These posts by comrade Baron are extremely relevant today to understand one of the loci of woke politics. I've noticed people on the Right have a ton to say about the wokies doing all kinds of crap to make school more woke, but they're conspicuously silent on the test question.🧵
It just so happens that abolishing standardized testing is the #1 woke demand wherever they take power, way ahead of tranny bathrooms or drag queen story hour. Those latter things are negotiable, but the former point is very much NOT.
Now the reason you abolish testing (and then come up with some random explanation for why you have to) is because elite competition is at such a fever pitch that meritocracy just have to go. If it doesn't, you're locked in a rat race, like in Hong Kong or Korea. No good!
The issue though is that without meritocracy, the current political order has basically no real foundation at all. Standardized testing is the one way you can make it into the ranks of the shrinking (upper) middle class if you are born poor and/or without connections.
The right seems to have a very complicated relationship to this fairly simple and obvious dynamic. On the one hand, they oppose the left here on purely tribal grounds, but on the other, the *logic* driving the left is in fact fairly rational and easy to understand.
Moreover, that same logic is shared by everyone in the credentialist classes the left recruits from, who also make up the right wing leadership today. In such a rapidly polarizing society as the US, where there are no good working class jobs left, they feel the same pressures.
Of course, de facto abolishing the last vestiges of Actually Existing Meritocracy will have a massively destabilizing impact on the body politic, as the US more or less then becomes an open caste society, something that's completely incompatible with its legitimating framework.
Can you have a successful politics of contesting the left on the tranny bathroom issue while not doing anything meaningful about the abolishing meritocracy issue, hoping people are sated enough by the former to ignore the latter? Absolutely not, especially in the long term.
Two reasons: one, tranny bathrooms is the name of a single head of the mythical hydra. The hydra - the thing capable of growing new heads - is the search for a *replacement for meritocracy* that locks out the have nots from ever having a chance at moving upwards.
As long as meritocracy is actively being replaced, the hydra can grow as many heads as it wants in terms of cultural mores. Transgenderism, land acknowledgements, cultural appropriation, critical race theory: remove one of these things and the others quickly fill the void.
Two: people really care about their kids. They don't want their kids to be locked into some sort of lower caste existence permanently with no good reason. Ironically, love for one's kids is what drives the woke to abolish meritocracy, too.
The core issue here is just that there are only so many spots left on the economic lifeboat, and people are jostling for them, employing increasingly brutal or underhanded methods to make sure your kids don't get in while their kids do.
There's no reason to think that "abolishing wokeness" (even if it could be done, if you could sever enough hydra heads at once to prevent them regrowing) will lead to a less dystopian society, either. Here's elite overproduction *sans* wokeness:

americanaffairsjournal.org/2021/11/crises…
South Korea is an inhuman basket case where parents are forced to treat their own kids less humanely than prison guards in a Soviet Gulag. The average south korean student has *less* leisure time in real terms than Solzhenitsyn's Ivan Denisovitch.
If you have to subject your kids to drag queen story hour and have them recite woke sutras or whatever to get into Harvard, that is probably a deal you're willing to take as a parent, if the alternative is the South Korean scenario, which is where America was headed before 2020.
The right's silence on standardized testing, and the growing acceptance of wokeness among people like, say, David French, is not irrational. Again, their kids are standing around on the deck of the Titanic too, and are just as much in need of a spot on the lifeboat as anyone.
But crises of elite competition/overproduction eventually tend to shatter their societies and lead to some sort of conflict resolution - internal or external - that quite literally decimates the competition, again and again until things are brought back into balance.
You cannot stop this process with "red meat for the base", just as you cannot kill a hydra by cutting off one head at a time. The current disintegration of the old right wing coalitions isn't an issue of people not being "based", but rather the jostling for a lifeboat seat.
As the lifeboats into a now totally inept "overclass" (to borrow from Lind) get fewer and fewer, and economic dysfunction continues to wreak havoc on everyone outside of said overclass, the current - fairly tenuous - bonds that hold the broad right together will collapse.
And with the collapse of this coalition at odds with itself, so will the hopes of trying to draft the lower middle classes into the job of fighting the wokes to secure a spot in the lifeboat for *someone else's* kids, too.

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More from @Tinkzorg

Jul 24, 2023
The more and more I listen to American politicians in congress and the way the beltway class talks amongst themselves on panels and so on, the more I'm coming to the conclusion that some kind of war over Taiwan is actually very, very likely.
Pretty much everyone agrees - whether tacitly or openly - that Taiwan, in and of itself, straight up doesn't matter. Semiconductors don't really matter either. When people list the ways that a Taiwan defeat would be bad, they start and end with "it would kill our empire."
In theory, a war over Taiwan is extremely easy to avoid. The Chinese have made their position fairly clear - they will go to war in the event of secession - and secessionist forces on the island are basically reliant on support from the US. So America could just choose not to.
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Jul 15, 2023
To me, the V-22 is probably the DoD program that most symbolizes the current US military crisis. A naive belief in the idea that "progress" will solve all design challenges, married to a US obsession with "wunderwaffen" to make up for secular strategic weakness. Image
Tiltrotors as a concept are fantastically hard to design right, even when compared to helicopters. But there was at one point a genuine belief that there'd be a huge civilian demand for these things. But their unreliability and insane costs to operate couldn't be solved.
At some point, I think the US crossed the event horizon regarding how it thought about the role of military procurement as such. As the Germans realized they couldn't match their enemies in industrial output, they clung to the idea of winning through *more advanced* weapons.
Read 11 tweets
Jun 30, 2023
The more I think about this tweet, the more I genuinely think it speaks to some quirk of the Polish psyche that's contributed to Poland's history being one of constant partition by stronger powers.

There is so many things wrong with this sentiment it's honestly dizzying.
First of all, there is no way to get all of this sort of stuff delivered in a timely manner in the world we currently live in. The defense industrial base is maxxed out. A lot of military kit is already on back-order, with multi-year delays in delivery for *old* contracts.
Thus, we have in front of us the classic "counting your chickens before they hatch", problem. Yes, you can order like 1000 Abrams tanks tomorrow, but the infrastructure to produce 1000 abrams tanks within a reasonable timeframe does not exist currently.
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Everyone over here has basically moved on to pretending Ukraine doesn't exist, the media never writes about the war at all at this point, and people just complain about immigrants or public service television or w/e.

We're already in the early stages of realignment, a la 2015.
Like at some point the dam is going to break, just like it did in 2018, where people suddenly "discovered" that immigrants cost the swedish state a ton of money and did a lot of violent crime. Wow, what a discovery! I guess we can finally talk about this now!
Well, the current sullen, batten-down-the-hatches attitude re: Ukraine is just the same as the left's attitude re: immigration and its promises. Sooner or later, it will be "discovered" that Ukraine was corrupt, committed a bunch of war crimes, that the SBU is nasty, etc. Wow!
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Aug 22, 2022
This is an interesting perspective, but I do wonder how Putin would modify this view today. In 1992, this argument made sense; in 2022, the big rival to the Soviets, the United States, is basically suffering from the same serious dissolution as the late USSR did.
In 1992, there was an alternative open for Russia: to become a "normal" free market nation-state.

That model is collapsing both economically and politically in 2022. Moreover the "time bomb" planted in 1917 now seems hardly unique. But when was the US "time bomb" planted?
Ironically, one of the most biting criticisms of not just the bolsheviks but of socialism generally inside the left is that for all the hopes and dreams, for all the struggle, it rarely seems to amount to anything else but an alternative path to arrive at the same destination.
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Aug 9, 2022
All jokes aside, civil war in the US is now not only possible, but there's now a clear, realistic path for the US to get there.

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If you get a circus with states refusing to certify results or send electors, the result will be a legal and political vacuum. The guy in the White House will be a democrat, but he won't be a *president*. He will simply not be recognized as such.
In this scenario, the relationship between the states and the (illegitimate) government will be vague and nebulous. In that kind of tug of war, federal agents might end up facing down national guard or state militias. That can easily produce a Boston massacre or two.
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