GoldForest Investments Profile picture
Jan 8, 2022 13 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Notes 📋from Edelweiss Reasearch Sector Report on HOME DECOR🧵

~Covid-19 has accelerated the growth of home décor industry by offering enormous growth opportunities—import substitution, increasing exports and focus on home improvement in the wake of WFH.
@nid_rockz
Home Decor:
~Even at most conservative estimates, industry is likely to clock a 12– 14% revenue CAGR over FY21–26 (versus 5–6% CAGR over FY16–21).
~Traction in the wood panel industry is apparent from numbers: EPS CAGR of 42% over FY21–24E versus a 32% CAGR for ceramic tiles
Strong Demand in Real estate:

The share of top developers in launches (6–26% across cities in CY11) surged to 28–78% in H1CY21.
Growth Drivers:
Structural Shifts in Home Decor:
~Industry transforming from a commodity to household brand
~Intensified focus on making products available too
~Product launches driving shift towards organised players
~Consolidation in real estate segment too is driving growth for brands
Wood Panel Segment: Mid-end plywood segment driving growth
~MDF threatening low-end segment; mid end segment still growing
~Dominating share of unorganised players: A big opportunity for shift
~MDF:Fastest-growing category in wood panel industry MDF
Innoation is they KEY:
New product launches by leading players.
Focus on Asset light model:
~Players in the plywood space are outsourcing the work pertaining to their medium/low-end brands such as Ecotech, Sainik, Jansathi and Bharosa.
Outlook and valuation: Primed for re-rating

~The home décor industry at INR1tn as on FY21 is expected to double by FY26.
~We believe it is an emerging sector in India’s consumption story with a promising growth opportunity (12–14% CAGR) over the next 8–10 years
Earnings growth to drive re-rating
Diversification is the game:
Wood panel players entering into interesting growth phase
Key Risks:
1. Covid 19
2. Economy connection: The consumption trajectory of home décor sector are intrinsically linked to realty sector and economic growth of the country.
3. unorganised players
Finally a sectoral snapshot:

Which is your pick?

Greenpanel, Century, Greenlam look interesting to me.

Like RT if its helpful.

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More from @Goldforestinves

Dec 2, 2023
🥭Foods Inn Inv ppt & Concall Notes: 🧵

🌟Product Positioning: Pulp maker with prominent share in mango now expanding to other fruits

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👍Clients: The company's largest client has committed to a three-year contract with annual growth in volumes.
♻️The company is in advanced negotiations for co-packing opportunities in the domestic and international markets for Tetra Recart products. Image
💹Emerging Business Verticals and potential:

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🔔Jupiter Wagons Limited (JWL) Detailed AR 2023 🧵

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Feb 13, 2023
Mental Models 🧵

1/ Frameworks for thinking about & understanding world. help us make sense of complex situations & make decisions with more clarity and confidence.

In investing, mental models can be especially useful for understanding and evaluating investment opportunities
2/ Here are a few mental models that can be applied to investing:
First Principles Thinking: mental model involves breaking down a complex situation into its basic building blocks and reasoning from first principles, rather than relying on preconceived notions or assumptions
3/ Circle of Competence: This mental model involves understanding the industries, companies, and markets that you have knowledge and expertise in, and avoiding those that you don’t.
Read 20 tweets
Mar 23, 2022
#sonacomstar this is big

Happy shareholder to see such innovation from Indian co👌 @sonacomstar @sunjaykapur

⚡️Sona Comstar launches “Motor T” family of motors & controllers

⚡️⚡️⚡️has the highest efficiency (96%), power & torque density in 48V category in world
@nid_rockz
‐ Next‐gen tech for best efficiency, Torque & Power density in 48V category in the world

-Motor T family is designed to achieve the best combined performance in both power (more than 1.1 kW/kg) and torque density (more than 7.5 Nm/kg) along with 96% efficiency in a single motor
-Other variants in the Motor T family include Motor T (HS) that has a whopping 14kW peak power under 10kg with 96% efficiency meant for high speed two wheelers,
Read 4 tweets
Aug 27, 2021
Some interesting themes:

1. Amines - alkyl amine, balaji
2. Acetyl derivatives- Laxmi organics , Jubilant ingrevia
3.phenols - deepak nitrite
4. Solar/renewable- Borosil renewable, visaka
5. EV theme- Tata power, kabra extrusion, fiem, tata elxi, LTTS (many more)

Keep adding..
QSR and delivery- Jub food, BK, Zomato, devyani

Retail- Dmart, reliance retail

Cons.durable manufact.- Dixon, amber
Music - TIPS, SAREGAMA
Platforms- CDSL, CAMS
Travel monopoply- IRCTC
Digital tech basket- easytrip, cartrade and many upcoming IPOs
Read 7 tweets
Jun 9, 2021
(1/12) ✳STRONG MONOPOLIES :🧵

*IRCTC* 100% Market share in Rail Network.

*IEX* >90% market share in power trading.

*Zydus wellness* >90% market share in sugar free product.

*Eicher motors* >85% market share in 250cc bikes category.
(2/12) *MCX* >85% market share in commodity trading.

*Coal India* >80% market share in coal production in India.

*ITC* >75% market share in cigarettes.

*Honda Siel* >75% in portable power generators.

*Hindustan Zinc* >75% market share in primary zinc industry.
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*NRB Bearings* >70% market share in needle roller bearings.

*Pidilite* >65% market share in adhesives.

*CAMS* >65% market share in RTA within mutual fund industry.
Read 12 tweets

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