Since Joe Biden wants social media companies to deal with disinformation, can they start with banning this image?

It is 100% bullshit but it is causing real harm b/c people in charge believe it Image
ok, so people are asking me why this is bullshit

Here is the original study and the original chart

Those % outward leakage numbers are not measured numbers. They are extrapolated from another study and mushed together with yet a third study.

cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspecti… Image
None of these studies were done through actually measuring anything. They were done with simulations, theory, and mathematical extrapolation.

All the data is derived & extrapolated, it bares only a distant relationship to actually measuring mask efficacy in a pandemic.
We should not be making policy based on made-up charts with fake numbers describing theoretical scenarios.

But we will! We will make policy based on this chart b/c the people in charge have no idea what they are doing and are numerically illiterate.

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More from @politicalmath

14 Jan
I am begging parents of small children to knock this particular worry down at least 15 notches
Here's the terrible truth: I don't want any more vaccine approvals until we can get a Congress in office that will outlaw vaccine mandates. Every single approval turns into a mandate and it is anti-science insanity that even the vaccine approvers are opposed to.
I honestly think that there is a really good compromise to be made where we approve vaccines and boosters sooner, but with the explicit written-in-law understanding that the approval is conditional on the voluntary nature of the vaccines.
Read 4 tweets
14 Jan
hey y'all

I like Glenn Beck

17 years ago when I was young and doing a shit job for shit money, he was the only joyful person on the radio. He was funny and kind and it was a delight

I hope he recovers and lives a good long life
Back in the early oughts, Glenn Beck would occasionally run a poll of listeners and basically say "should we talk about these bullshit politics or what happened on 24 last night"

and 24 would always win

So he'd talk about a TV show everyone loved. It was great
When the Abu Ghraib stuff came out, Beck was livid. Absolutely furious.

While Limbaugh was making "oh these are just like college pranks" comparisons, Beck was calling for heads. He was genuinely angry that our soldiers could sink to such depravity.
Read 4 tweets
12 Jan
This is a great piece and I don't have the answer to "how do we repair our public health institutions" but I do know this:

There is no possibility of reform that does not begin with massive, brutal transparency and public firings
Any public health system that continues to rely on the figures who sold lies to the public is not fixable

Until someone stands accountable for those lies, nothing can be built because the foundation is rotten

archive.ph/2022.01.12-135…
I want to know why the FDA relied on Pfizer data when they approved Moderna boosters

Like, I want to know the names of the people who made that decision, I want their meeting notes, their emails, and I want to know they're not ever writing policy again

Read 5 tweets
12 Jan
If I could force myself to do 1 big thing on twitter this year, it would be to re-align all my rhetoric so I am consistently praising and making friends with people who are pushing for a solid "this is over" COVID plan
There is this weird thing I can't pin down... tons of people are agitating to get rid of mitigations and get back to normal. You can sense it, they don't like this, and they want to take active steps to getting things settled.

It's non-partisan. It's people all over the place.
Some people want to decrease mitigations b/c they think it's hurting Ds politically & are worried about the midterms. I'm not talking about those people.

I know people from all political persuasions who are just done and don't care about the politics of it in the least
Read 5 tweets
10 Jan
Florida reports deaths to the CDC with exactly the same parameters that the HHS requires from literally every single state

The face that James is stoking the "Florida is faking their data" fire just shows what a shit he is
You want to know whose death reporting is weird?

It's Ohio, which is continuously backlogging their data so that every single time series report shows that their latest death numbers have declined to zero

No one else does this
have I ever complained about Ohio's death data? No, because, even though it is unique and weird, I can see the pattern. I might not agree, but I understand why they do it.

James hasn't even noticed Ohio's data b/c Ohio presents no opportunity for him to be a partisan shit
Read 4 tweets
5 Jan
I used to love xkcd

my disillusionment came when I got his "Thing Explainer" book

I thought my kids would love it, he explains complicated stuff using only the 1000 most common English worlds

But, as I tried to get my kids into this, I realized that it's not a book for kids

It's a book for nerds

It explains things terribly b/c you need more than 1000 words to really explain things

It's a joke book for dorks who enjoy matching complicated concepts to simple words
You have to already have enough knowledge to know that "planes with turning wings" means "helicopter" to enjoy the word-challenge Munroe sets for himself in explaining how a helicopter works

He's not explaining anything. He's just tackling word problems for other dorks.
Read 5 tweets

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