Sven Etienne Profile picture
Jan 14, 2022 8 tweets 4 min read Read on X
A small research project I did on demonstrated language use of Ukrainians on social media (Instagram). I calculated the percentage of what language posts were in each of Ukraine's oblasts.

Overall, results displayed a higher use of Russian than Ukrainian. ImageImage
Languages found in samples were overwhelmingly limited to Russian and Ukrainian; English was negligible. Results also reflected the stereotypical Russian East/South vs Ukrainian West divide. ImageImage
However, when compared against each other, my data contrasted with other surveys about the "native language" of Ukrainians, demonstrating a far higher use of Russian. ImageImage
My data more closely resembled pre-2014 voting patterns, such as the 2010 presidential election. This probably indicates Ukrainians are using Russian (+getting information from Russian language sources) at much greater levels than what they claim as their native language. ImageImage
Russian accounted for 50% of all posts in the entire country. This is higher than Ukrainian, which was still used by less than half of the population despite efforts to strengthen Ukrainian language use since 2014. ImageImage
Data about self-declared language knowledge from VK in 2015 also reflect similar results to my Instagram data. The fact that such data comes 6 years old from a site with an expected Russian bias raises questions on how much language use has really changed. ImageImage
One interesting finding was that almost all forms of grassroots advertising or marketing (thus excluding paid advertising registered with Instagram itself) was in Russian. Perhaps when profit is put on the line, Ukrainians still chose to use Russian?
Also important to note that Instagram is a social media site used mostly by young people (overwhelmingly 18-34). Facebook, with an older demographic, reports that about 75% of Ukrainian users use the site with a Russian-language interface.

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More from @Sven_Etienne

Sep 3, 2025
I landed in China about 10 days ago to visit the country (and East Asia) for the first time.

My thoughts: Image
There are a lot of Chinese people.

The demographic statistics are not lying.

Even cities that you have never heard of are as packed, bustling, and dense as New York/Paris. Image
This likely contributes to the fact that every Chinese city has a modern metro system, and cheap rentable bikes are everywhere.

Coupled with the amazing highspeed rail system, I am doubtful many people would actually need a car in China. Image
Read 22 tweets
Jul 21, 2025
These kinds of reports are insightful in revealing exactly what vision influential figures in Washington have for China.

🧵 Thread on some of the reports most telling passages:
"Nuremberg-style tribunals" for members of the CCP.

The tribunals will be run by bodies composed of liberals, Falun Gong, ethnic minorities, and even former government officials.

These populations will also draft a new constitution for the nation. Image
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The United States should support the secession of Chinese autonomous regions unless doing so is "unrealistic or is not in American interests." Image
Read 11 tweets
Jun 23, 2022
I just got out of the US government's first (in a coming series) webinar on "The Decolonization of Russia".

Some quotes and highlights:
"Decolonization is about listening."

'This webinar serves as a space where we can hear the voices of "those who experienced the trauma of living in the USSR."'
The comments section was probably the most interesting part.

(Vast majority of questions went unaddressed, due to time) ImageImageImageImage
Read 10 tweets
Feb 28, 2022
Not sure why people are painting the publication of this piece as a "mistake". It is still up on Sputnik, and seems to only imply that the operation is destined for success, not that it is necessarily already over.
The author has no idea about much of Ukraine's fate.

Insists that statehood may not be liquidated (despite possible border change). Integration into CSTO, EAEU, maybe Union State likely.

Russian world (Russia, Belarus, Ukraine) "acting in geopolitical terms as a single whole."
Read 6 tweets
Feb 27, 2022
This is massive news.

A one off €100 billion in addition to its usual annual defense spending means that Germany will be spending about ~3.25% of GDP on its defense in 2022.

Russian actions may have just reactivated Germany.
Clarification: still unclear if this €100 billion is on top of already existing defense budget.

If not, German defense spending will amount to 2.5% of GDP.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26, 2022
"..unswerving loyalty to theoretical constructs has bred an academic urge to fit reality to theory. Times of crisis, at least, have a habit of dispelling the madness: It is more important to do right than to be right."
While I sympathize with this piece, I think the real failure of IR theory simply comes down to the fact that such theories also impact decision making. Expecting policymakers to follow abstract laws without being influenced by the studying of these laws is very foolish.
Many would say that I have realist leanings, although I would never discredit the truth to liberalism or certain constructivisms' logic in states led by foreign policy cultures that believe such theories are important.
Read 4 tweets

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