Let's talk about the next SCOTUS nomination and the calendar.
Been crunching some numbers.
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My math (based on CRS and other data), since Nixon-era it has taken:
- 19 days on average for a president to announce a SCOTUS nominee after a vacancy is known.
- 63 days on average after that for confirmation.
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Some disclosures:
- I'm not counting days for Rehnquist's chief justice nomination. (Was already on the court.)
- I combined the days for Roberts' original nomination + then CJ nomination.
- Do-overs reset the vacancy clock. So Alito is at 4 days, from withdrawal of Miers.
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Recently:
- Coney Barrett: nominated in 8 days, confirmed 27 days after that.
- Kavanaugh: nominated in 12 days, confirmed 88 days later.
- Gorsuch: nominated 11 days after Trump took office*, confirmed 65 days later.
- Kagan: nominated in 31 days, confirmed 87 days later.
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Let's talk about Joe Manchin and where he is at on the child tax credit.
There's a lot of confusion. And I think I can help here.
Per a source familiar with his thinking:
- Manchin is concerned about the overall cost of the bill - and wants it to be under $1.75 trillion. (That's not new.)
- But here's the key: He's looking at that cost in terms of what if the programs are all extended for ten years.
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Manchin more:
- So he's telling Biden that some big costs have to go, in order to get the bill under $1.75 trillion (assuming all programs extended ten years ultimately).
- CTC is one of the biggest so it's one option. But not only option.
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BREAKING: President Biden signs largest single investment in U.S. infrastructure into law.
Hard to cover everything this bill does. But let me try. Historic investment in:
- Roads, bridges and rail
- Clean water
- Broadband internet (esp. rural)
- Climate. It's smaller than the BBB approach, but until/if that passes this is the largest climate bill in history.
What *exactly* does the bill do?
Surface transportation:
- About $550b - $576b huge influx
- Roads, bridges across the country
- 25 - 30% increase in base highway funding
- More for rails than last 15 years combined
- $1 billion for rural ferries, saving Alaska's ferries
Breaking now - Democrat's $3.5 trillion budget resolution is out.
Here come the details.
WHAT DEMS PLAN FOR RECONCILIATION:
- A "legal permanent status" for some immigrants currently undocumented. (Details TBD but DACA, farm workers and poss. frontline emergency workers.)
- Paid family and medical leave. Details TBD.
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DEMS starting reconciliation plan:
- Medicare expansion for vision, dental, hearing
- *Medicare expansion to a lower eligibility age*, but that age is not determined yet
- Universal pre-K for 3 and 4 year olds.
A new child care benefit for working families. Details TBD.
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USCP officer James Blassingame: That's something that I try to process and go through from time to time...
It was an insurrection. It was a significant amount of people that ... felt invading the Capitol to impose their will was an appropriate action.
Blassingame was supposed to be off Jan. 6, but like most of the force was told days ahead to come in to the Capitol.
He drove in at 5:15a and already saw people, protesters. Lots of them. He’d seen that kind of early crowd only 1x before: Obama’s first inauguration.
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Incredible testimony and history in H. Judiciary this am on the Tulsa Race Massacre.
Going to tweet out the words 107-year-old survivor Viola Fletcher said this am.
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107 yo Viola Fletcher on the Tulsa Race Massacre 100 years ago.
"On May 31st, 1921, I went to bed in my family's home in the Greenwood neighborhood
of Tulsa. ... My family had a beautiful home. We had great neighbors
and I had friends to play with. I felt safe."
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"I had everything a child could need. I had a bright
future ahead of me. ...
Within a few hours, all of that was gone. The night of the Massacre I was woken up by
my family. My parents and five siblings were there. I was told we had to leave. And that was it. "
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My Cheney reporting (icymi last night). Talking w/ members and a host of key folks in H GOP:
- Those who support Trump (even if generally, vaguely) believe she simply is going too far, picking fights here.
More...
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Cheney reporting.
- Pro-Trump folks tell me last time was different b/c Marjorie Taylor Greene was NOT being punished and there was a problem in demoting Cheney while letting MTG slide.
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Cheney reporting.
- But there are two groups who have problems with Cheney. 1. The Trump supporters and...
- 2. Ardent Trump opponents who tell me they think Cheney is making a mistake here - she's elevating Trump and empowering him. That Trump world surges when attacked.
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