Picture a classroom, 24 desks full, a teacher at the head. The windows open 3 inches, but it’s cold out, so they stay closed. The classroom door is open to the hallway, where the kids were just at their lockers, taking “mask breaks” (1)
These 24 children, who have no say in pandemic policy, and 1 teacher (also with no sway) will be sitting in this room for 45 minutes. Children are up to 70% asymptomatic spreaders, so we can’t know whose infected, our testing isn’t sophisticated enough yet to help (2)
Disease spread is worse for singing > talking > breathing. So if this class sat in silence they’d have reduced transmission, they’d have a chance. But this defeats the “socialization” purpose. A “good” class is an engaged, active class: the most dangerous type of class (3)
20 minutes into class, exhaled air has been filling the room, dispersing to spread throughout the corners of the space. Everyone inside is a “close contact”. We’re not even half way through the classroom exposure yet (4)
The students are in a hodgepodge of masks, maybe, hopefully, depending on how ridiculous their parents are. Now they all get a “human trial” for for fit and filtration. Without fit, the air goes around the mask (5)
The only safety measure in place is *luck. If the students and teacher get lucky, and there are no covid infected people in the room, it works out this time. They make it out. But if luck breaks the other way, everyone wishes they were never in that classroom. Fake-safe (6)
Full classrooms are inherently dangerous during a pandemic (7)
Now take the need for luck-based-safety, and test it five times per day, five days per week, with an hour in cafeterias each day. (8)
Long, acute, mis-C, neurological, clotting, ARDS, cardiac, immune, pick your poison. This isn’t “school” or “education”. This is a horror movie, perpetuated by the craven and delusional (9)
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A) Our goals have to align with the strengths and weaknesses of each type of mitigation. This isn’t about constant mitigation all the time. This is about the right mitigation at the right time. We can form safe zones, where we can drop defenses and enjoy life in *safety
B) we need to pause as much as possible and do a national 14-day supported hold. Test. Hopefully we even have room to quarantine the infected. Then we resume a more deliberate, “zero-fake safe”, way to resume our business and pleasure #zerofakesafe
C) quarantine periods should precede cross household gatherings, businesses who must meet in person should form institutional quarantines, with subsidized delivery of resources to workers, work quarantine requirements, and daily testing, hope this works