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Jan 26 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
New: Biden has given NATO a veto over new U.S. troop deployments to Europe washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/… by me @PostOpinions
The 8,500 troops Biden has ordered to prepare to go to Eastern Europe if Russia invades Ukraine can only be deployed by a consensus vote of all 30 NATO member countries. That could result in a bureaucratic disaster in the middle of the crisis...

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
... and effectively give a veto over the deployments to countries such as Germany, Hungary or Turkey — a situation Russian President Vladimir Putin is sure to exploit.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
NATO members who border Ukraine or Russia could have to beg for approval for security reinforcements from more Russia-friendly countries, such as France, Germany, Hungary or Turkey, giving Putin a clear opening to manipulate those fissures...

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
What’s more, the U.S. forces would likely be deployed as part of a command led by France, which is led by a president who is actively trying to set up a European defense force to supplant NATO...

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
Countries directly in the line of Putin’s fire want Biden to deploy U.S. forces to help them now. They don’t want to bet their security on the future good graces of leaders in Berlin, Paris or Budapest.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
If and when Putin does attack, the fallout will not be contained to Ukraine. Putting U.S. reaction forces under NATO command might work out — let’s hope it does. But Biden might want to start preparing a Plan B now, just in case.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…

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More from @joshrogin

Josh Rogin Profile picture
Jan 19
Biden says he still has leverage against Putin in the form of the threat of sanctions:

“He’s never seen sanctions like the ones I’ve promised will be imposed if he moved.”
Biden says the European countries will stand with a tough punishment for the Russian economy if Putin invades:

“The idea NATO is not going to be united, I don’t buy.”
Biden says if Russia invades, they will be cut off from international financial transactions:

“Their banks are not going to be able to deal in dollars.”

Recent reports suggest Germany not on board with that threat.

reuters.com/article/ukrain…
Read 10 tweets
Josh Rogin Profile picture
Jan 19
New: House Republicans aim sanctions at Putin, his family and his mistress washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/… by me @washingtonpost
@washingtonpost .@RepublicanStudy National Security Task Force Chairman @RepJoeWilson:

“The time to deter conflict is before it happens. We need to go after Putin directly and his network of kleptocrats and oligarchs. Weakness is provocative..."

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
.@BHL warns @AtlanticCouncil that after Putin invades, it will be too late to respond:

“It would have a huge domino effect... The whole world would be disorganized by that. And America, behind its trenches, its fortress, would be isolated.”

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/… @ACEurasia
Read 5 tweets
Josh Rogin Profile picture
Jan 5
NEW: The office of @SpeakerPelosi has issued a statement on the Chinese government's sanctioning of several @USCIRF officials:

“The U.S. Congress strongly condemns the Chinese Communist Party’s retaliatory actions against religious freedom leaders..."

1/?
@SpeakerPelosi @USCIRF 2/?

"...which directly follow our passage and President Biden’s enactment of the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act. The Chinese government’s abuse against the Uyghur people and other Muslim minorities is genocide,..."
@SpeakerPelosi @USCIRF 3/?

"..and its intimidation tactics will not deter the United States from taking strong action to address this horror. On a bipartisan and bicameral basis, Congress is committed to standing with these human rights champions..."
Read 4 tweets
Josh Rogin Profile picture
Dec 3, 2021
Exclusive: Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman personally told Senator Jeff Merkley the administration wants to slow down and water down the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/… @washingtonpost
The State Dept insists that it is not lobbying against the bill, but at the same time one of their top officials is communicating concerns on behalf of the administration privately to the Dem senator co-sponsor, which is not exactly supporting the bill, is it. That's the nuance.
Meanwhile, Pelosi is claiming to be a strong supporter of the bill, but even after she brings the House to the floor next week, there's no plan to get it reconciled with the Senate. And Pelosi's office told it still might get wrapped into a larger China bill package. Clear as mud
Read 6 tweets
Josh Rogin Profile picture
Nov 16, 2021
SCOOP: Biden administration soon to announce diplomatic boycott of the Beijing Olympics washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/… by me @washingtonpost
This diplomatic boycott is intended as a way to respond to the Chinese government’s human rights abuses without impacting U.S. athletes... Biden is expected to approve it before the end of the month.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…

#Beijing2022 #BoycottBeijingOlympics
.@SpeakerPelosi had advocated for this diplomatic boycott. In a may hearing she said: “Honor your athletes at home. Let’s have a diplomatic boycott. … Silence on this issue is unacceptable. It enables China’s abuses.” washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
Read 6 tweets
Josh Rogin Profile picture
Nov 16, 2021
Xi Jinping's opening remarks to Biden, per pooler @DCCorrespondent:

"Good to see you Mr. President and your colleagues in the first time for us to meet virtually. Although we can’t see each other face to face, this is not bad, either. I feel very happy to see my old friend..."
@DCCorrespondent "...Right now both China & the US are at critical stages of development. And when we face multiple challenges together as the world's two largest economies and the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, China & the US, we need to increase communication & cooperation..."
@DCCorrespondent "...We should each focus on domestic affairs while at the same time should share a large share of international responsibilities & work together to advance the cause of world peace and development. This is a shared desire of the people of our two countries & around the world..."
Read 5 tweets

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