Here's the evidence I was referring to on higher (and rising) rates (per 100,000 people) in the vaccinated than the unvaccinated.

Starting with Iceland:
covid.is/data
Scotland (age standardised):
publichealthscotland.scot/media/11089/22…
Ontario (also available by age): covid-19.ontario.ca/data#casesByVa…

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More from @ClareCraigPath

15 Jan
UKHSA have published data which allows a calculation of the percentage survival rate by age and vaccine status.

Starting with the oldest. Last point shows a 4% difference in survival between double dosed and unvaccinated. Image
Some would aruge the one dose cohort includes people who were too sick to have the second dose - I don't know how true that is.

The last data point are deaths in 4 weeks up to 9th Jan so a drop can be hoped for with Omicron after this point.
Cases in patients not linked to the NIMS system are assumed to be unvaccinated people who then mostly are registered in the system before death.

Next 70-79 year olds. There is a 4.5% difference between double dosed and unvaccinated at last data point. Image
Read 17 tweets
15 Jan
The UK should be rightly proud of our open and detailed public health data.

But we left out something critical.
I knew we had good data but I have been amazed at how extensive, detailed and transparent we are compared with most other countries.

We have data on surveys, 999 calls, ambulance trips, emergency visits, admissions, bed occupancy, ICU capacity and of course deaths.
Our death data is produced in detail, by region and age within only 2 weeks of deaths being registered.

In contrast, it takes months for the Canadians to even get a grand total figure.

But we leave out the most important deaths.
Read 5 tweets
14 Jan
Flu update.

Influenza breifly raised its head in USA then disappeared again on 2nd week of Dec as covid surged.

Let's look elsewhere...
The pattern was similar in UK
Whereas in Czechia, which had a large Autumn Delta wave, it disappeared again at the end of November. It did not return to Austria, Hungary, Slovenia, Bulgaria or Romania.
Read 8 tweets
14 Jan
Yesterday I was in the Royal Courts of Justice hearing the child vaccination case.

Two things struck me:
1. The people at the ONS have lost their moral compass
2. Numbers don't cut it
Everyone in the court agreed there had been a statistically significant rise in deaths in males 15-19 since May.
The ONS also agreed that this needed investigating. Noone claims to know why.
However, they spent hours on excuses about why they couldn't release data.

They implied that individual records would need to be released which would breach privacy.

All that was asked for was vaccination status and the time interval between vaccine and death.
Read 7 tweets
12 Jan
20% of tests are coming back positive in both France and Germany.

However...
France are testing 10 x as much
Finding many more 'cases'
Read 6 tweets

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