For the pessimists out there, a reminder that:
1. Demographics will turn against the Tories and for Labour. They may already be starting to do so.
2. Brexit is over and Brexit voters are VERY VERY unhappy. The culture war is fading out too: pandemics concentrate minds.
1. Demographics will turn against the Tories and for Labour. They may already be starting to do so.
2. Brexit is over and Brexit voters are VERY VERY unhappy. The culture war is fading out too: pandemics concentrate minds.
3. By-elections, at parliamentary and council level, suggest anti-Tories are becoming a lot more sophisticated in who they're voting for.
4. The cost of living squeeze this year will be horrible - and Sunak will be the man responsible for it.
4. The cost of living squeeze this year will be horrible - and Sunak will be the man responsible for it.
5. The Tories haven't just been in power for over a decade. They're tasked, in effect, with winning a fifth general election in a row. Which has NEVER BEEN DONE BEFORE.
At some point, enough voters get completely sick of whichever party's in charge. It's human nature.
At some point, enough voters get completely sick of whichever party's in charge. It's human nature.
6. Napoleon's most required quality in his generals? Luck. See also: football managers.
Starmer has shown plenty of signs already of being extremely lucky. Life is all about timing - and his timing looks ideal right now. Even though he has a huge amount still to prove.
Starmer has shown plenty of signs already of being extremely lucky. Life is all about timing - and his timing looks ideal right now. Even though he has a huge amount still to prove.
Am I leaping around with euphoria? No. I'm still pissed off with Starmer for the most part!
But he is seen by plenty of voters as competent, credible and reliable. Strategically, he and his party are pretty well placed overall.
But he is seen by plenty of voters as competent, credible and reliable. Strategically, he and his party are pretty well placed overall.
Never interrupt your opponent while they are making a mistake.
Now sure, Starmer's taking that maxim to breaking point - but it's working. Despite the insistence of so many that he'd never lay a glove on Johnson. The insistence of so many that nothing ever changes in politics.
Now sure, Starmer's taking that maxim to breaking point - but it's working. Despite the insistence of so many that he'd never lay a glove on Johnson. The insistence of so many that nothing ever changes in politics.
But it does, it can do so VERY fast, and it's always been about "events, dear boy".
Meanwhile, that two lying narcissists either side of the Atlantic have brought themselves down with their own arrogance and lethal recklessness is not exactly a shock.
Meanwhile, that two lying narcissists either side of the Atlantic have brought themselves down with their own arrogance and lethal recklessness is not exactly a shock.
Biden, Trump's temperamental opposite, was there to take advantage of that.
Starmer, Johnson's temperamental opposite, is there to do the same.
Starmer, Johnson's temperamental opposite, is there to do the same.
That's not worthy of no credit. It's worthy of plenty of credit... because in both cases, serious times call for serious people.
And after what they've been put through, I doubt the British electorate will again be choosing someone because they're "a laugh" any time soon.
And after what they've been put through, I doubt the British electorate will again be choosing someone because they're "a laugh" any time soon.
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