NEW: In addition to considering how to help the Ukrainian military and government fend off an invasion, the US is evaluating options for bolstering Ukrainian forces' ability to resist a potential Russian occupation. cnn.com/2022/01/18/pol…
That includes potentially providing the Ukrainian Army with additional ammunition, mortars, Javelin anti-tank missiles, and anti-aircraft missile systems, which would likely come from NATO allies, a senior US official told CNN.
Biden has said that sending US troops to Ukraine to fight a war w/ Russia is off the table. But special operations forces already rotate in & out of the country to provide training and it is possible that other agencies could provide some support, likely the CIA, an official said
The deliberations about supporting a resistance campaign reflect an increasingly pessimistic view inside the admin about Putin's willingness to invade and occupy swaths of Ukrainian territory. Russia has increased force levels since Friday, the senior admin official said.
Some members of the administration, however, are wary of getting bogged down in an anti-occupation support effort and have argued that US forces should leave if a war erupts. cnn.com/2022/01/18/pol…

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More from @NatashaBertrand

Jan 14
Scoop: The US has information that indicates Russia has prepositioned a group of operatives to conduct a false-flag operation in eastern Ukraine, a US official told CNN on Friday, in an attempt to create a pretext for an invasion. Story to come.
The official said the US has evidence that the operatives are trained in urban warfare and in using explosives to carry out acts of sabotage against Russia’s own proxy forces.
The allegation echoes a statement released by Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense on Friday, which said that Russian special services are preparing provocations against Russian forces in an attempt to frame Ukraine. NSA Sullivan hinted at this intel on Thursday.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 12
New: Senior admin officials say the US has finalized sanctions options in the event that Russia invades Ukraine. The Biden administration has sanctions targets and implementation measures “ready to go to be issued when those tanks cross the border,” one official said.
“The final package will depend upon exactly what scenario we are facing," he added. "But we are no longer at the point where we have just a memo that lays out options. We have concrete actions that we are ready to hit the return key on.”
The US is also aware of the risk that Putin tries to retaliate against any economic sanctions by weaponizing the export of Russian gas to Europe, and officials said contingencies are being planned if that happens.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 8
Sources familiar with the sanctions options said the administration is prepared to impose a range of significant trade restrictions on Russia should it invade Ukraine, including export control measures that could hamper its defense and aviation sectors. cnn.com/2022/01/08/pol…
Through the Foreign-Produced Direct Product Rule that the US has also imposed against Chinese tech company Huawei, the Biden administration is weighing banning exports to Russia of microelectronics —think computer chips—designed with US software or produced using US equipment.
Officials stressed that in the event of an invasion the US will go straight for high-impact targets, explicitly drawing a contrast with the response in 2014. Unlike then, the administration is prepared to adopt a "start high, stay high" approach with regard to Russian targets.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 28, 2021
"The fact that the Afghan army we and our partners trained simply melted away, in many cases without firing a shot, took us all by surprise, and it would be dishonest to claim otherwise," Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin tells Senators.
Gen. Milley: "A reconstituted Al Qaeda or ISIS with aspirations to attack the United States is a very real possibility. And those conditions...could present themselves in the next 12 to 36 months. That mission will be much harder now but not impossible."
Milley says with respect to the Chinese calls, "The calls on 30 October and 8 January were coordinated before and after with [then-Defense Secretary] Esper and acting Secretary Miller's staffs and the interagency."
Read 6 tweets
Aug 30, 2021
Breaking: Pentagon announces completion of withdrawal from Afghanistan.
The last C-17 left Hamid Karzai Airport at 3:29 p.m, Gen. McKenzie says.
No Americans were on the last flights out, McKenzie says. As of earlier today there were still around 250 left in the country.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 26, 2021
"We will hunt you down and make you pay," Biden says to perpetrators of the attack and those who wish to do harm to the U.S.
"I've also told my commanders to attack ISIS-K assets and we will respond with precision, at our time, at a place that we choose, and the moment of our choosing. Here's what you need to know. These ISIS terrorists will not win," Biden says.
"I've instructed the military, whatever they need, if they need additional force, I will grant it," Biden says. But he says his officials subscribe to the mission as designed.
Read 4 tweets

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