating capacity from current 130Cr, will be doing 100Cr of capex in next 2 years, funded by internal accurals.
Read 6 tweets
May 25, 2022
Really good report by Motilal Oswal on Rate high cycle & it's co-relation to equity markets.

India has seen 4 rate high cycle, 2005-2008 being th longest one & 2010-2011 being the sharpest one.
During the all four cycles, Nifty has risen along with the 10Y G-sec yield.

IT has been the best performer during the previous 4 cycles.
Crude was rising during the 2 serious rate hike cycles & FED also increased it's rates during the 2005-2008 cycle & 2018 cycle.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 28, 2022
Now let's take a look at the business of the company - So the company is in the business of manufacturing decorative aesthetics for 2W, Passenger vehicle & consumer durables.

They provide complete Design-to-delivery services.
They have the widest product portfolio as compared to their peers -

- Logos
- Decals
- Stickers, aluminium badges
- Chrome plated parts
- 2D Dials
- 3D dials
- Capacitive Overlays
- IML/IMD (In mold decoration/labeling)
- Optical Plastics
If you look at the revenues, the company has been diversifying with exports increasing at a faster pace.

Increased from 9.8% in 2019 >>> 16% FY21 and expected to 25% of the revenues by 2025.

If you look at revenue split by products
Read 20 tweets
Apr 28, 2022
SJS Enterprise - Betting on Auto cycle revival 🧵🧵

SJS Enterprise is an recently listed Auto Ancillary company which is in the business of making decorative aesthetics for Auto & consumer Durable companies.
Let's start with simplifying what does the company actually do.

So what are decorative aesthetics?

So decorative aesthetics are simply but the logos, Decals, stickers , aluminium badges, chrome-plated parts , overlays etc which inhance the overall look of the product.
Products like appliques and overlays and optical plastics also deployed for their functional attributes (Like protecting the buttons or the screen etc) in additio t their role in increasing the aesthetic value of a product.

Let me show you some examples -
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(