Soon, AI tools will do what only very talented humans can do today. (I expect this to go mostly in the counter-intuitive order--creative fields first, cognitive labor next, and physical labor last.)
Great for society; not always great for individual jobs.
Great for society; not always great for individual jobs.
Using artists as an example, when anyone can create amazing art, there will be incredible upside for humanity, but downside for most individual artists.
(On the other hand, totally new kinds of art will be possible, and the skill that will matter will be imagination.)
(On the other hand, totally new kinds of art will be possible, and the skill that will matter will be imagination.)
Artists will be much more productive and have new capabilities, but the barrier to entry will be much lower.
And as the tools get better, "regular people" will be able to do almost anything they want themselves.
Eventually this will happen almost everywhere.
And as the tools get better, "regular people" will be able to do almost anything they want themselves.
Eventually this will happen almost everywhere.
On the whole, I think this is a great trend–we will all be able to do almost anything we can think of–but it is obviously not downside-free.
I think it's unavoidable and certainly not helpful to pretend otherwise.
I think it's unavoidable and certainly not helpful to pretend otherwise.
I think it should also push towards more equality.
In the future, I imagine we will need to figure out how to fairly distribute 1) wealth, 2) access to AGI systems, 3) governance decisions about how AGI systems are used.
In the future, I imagine we will need to figure out how to fairly distribute 1) wealth, 2) access to AGI systems, 3) governance decisions about how AGI systems are used.
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