Derek Thompson Profile picture
Jan 21, 2022 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Last week, I asked: What's the most incredible, statistical-outlier accomplishment in U.S. major sports history?

I got several thousand responses. Here are my top 10.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
10. The 2010 San Diego Chargers

As far as I know, only one team in professional sports history has finished 1st in offense, 1st in defense, and also missed the playoffs.
9. Bob Beamon's record-breaking long jump in the 1968 Olympics.

Hard to think of another sports achievement so outlierish that officials had to stop the game to figure out WTF just happened and the player, upon learning of the record, was so shocked that he suffered a seizure
8. Shohei Ohtani's 2021 season

People compare Ohtani to a modern Babe Ruth. But what Ohtani did was even stranger and more outlandish than anything Ruth accomplished in a single season.
7. Barry Bonds' 2001-2004 statistics

Yes, I know, he was on all of the steroids. But his intentional walk records—read to the bottom of this screenshot!—are still some of the most ludicrous things to ever happen in sports.
6. Cy Young’s wins and complete games records

Cy threw 749 complete games. No current pitcher has thrown 4+ since 2018. It would take a modern ace more years of peak performance to break Cy's CG record than the total number of years that baseball has existed.
5. Nolan Ryan

He played forever, struck out everybody, and walked everybody else.
4. Tiger Woods' 1997-2013 run

Tiger Woods is the only player in modern history to win all four majors in a row and the only player to win any major by 10 or more strokes. In fact, he did that twice: in the 1997 Masters and 2000 U.S. Open.
3. Babe Ruth's 1920s statistics don't make any sense.

In two different years, he hit more home runs than any other team. That’s just stupid.
2. Tied for second, we have Wilt Chamberlain's insane 1960s stats and Bill Russell's untouchable 1960s championship run.

Sorry for all the words. There are just ... a lot of totally untouchable records here.
1. This is it.

The most statistically impressive record in US sports history.

Wayne Gretzky—the NHL’s all-time leader in goals, assists, and points—has so many more assists than No. 2 that if he never scored a goal in his entire career, he’d still be all-time leader in points.
A Tom Brady stat for the road:

“The NFL record for career completions is 67.8%. Brady has made the conference championship 73.7% of starting seasons. Brady makes the conference championship at a higher rate than any QB completes passes.” @RealAlexBarth

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Addendum:

To everybody pointing out that Gretzky is a Canadian who set some of these records for a Canadian team: Correct!

Perhaps I should say this is a list of statistical achievements by Americans or for organizations currently headquartered in the U.S. :)

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More from @DKThomp

Aug 5
I wrote about the urban family exodus.

America's biggest and richest cities are losing children at an alarming rate.

From 2020 to 2023, the number of kids under 5 declined by
- almost 20% in NYC
- about 15% in LA, SF, Chicago, and St Louis
- >10% in NoLA, Philly, Honolulu Image
This exodus is not merely the result of past COVID waves.

Even at the slower rate of out-migration since 2021, several counties—Manhattan, Brooklyn, Chicago, Los Angeles, and San Francisco—are on pace to lose 50% of their under-5 child population by the mid-2040s. Insane. Image
Progressives have a family problem.

It's not the "childless cat lady" problem that Vance etc want to talk about. It's an urban policy.

Progressives preside over counties that young families are leaving. And that's bad.

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Read 5 tweets
May 21
All optimism is local.

1. New Fed survey: 72% of Americans say their own finances are "doing at least okay" ... but just 22% say the national economy is good

2. In all 7 swing states, majority say (a) their state’s economy is good, and (b) the nat'l economy is bad
Image
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"Everything is terrible but I'm fine" has a lot of parts to it.

But one part of it is ppl have direct experience of their own life but draw impressions of the world from media, which is negative-biased and getting more negative over time.

Read 4 tweets
Apr 14
Homicides are plummeting.

In all 10 cities with the most 2023 homicides—for which we have data—homicides are falling. The pandemic crime wave is crashing hard.

If these percentage decline numbers were percentage growth numbers, it would be the lede of every cable news show—> Image
Memphis homicides this year have declined 3% on an annualized basis


Image
Read 4 tweets
Apr 9
New pod: The 4 dark laws of online engagement, according to psychologist @jayvanbavel

1. Negativity bias drives headline clicks
2. Extreme opinions drive in-group sharing
3. Out-group animosity drives engagement
4. "Moral-emotional" language goes viral

open.spotify.com/episode/5axHxi…
1. Negativity bias drives headline clicks

The most fundamental bias in news is not left, right, pro-corporate, or anti-tech. It's a bad toward catastrophic frames. An analysis of 105,000 different variations of news stories generating 5.7 million clicks found that "for a headline of average length, each additional negative word increased the click-through rate by 2.3%"Image
2. Extreme opinions drive in-group sharing

On Twitter, 97% of political posts on Twitter come from 10% of the most active users, and 90% of political opinions are represented by less than 3% of tweets. Because these users are disproportionately extreme, it creates a situation where the moderate middle, which might be dominant in corporeal reality, is absent online.Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 3
In the last 25 years:

1. The U.S. had the fastest decline in church attendance in history

2. Socializing time fell for all groups—but declined the most for those whose religiosity fell the most

I wrote about what America loses when it loses religion

theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
One myth of religion in America is that, since secularism in the west is old, the great dechurching is an old phenomenon, too.

That's not quite right.

Church attendance was remarkably steady in the 20th century. This wave of religious un-affiliation is only 30 years old.
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Ppl often say stuff like: Religion declined, and Americans tried to replace faith in god w/ crystals, or politics, or UFOs.

I'm interested in the time-use piece of this. Religious rituals declined, and Americans seem to have replaced them with ... sitting at home watching TV.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Austin is building housing like crazy.

Rents are down 7%.

But rather than frame this achievement as a win for renters—or for the arg that housing prices respond to supply growth—WSJ frames it pretty clearly as bad news across the board. Image
Seems important to arguments about supply side growth and prices that Austin

(a) leads the nation is apartment construction as a share of supply, and
(b) rent prices have meaningfully declined
Image
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Yes, housing is a market, producers are a part of the market, and markets don't work longterm if prices just go down.

But, again, FRAMING. Downtown housing supply in rich, high-productive metros is a national problem. Solving that problem *necessarily* requires rents to soften.
Read 5 tweets

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