Magdi Semrau Profile picture
Jan 24 11 tweets 3 min read
I really miss having a 5-4 Supreme Court where one of the 5 was occasionally a swing vote. I miss the feeling of feeling like it was possible for a court case to result in a more just society. I miss not knowing the outcome. I miss feeling that layer of possible protection.
In any case, I am not being a doomer. Things could always get worse. And perhaps they could get better! Thomas may retire in the next decade. He could either be replaced w/ a much younger justice by a liberal president or a fascist one. We have to vote.
We also have to protect the lower courts. They were our only protection during the first 2 years of Trump's presidency. They didn't prevent damage in all cases, but, in many, they certainly slowed Trump down. Without these courts, he could have done more bad things much faster.
The first part of protecting the lower courts will be voting in 2022. After we lost in 2014, McConnell didn't just hold SCOTUS hostage, but slowed down ALL lower court appointments from 2015-2016, giving Trump & the GOP an almost unprecedented chance to shape the judiciary.
One court which Trump had the chance to shape was the 5th Circuit, which has now become the most radical court in the country. Guess over which states the 5th Circuit presides? Texas and Mississippi. Is it a coincidence they are now passing restrictive abortion laws?
Here's what haunts me: Our losses in 2014 and 2016 both contributed to Roe's perilous state. In more concrete terms, there are pregnant people, including some children as young as 9, who are now being forced to give birth in Texas. This is a consequence of our not voting.
In any case, this is indeed a depressing situation. But it could get much, much worse. It could also get better! But only if we vote.
Finally, Roe is just the beginning. Lawrence v. Texas & Obergefell may be next. If you think it's impossible the GOP would go after them, imagine if, six years ago, you would have thought they'd be passing laws placing bounties on pregnant people & banning the teaching of racism.
If you care about a single woman, a single LGBTQ person, or a single POC, you will spend the next 9.5 months doing everything you can to get out the vote in November. You have to vote to protect them. You have to vote to mitigate harm. You have to vote for the courts.
We see the news now that Affirmative Action is going before SCOTUS & our first reaction is not, "Let's see how it turns out," but, rather, "Welp, that's probably gone." I do not want to have that feeling about Lawrence v. Texas. I do not want to have that feeling about Obergefell
Conservatives have their eyes on *all* privacy protections, as @QueenMab87 explains in this piece: alternet.org/2021/12/end-ro…

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More from @magi_jay

Jan 25
I am boosted. I was exposed to Omicron from a boosted person w/ a breakthru infection. I didn't get sick. This is an anecdote & no one should broadly infer anything from it. I share it b/c we hear anecdotes about breakthrus, but rarely anecdotes about cases when it didn't happen
Again, anecdotes are essentially meaningless, particularly in cases where something *didn't* happen. Still, on a personal level, I am feeling grateful for the vaccine, as well as for both my immune system *&* the immune system of the person I was exposed to.
There's a lot we don't know about the viral dynamics of Omicron between vaxx'd people. We do have reason to postulate, on a theoretical level, that a vaxx'd person's immune system may "hinder" the virus. In this sense, even if they have a breakthru, their immunity protects others
Read 5 tweets
Jan 24
One of the most damaging moments of the Trump era was the Barr Memo & the media's failure to counteract its malicious framing. For two years, we'd been connecting the dots in Trump/Russia & then we were told we had been fools. Now we're failing to connect the dots for the coup.
The GOP is engaged in constant conspiracy. They welcomed foreign interference in one election. They tried to overthrow the subsequent election. Now they are laying the groundwork to overthrow the next one. Connecting the dots in a known conspiracy does not make one conspiratorial
We should always be clear about what we know for sure vs. what we *suspect* to be true, but have scant evidence for. What evidence is circumstantial & what evidence is direct. But we should not be fearful of openly examining the conspiracy that is unfolding in plain sight.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 23
A lot of info is coming out about Trump's various plots before January 6th. It's important to compile this timeline to get an idea of the big picture. It is especially crucial to understand what, exactly, was going on at the DoD & the extent to which Trump tried to use hard power
After the November election, Trump began restructuring the DOD. He fired Def Sec Esper on Nov 9th & replaced him with Christopher Miller. Trump also installed Ezra Watnick Cohen in a top position. Watnick Cohen was a longterm ally of Michael Flynn's. alternet.org/2022/01/damnin…
Trump also placed Scott O'Grady, who had called for martial law after the November election, in a top position at the Defense Department. alternet.org/2022/01/damnin…
Read 10 tweets
Jan 23
"Many who marched"
"A galvanizing new beginning"
"The spirit of the day carries on"
"The sense of community resonates"
nytimes.com/2022/01/23/us/…
I think it's important to document what's going on with this crowd. They are a political movement with political power. That said, language matters. Journalists should avoid words that valorize both the *purpose* of the Jan 6th "protest" & those who still fight for that purpose.
Greater clarity is also worthwhile.

"Protest a democratic election" almost sounds benign, particularly given what happened next.

"An emblem of resistance" to *what?* Democracy itself?
Read 4 tweets
Jan 23
I keep hearing from the press that "Biden should be focussed on inflation" and I'm curious as to what that means, exactly. They're working on supply chain issues. Biden can't interfere w/ the Fed. What should he be doing differently? What does greater focus on inflation entail?
I'm not saying there aren't things Biden couldn't be doing differently, but just that the press isn't really telling me what those things are. I just hear inflation is bad and Biden isn't fixing it and this is a drag on his presidency.
Couple of other points:
-Inflation is striking many countries due to the pandemic
-Both BIF and BBB have provisions that will address long term inflationary concerns
-If we care about food prices in particular, we better start framing climate change as an economic issue
Read 5 tweets
Jan 22
Margaritas cost the same as a beer where I live. What is everyone talking about?
Also, there are a lot of behaviors that are elitist & I'm not sure what the cut-off is, but are we really going to pretend to get mad about *any* activity someone engages in that we can't personally afford?
Please don't tell me you own a house or a mattress that is less than 15 years old. You might as well just spit in my face.
Read 4 tweets

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