Letโs take a look at more of my favorite patterns when it comes to trading ๐๐ฝ
1. Falling Window 2. Marubozu Pattern 3. Bull Flag 4. Bear Flag 5. Tri-star Bullish 6. Tri-star Bearish 7. Dark Cloud Cover
1/ Falling window
Ever see those gaps in a share price?
It usually happens in a downtrend
It happens when yesterday's low is above today's high, leaving a hole on the daily price chart.
This is a bearish continuation pattern
Example:
PayPal Holdings, on the 4th of November 2021, there was a clear gap in the price.
The stock fell very quickly and signaled this was going to continue moving down further. It was a good time to start cutting exposure.
$PYPL
2/ Marubozu pattern
Marubozu means โdominanceโ
The close of the day is equal to the high of the day.
Itโs a strong bullish sign, the stock opened and kept rising for the day.
Vice versa for a bearish trend, I use it as a signal that the uptrend is going to continue.
Example:
On the 4th of November 2021,
$MTN closed at R147.52, the Marubozu signaled that there was strong movement in this continued uptrend.
On the 5th of November MTN reached a high of R174.82.
R147.52 to R174.82 (18% return).
Subsequently, profit taking occurred
MTN continued to sell off, which I initially thought was a bull flag (yellow channel) but the correction seemed deeper than 50% of the breakout.
Price seems to have stalled recently and I donโt see any setups, price must hold otherwise there might be some pain ahead.
3/
Bull Flag
Whatโs a bull flag?
Glad you asked๐
Itโs one of my favorite patterns.
It literally looks like a flag poll and the flag.
It is a continuation pattern of an existing uptrend, it consolidates in the opposite direction of the trend and then breaks out.
Example:
Sasol ( $SOL )
Had a clear bull flag set up
It is why I tried to let the world know that there was money to be made ๐๐ฝ
4/
Bear Flag
A bear flag is the opposite of a bull flag. It is the continuation pattern of an existing down trend.
This formation is a strong move down and then followed by consolidation channel upwards before breaking lower again.
Example:
PayPal Holdings $PYPL
PayPal has been in free fall, like most of the US stocks, but PayPal gave a clear sign that it was going to continue falling, clear bear flag pattern that took place.
Meaning, now is probably still not the best time to buy.
5/ Tri-Star Bullish Pattern
It consists of 3 candles stick lines. All 3 are doji candles. The middle doji is below the other two
A tri-star pattern near a significant support level gives a better confirmation of a reversal of a prolonged downtrend.
Example ๐๐ฝ
6/ Tri-Star Bearish Pattern
This is the opposite of a Tri-Star bullish pattern.
It signals a reversal in the current trend.
A tri-star pattern near a significant resistance level increases your chances of a successful trade.
7/
Dark Cloud Cover
There is a storm coming, this is a bearish reversal pattern,
It opens above the close of the prior candle and then closes below the midpoint of the green candle.
Thatโs the tweet, follow me @talkcentss for more trading education.
You can also get your weekly dose of in-depth stock analysis by simply subscribing to my YouTube channel ๐
In this thread, the basic candlestick patterns and charts will be taught.
๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป
** ๐๐น๐ผ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ **
๐ขBull (ish) = Price is rising
๐ดBear (ish) = Price is falling
๐Resistance:
Price battles to move higher
๐Support:
Price holds at a certain level
** ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ง๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ **
๐ Candlestick
๐ Line
๐ Bar
There are more, but these 3 are common.
Weโll be ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฐ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐น๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ, as it is the most important and the easiest one to trade.
Let me explain the difference between RSA Retail Savings Bonds and tradable South African bonds.
๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ป
** Glossary **
๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ:
A bond is a debt security. You can think of it as an I-O-U.
You lend money to someone, and then they promise to pay that money back to you + interest.
๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐:
Refers to the date on which the bond issuer (debtor) pays back everything they owe to bondholders ( creditor ).
1/ Introduction
When it comes to bonds there are two markets one can opt to participate in:
๐ The Primary Market
๐ The Secondary Market
The primary market is where you ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ด๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ but then cannot sell it to someone else because there is no secondary market for it.
๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐น ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ and this is what makes them different from tradable government bonds.
Tradable government bonds have a secondary market where they can be traded or held to maturity.
This means you can sell it when you want to, but it also means you can potentially lose money if the bond price has fallen lower than your original purchase price.
With tradable government bonds, you are ๐๐๐ฏ๐ท๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ธ.
๐๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด records information related to a businessโs transactions,
It provides a summary of statements reflecting the financial performance of an entity. Think of it as the ๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฏ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐.
National Treasury ( NT ) plans to use the ๐๐ป๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ from the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account ( GFECRA )
They call it โ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ฎ๐น๐นโ arrangement
Learn more ๐ป
** Glossary **
โช๏ธNational Treasury
โช๏ธGFECRA
National Treasury is one of many departments of the South African Government
The Treasury falls within the portfolio of the Minister of Finance, and the role of NT is to manage the Governmentโs Finances.
The South African Revenue Service (SARS) and Statistics South Africa also fall under this wing.
โโโโโโ-
The Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account is a tool used to safeguard the country's financial stability.
This accountโs purpose is in its name, it holds the reserves of gold and foreign currencies South Africa has built up.
1/ The Waterfall Arrangement
๐ฆ๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ถ๐ป *๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ, it means it has grown larger over the years due to currency depreciation.
( remember this, cause this will be important later on )
โโโโโ
Going forward, the funds from the GFECRA will now be distributed into 3 pools, ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ธ๐ป๐ผ๐๐ป ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐.
*Unsettled funds going into ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ๐, means funds that entered into the account and had no purpose, they werenโt allocated or spent to anything specific.
*Picture just for visualization purposes to show the 3 Pools ( Waterfall arrangement)