John Warner Profile picture
Jan 25 11 tweets 3 min read
Not at all irrational to make sweeping claims from a single question on a single survey. I say it's a sign of our national irrationality that so much weight is given to pundits who are uncareful about the conclusions they draw from limited data.
Obviously there's some psychological stuff going on around covid and risk, but like all things, it's complicated. The thirst of pundits like Leonhardt to drive a narrative based on limited data is unhelpful in the extreme.
Declaring that you yourself are able to look at things rationally is not actually evidence that you are looking at things rationally.
I'm vaxxed and boosted and I would answer "somewhat worried" not because I fear bad health outcomes, but because unlike David Leonhardt, I'm a self-employed writer and a medium bad flu might take me out for a week, meaning I can't deliver the words that allow me to get paid.
The Leonhardts of the world cannot imagine people who may be worried not because they think covid is going to kill them but because even a "mild" course would be more than an inconvenience as it would be for him.
Fortunately, I have enough cushion to survive a week where I don't meet my freelance obligations, but can @DLeonhardt imagine why I might be worried about getting covid if I could work for two weeks and it cost him two weeks salary? Wouldn't that be a bummer?
The lack of imagination and insight about the complexities of the lives people lead and what and why they might be worried about something is hardly rational. It's a form of deliberate ignorance.
Not sure why people who write from data like @DLeonhardt aren't more circumspect about the limits of data. I learned my lessons working as an actual researcher, rather than a pundit, so maybe that's it. I knew there was often something unknown lurking underneath.
I'm sorry, this is horrible analysis. Because different people in different circumstances view the consequences of illness differently does not mean they lack objectivity. Pundit, heal thyself!
The metric for rationality and worries about getting covid is not "worry," when you have no idea what is underneath that worry. This is massive over interpretation of the available data.
In my experience the sharpest people who work from data are the folks who look at the results and find the next question, which in this case is, "What are people worried about when it comes to getting covid?" Why isn't @DLeonhardt interested in that question?

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More from @biblioracle

Jan 24
Call me a pessimist, but I think a Supreme Court that's not going to bat an eye in overturning Roe isn't going to worry about the consequences of ending affirmative action entirely in college admissions.
It'll do nothing to change the composition of who goes to elite institutions, Harvard and Yale will find a way to admit who they wish, but it is a huge encroachment on the rights of academic institutions to operate according to their purported values.
Ending affirmative action will open the door to an endless stream of litigation over every aspect and operation of educational institutions.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 21
When teaching was the central focus of my work, I got to regularly experience a feeling of progress and accomplishment. It's a big motivator. But I wonder if that sense is much harder to come by even for those who are still teaching. insidehighered.com/blogs/just-vis…
I started drafting my post last week before I read this piece from @kevinrmcclure and Alisa Hicklin Fryar, which makes clear that even those who remain engaged in the work are feeling alienated and lost. Institutions better wake up. chronicle.com/article/the-gr…
The pandemic was (still is) and opportunity for a reset. We could have a higher education system that doesn't require people to be used up and spit out. My vision is here: beltpublishing.com/products/susta…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 20
Always fascinated about this particular genre of op-ed. Want to explore why I don't think it's doing what the authors would like to claim they're trying to do. Image
The surface-level positioning here is an intention to highlight the superior threat of the Magaverse on our democratic processes as compared to the progressive left. The authors would claim they're trying to convince conservatives to reject Maga. they are not achieving this, tho.
First, if the goal is to highlight the disproportionate authoritarian threat of the right Magaverse, spending over 1/3 of your piece to trot out the case for left/liberal authoritarian tendencies is not an effective rhetorical choice.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 13
A couple of days ago I did a thread on the difference between "debaters" and "illuminators" in public writing, using @tressiemcphd as an example of an illuminator. Today I have an object example of a debater.👇🧵
As I tried to show in the earlier thread, an illuminator is interested in shining a light on a phenomenon in order to increase the sum total of our collective understanding of that phenomenon.
A debater wants to "win" an argument, winning being gauged by moving people toward your position, or receiving approval or what have you. Winning may require obscuring as much or more than illuminating.
Read 22 tweets
Jan 12
I have taught thousands of college students. I have never looked a parent in the eye and told them "I will watch out for their child." Am I off base or are elites different than the rest of us? insidehighered.com/blogs/just-vis…
The time I have spent thinking about a student's parents in relation to the student's work in my college course is less than negligible, pretty much zero. Parents have no productive role in that dynamic, IMO.
I very much try to practice an ethic of care when it comes to working with students, but that's a compact between me and the students, not me pledging anything to their parents. That shit's just weird.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 11
Holy smokes is @tressiemcphd good. The way this weaves together multiple strands of culture to illuminate the world we're living in is just a master class of writing as thinking. nytimes.com/2022/01/10/opi…
It's so interesting to contrast piece linked above with the writing of some of the prominent Substack politics and policy heroes. @tressiemcphd is fundamentally an "illuminator" someone who shines light on a phenomenon in an attempt to understand it better. In contrast...
...we have folks I won't name who act as "debators" are trying to win an argument, often by placing the topic on ground most favorable to them. They must often obscure, rather than illuminate because full illumination would show more complexity & undermine their argument.
Read 8 tweets

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