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Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
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Jan 23 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
The world economy is being kept alive and functional by the #ZeroCOVID economics and social policy of the Far East (JP, TW, SG, PRC). Without it, global supply chains and the world economy would just crumble and collapse tomorrow
For those who say there is a “cost” to #ZeroCOVID: well, yes it's that you have to go to work keeping to the economy running, and you don't get to chill out while you lounge around for eternity as you push up daisies
And true, no country has had ZERO cases of COVID so #ZeroCOVID doesn't exist. PRC probably exaggerates its successes too. #ZeroCOVID aims towards zero by getting the Reff <1 in exponential decline. To do otherwise is to “live with” exponential eruptions of death
And yes JP, SG, SK have made mistakes eg opening up after achieving a high 2x vaxx rate, Tokyo death Olympics for political show. This cumulative graph shows that for most of the time, AU did better with #ZeroCOVID. Not for long. Wish for MASS DEATH?—you get it!

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More from @ToshiAkima

Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 23
I am sorry to say that clinicians don't know what evidence is. And YES, you ARE an idiot if you reply that RCTs are the pinnacle of scientific methodology. Nobody in aerospace safety or automobile safety uses RCTs. Einstein's theory of relativity has never been subjected to RCTs
There is no doubt about this: the idea that all science progresses through RCTs is a MASSIVE lie. If you showed this pyramid to physicists, they would laugh at you. In physics and engineering, the ability of your model to make correct predictions is considered more important
Because the biological sciences are primitive, we are forced into the crude empiricism of RCTs. But aerosol science is more about physics and engineering, where predictive mathematical modelling remains valid. It isn't necessary to be abjectly reduced to primitive empiricism
Read 10 tweets
Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 18
It looks like my prediction is on its way to coming true. But the example of S Africa suggests that the peak in deaths may be greatly delayed following the Omicron case numbers peaking
Well after the Omicron wave cases peaked, the South African deaths still continue to climb at a remarkable rate. This may well repeat elsewhere. It's possible that delayed deaths from non-pneumonitis causes are the driver of this
We know from previous variants that deaths in the year after recovery are increased. Could it be that this insidious “post-recovery” death is just an Omicron specific accelerated form of #longCOVID? theguardian.com/world/2021/dec…
Read 5 tweets
Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 8
Japanese messaging. Top priority is correct masking. Keep it on while talking. No chin masking. Ensure gapless fit. Avoid speaking loudly in crowded, poorly ventilated spaces
The slogan in the lower third box that goes 「目指そうゼロ密!」 means "let's aim for zero transmission". It's a very #ZeroCOVID message. The majority (2/3) of the poster focuses on aerosol transmission
Actually, a more accurate translation is “let's aim for zero close contact”. Even more emphatic here. Eliminating the three forms of close contact: physical closeness, crowding, and closed spaces
Read 15 tweets
Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 7
Apparently, we are at the “nobody saw it coming” stage of idiocy now. You not only saw it coming, you absolutely wanted it to be that way. You want tens of thousands mass infected and countless dead. All for the good of the “economy”
We have doggedly repeated the dire warning that letting it rip will destroy the economy rather than save it. The destruction wrought by uncontrolled contagion on consumer and business confidence will wreak the economy, not save it, let alone save lives
Letting rip with death and destruction does nothing beneficial for the economy. Controlled intervention accompanied by support packages is far more helpful. But neoliberal anti-interventional macroeconomic dogma has been allowed to dominate management
Read 4 tweets
Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 6
The US Omicron wave is headed towards a record high peak case incidence. While mortality will be blunted by vaccination, it is still going to be a vast wave of death and mayhem. Australia: expect the largest mass death civilian event in our history. Death will be endemic
Scott Morrison is merrily riding his wave of death, which he has chosen to unleash upon Australia. This will be the entry wave for many more waves of death to follow (each proclaimed as milder) #DeathWave
ICU admissions rates are seeing well-nigh vertical rises—almost certainly superexponential—and look set to follow hospitalisations in riding the colossal wave of death #DeathWave
Read 4 tweets
Dr Satoshi Akima Profile picture
Jan 2
Why our big COVID switch is foolish theage.com.au/national/why-o…
Omicron is “a very different disease and infection profile to previous variants”. Yes, in ways which make it more concerning given its higher viral load and tighter ACE2 binding is liable to engender severe disease in some situations eg in children
“So why these dramatic changes in policy? And are they safe?” At no point has “dramatic” evidence emerged that Omicron is Nature's gift of a perfectly safe attenuated live virus vaccine to be spread among the population as a free booster. That didn't work with smallpox either
Read 10 tweets

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