Leaving geopolitical debates aside, human dimension of the Russia's looming large-scale invasion is rarely discussed. But it would affect the lives of tens of millions. In and beyond Ukraine
Small thread /1
#UkraineWillResist: 1/3 of Ukrainians are ready to take up weapons if Russia further invades. We will eventually kick Russians out - but at what price?
Ukraine has been mourning deaths of every defender Russia had killed over last 8 years. These are our best & bravest people /2
Large-scale invasion would destroy critical infrastructure and cause severe humanitarian catastrophe. It would be amplified by covid & blackouts amidst winter cold /3
Since Russia launched the war in 2014, Ukraine accommodated internally around 1,5 million displaced people who had fled Donbas. Only a limited number of refugees went to the EU /4
In case of a large-scale invasion, big migration flow to the EU is inevitable. 2015 migration crisis caused turmoil inside the Union & member states with significant long-term implications. And recall Russia's role in fueling that crisis by attacking Syrian cities /5
Raise the cost for Putin's next moves & help Ukraine to defend people & critical infrastructure more effectively #ArmUkraine (air & missile defence in particular,but not only) #SanctionRussia & its oligarch #StopNordStream2
This is the best deterrent against Putin's aggression /6
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Just one more piece to add to this picture. Ukraine has long been a target to Russian propaganda. But media watchdogs noticed that disinfo which particularly hits hard on reforms & demonizes Western partners who had advocated them has intensified over last years 1/4
Such propaganda advances a key narrative of Ukraine being a failed state governed from overseas. It tries to convince people the reforms eventually have a single goal which is to allow foreigners to grab as many UA strategic assets/ enterprises/ land/ whatever as possible 2/4
Just take a look at this one blatant example. And that's the show, broadcasted in prime time on the most popular news channel Ukrayina24 which belongs to Akhmetov: kyivpost.com/article/opinio… 3/4