Italy's MFA undersecretary Di Stefano announces IT government intends to double TAP capacity to 20 bcm, also considering supplies from Turkmenistan "in the future"
Mentions 2 important caveats
- market tests (so far, not so good)
- Azerbaijan additional supplies (who knows?)
Interestingly, the undersecretary(M5S) does not mention EastMed/Poseidon. M5S sided with local protests against TAP in the past, and may have reservations to support a project that implies another pipeline landing on the same territory. Something an expansion of TAP doesn't need.
Any sudden rush to additional pipelines in Italy faces however some risks. First, imagine Russia changes policy at some point in the near future, and decides to flood EU markets (provided it has capacity to do so) taking prices abruptly down
Second, climate targets. In the current environment, capital intensive projects with long pay-back periods need to address the risk of carbon lock-ins or asset stranding. Who's going to pay for it?
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1.IEA’s chief Birol sparked intense debate by accusing Russia of orchestrating the current gas supply crunch in Europe. But why would Russia do that? A (long) thread ft.com/content/668a84…
2.First some background. There are two drivers through which Russia has influenced gas prices in Europe: the levels of storage in Gazprom’s facilities in Europe, and the level of spot sales to European markets
3. Historically low storage levels in Europe are recorded since July. But some facilities are emptier than others. It is the case of Gazprom’s facilities in Germany and Austria, which take down overall EU level