Notes 📋from Edelweiss Reasearch Sector Report on HOME DECOR🧵
~Covid-19 has accelerated the growth of home décor industry by offering enormous growth opportunities—import substitution, increasing exports and focus on home improvement in the wake of WFH. @nid_rockz
Home Decor:
~Even at most conservative estimates, industry is likely to clock a 12– 14% revenue CAGR over FY21–26 (versus 5–6% CAGR over FY16–21).
~Traction in the wood panel industry is apparent from numbers: EPS CAGR of 42% over FY21–24E versus a 32% CAGR for ceramic tiles
Strong Demand in Real estate:
The share of top developers in launches (6–26% across cities in CY11) surged to 28–78% in H1CY21.
Growth Drivers:
Structural Shifts in Home Decor:
~Industry transforming from a commodity to household brand
~Intensified focus on making products available too
~Product launches driving shift towards organised players
~Consolidation in real estate segment too is driving growth for brands
Wood Panel Segment: Mid-end plywood segment driving growth
~MDF threatening low-end segment; mid end segment still growing
~Dominating share of unorganised players: A big opportunity for shift
~MDF:Fastest-growing category in wood panel industry
Innoation is they KEY:
New product launches by leading players.
Focus on Asset light model:
~Players in the plywood space are outsourcing the work pertaining to their medium/low-end brands such as Ecotech, Sainik, Jansathi and Bharosa.
Outlook and valuation: Primed for re-rating
~The home décor industry at INR1tn as on FY21 is expected to double by FY26.
~We believe it is an emerging sector in India’s consumption story with a promising growth opportunity (12–14% CAGR) over the next 8–10 years
Earnings growth to drive re-rating
Diversification is the game:
Wood panel players entering into interesting growth phase
Key Risks: 1. Covid 19 2. Economy connection: The consumption trajectory of home décor sector are intrinsically linked to realty sector and economic growth of the country. 3. unorganised players
Finally a sectoral snapshot:
Which is your pick?
Greenpanel, Century, Greenlam look interesting to me.
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🌟Product Positioning: Pulp maker with prominent share in mango now expanding to other fruits
🔔launched 3 Ready-to-Eat Gravies & 3 Ready-to Drink Soups under ‘Greentop’ brand which has doubled its per month sales since its launch.
👍Clients: The company's largest client has committed to a three-year contract with annual growth in volumes.
♻️The company is in advanced negotiations for co-packing opportunities in the domestic and international markets for Tetra Recart products.
💹Emerging Business Verticals and potential:
🍅The tomato processing project is expected to start commercial operations by the end of February, with a project cost of 25-30 crores and three times the revenue during peak time.
Incorporated in 2006, is a part of Kolkata-based Jupiter Group and a leading player in the Indian railway wagon manufacturing industry.
JWL has manufacturing facilities located in Kolkata, Jamshedpur, Indore, Jabalpur and Baddi.
💪JWL has a capacity to manufacture ~8,000 wagons annually and is backward integrated with a foundry shop to manufacture various components of a typical wagon like couplers, bogies, draft gears, CRF section, etc.
1/ Frameworks for thinking about & understanding world. help us make sense of complex situations & make decisions with more clarity and confidence.
In investing, mental models can be especially useful for understanding and evaluating investment opportunities
2/ Here are a few mental models that can be applied to investing:
First Principles Thinking: mental model involves breaking down a complex situation into its basic building blocks and reasoning from first principles, rather than relying on preconceived notions or assumptions
3/ Circle of Competence: This mental model involves understanding the industries, companies, and markets that you have knowledge and expertise in, and avoiding those that you don’t.
⚡️Sona Comstar launches “Motor T” family of motors & controllers
⚡️⚡️⚡️has the highest efficiency (96%), power & torque density in 48V category in world @nid_rockz
‐ Next‐gen tech for best efficiency, Torque & Power density in 48V category in the world
-Motor T family is designed to achieve the best combined performance in both power (more than 1.1 kW/kg) and torque density (more than 7.5 Nm/kg) along with 96% efficiency in a single motor
-Other variants in the Motor T family include Motor T (HS) that has a whopping 14kW peak power under 10kg with 96% efficiency meant for high speed two wheelers,