David (TalkingCents) Profile picture
Jan 19, 2022 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 7 min read โ€ข Read on X
There are No More Secrets when it comes to Trading. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

- thread -
ษขแด‡แด› สแดแดœส€ แด˜ษชแด‡แด„แด‡ แด๊œฐ แด›สœแด‡ แด˜ษชแด‡ ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ Image
Before you read this thread, Iโ€™d suggest you learn the basics first ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ
*Glossary

โ€ข Resistance:
Price battles to move higher

โ€ข Support:
Price holds at a certain level Image
Letโ€™s take a look at more of my favorite patterns when it comes to trading ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

1. Falling Window
2. Marubozu Pattern
3. Bull Flag
4. Bear Flag
5. Tri-star Bullish
6. Tri-star Bearish
7. Dark Cloud Cover
1/
Falling window

Ever see those gaps in a share price?

It usually happens in a downtrend

It happens when yesterday's low is above today's high, leaving a hole on the daily price chart.

This is a bearish continuation pattern Image
Example:

PayPal Holdings, on the 4th of November 2021, there was a clear gap in the price.

The stock fell very quickly and signaled this was going to continue moving down further. It was a good time to start cutting exposure.

$PYPL Image
2/
Marubozu pattern

Marubozu means โ€˜dominanceโ€™

The close of the day is equal to the high of the day.

Itโ€™s a strong bullish sign, the stock opened and kept rising for the day.

Vice versa for a bearish trend, I use it as a signal that the uptrend is going to continue. ImageImage
Example:

On the 4th of November 2021,
$MTN closed at R147.52, the Marubozu signaled that there was strong movement in this continued uptrend.

On the 5th of November MTN reached a high of R174.82.

R147.52 to R174.82 (18% return).

Subsequently, profit taking occurred Image
MTN continued to sell off, which I initially thought was a bull flag (yellow channel) but the correction seemed deeper than 50% of the breakout.

Price seems to have stalled recently and I donโ€™t see any setups, price must hold otherwise there might be some pain ahead. Image
3/
Bull Flag

Whatโ€™s a bull flag?
Glad you asked๐Ÿ˜Š

Itโ€™s one of my favorite patterns.

It literally looks like a flag poll and the flag.

It is a continuation pattern of an existing uptrend, it consolidates in the opposite direction of the trend and then breaks out. ImageImage
Example:

Sasol ( $SOL )

Had a clear bull flag set up

It is why I tried to let the world know that there was money to be made ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

Image
4/
Bear Flag

A bear flag is the opposite of a bull flag. It is the continuation pattern of an existing down trend.

This formation is a strong move down and then followed by consolidation channel upwards before breaking lower again. Image
Example:

PayPal Holdings $PYPL

PayPal has been in free fall, like most of the US stocks, but PayPal gave a clear sign that it was going to continue falling, clear bear flag pattern that took place.

Meaning, now is probably still not the best time to buy. Image
5/
Tri-Star Bullish Pattern

It consists of 3 candles stick lines. All 3 are doji candles. The middle doji is below the other two

A tri-star pattern near a significant support level gives a better confirmation of a reversal of a prolonged downtrend.

Example ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ ImageImage
6/
Tri-Star Bearish Pattern

This is the opposite of a Tri-Star bullish pattern.

It signals a reversal in the current trend.

A tri-star pattern near a significant resistance level increases your chances of a successful trade. ImageImage
7/
Dark Cloud Cover

There is a storm coming, this is a bearish reversal pattern,

It opens above the close of the prior candle and then closes below the midpoint of the green candle. Image
Thatโ€™s the tweet, follow me @talkcentss for more trading education.

You can also get your weekly dose of in-depth stock analysis by simply subscribing to my YouTube channel ๐Ÿ˜Š

Click here ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

youtube.com/channel/UCrI_7โ€ฆ Image

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @talkcentss

Apr 9
๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฆ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ

In this thread, the basic candlestick patterns and charts will be taught.

๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ”ป Image
** ๐—š๐—น๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† **

๐ŸŸขBull (ish) = Price is rising
๐Ÿ”ดBear (ish) = Price is falling

๐Ÿ“ˆResistance:
Price battles to move higher

๐Ÿ“‰Support:
Price holds at a certain level Image
** ๐—–๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ง๐˜†๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐˜€ **

๐ŸŸ Candlestick
๐ŸŸ Line
๐ŸŸ Bar

There are more, but these 3 are common.

Weโ€™ll be ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ, as it is the most important and the easiest one to trade. Image
Read 23 tweets
Mar 3
Dividends Explained

๐ŸŸข ๐—”๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€
๐Ÿ”ด ๐——๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜€

Time to learn ๐Ÿ”ป Image
๐Ÿญ/ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€

Dividends are payments made by a company to its shareholders.

When you invest into a company (own equity) you become a shareholder of that company and then have a claim on future cashflows. Image
The net profits from the respective company youโ€™ve invested in can be:

(๐Ÿญ) ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€
(๐Ÿฎ) ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€
(๐Ÿฏ) ๐—•๐—ผ๐˜๐—ต (๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ + ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ)

The retention and amount of distributions are dependent on what the board of directors decide.

โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ถ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€

Dividends can be paid in two forms, depending on what is decided:

(1) Paid in cash
(2) Additional Shares, known as a stock dividend

This is the way for a company to share its profits, and can be seen as a sign of financial stability.Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 7
๐—š๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Let me explain the difference between RSA Retail Savings Bonds and tradable South African bonds.

๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ ๐Ÿ”ป Image
** Glossary **

๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ:

A bond is a debt security. You can think of it as an I-O-U.

You lend money to someone, and then they promise to pay that money back to you + interest.

๐— ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†:

Refers to the date on which the bond issuer (debtor) pays back everything they owe to bondholders ( creditor ).Image
1/ Introduction

When it comes to bonds there are two markets one can opt to participate in:

๐ŸŸ  The Primary Market
๐ŸŸ  The Secondary Market

The primary market is where you ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ but then cannot sell it to someone else because there is no secondary market for it.

*So the price of the bond cannot fall.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ:

๐ŸŸขNo fees
๐ŸŸขNo commission
๐ŸŸขNo Risk
๐ŸŸขGuaranteed returns

โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€ ๐—•๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ and this is what makes them different from tradable government bonds.

๐—ข๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜,

Tradable government bonds have a secondary market where they can be traded or held to maturity.

This means you can sell it when you want to, but it also means you can potentially lose money if the bond price has fallen lower than your original purchase price.

With tradable government bonds, you are ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—ท๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ธ.Image
Read 16 tweets
May 9, 2024
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ณ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜

This is the part where many of us get confused when reading financial statements.

But not anymore๐Ÿ”ป Image
*** Catch up ***

Here is a basic understanding of the three most common financial statements.

Start with this thread before continuing ๐Ÿ”ป
1/ The Cashflow Statement

Is an important tool used to manage the finances of a business by tracking the cash flow of an organization.

Itโ€™s divided into 3 Parts:

โ–ช๏ธOperating activities
โ–ช๏ธInvesting activities
โ–ช๏ธFinancing activities Image
Read 13 tweets
May 5, 2024
๐—™๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ

โ–ช๏ธCashflow Statement
โ–ช๏ธIncome Statement
โ–ช๏ธBalance Sheet

Beginners guide ๐Ÿ”ป Image
1/ ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป

๐—”๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด records information related to a businessโ€™s transactions,

It provides a summary of statements reflecting the financial performance of an entity. Think of it as the ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€.

Letโ€™s take a look ๐Ÿ”ป
2/ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ณ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜

The Cashflow statement shows:

โ–ช๏ธSources
(where money came from)

โ–ช๏ธUses
(how the money was used)

It ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ of a business (Money in, and money out) Image
Read 12 tweets
Mar 25, 2024
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ต ๐—”๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ

National Treasury ( NT ) plans to use the ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜€ from the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account ( GFECRA )

They call it โ€˜๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—นโ€™ arrangement

Learn more ๐Ÿ”ป
Image
Image
** Glossary **

โ–ช๏ธNational Treasury
โ–ช๏ธGFECRA

National Treasury is one of many departments of the South African Government

The Treasury falls within the portfolio of the Minister of Finance, and the role of NT is to manage the Governmentโ€™s Finances.

The South African Revenue Service (SARS) and Statistics South Africa also fall under this wing.

โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”-

The Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account is a tool used to safeguard the country's financial stability.

This accountโ€™s purpose is in its name, it holds the reserves of gold and foreign currencies South Africa has built up.
1/ The Waterfall Arrangement

๐—ฆ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—š๐—™๐—˜๐—–๐—ฅ๐—” ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป *๐˜‚๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฑ, it means it has grown larger over the years due to currency depreciation.

( remember this, cause this will be important later on )

โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”

Going forward, the funds from the GFECRA will now be distributed into 3 pools, ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ต ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ช๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜.

The three pools are:

(1) GFECRA Buffer Account
(2) SARBโ€™s Contingency Reserve
(3) National Treasury

โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”-

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ:

*Unsettled funds going into ๐—š๐—™๐—˜๐—–๐—ฅ๐—”, means funds that entered into the account and had no purpose, they werenโ€™t allocated or spent to anything specific.

*Picture just for visualization purposes to show the 3 Pools ( Waterfall arrangement)Image
Read 14 tweets

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