In recent days, I talked to Ukrainians, both in Kyiv and Kharkiv, about how they feel in connection to a threat of a new Russian attack on Ukraine. A thread:
Many people said they were packing go-bags with essential items, such as documents, medicines, cash, to grab if they need to leave their houses urgently, for example, in case of an airstrike alert. Iryna, manager at the construction company, said she had one ready since 2014
‘I have it ready since the war started. Now I just need to buy some dry food to take with me’.
Iryna, like many Ukrainians, has been following with increasing anxiety the news of Russian military buildup at Ukraine’s borders. She is pondering whether she should leave her home
Yuliya Smirnova, who has two children aged 4 and 5, says she is undecided whether she should flee Kyiv, and if yes, in which direction. Her elderly mother and grandmother live in Kalanchak, in the southern Kherson region of Ukraine, just 20 km from the Russian-occupied Crimea.
‘I don’t know what to do first: evacuate my children from Kyiv or help my mom and grandma flee? If they [Russians] attack from the north towards Kyiv,then I should first bring my kids to my husband’s family in the Western Ukraine. And later go south to pick up my relatives there’
While some prepare to flee, others are determined to stay.
‘I am not planning to leave Kharkiv’, says Tetyana Tanchuk, a content manager from this Eastern Ukrainian city, situated just 40 km from the Russian border.
‘There's no panic. In fact, it was much more scary in 2014 than now, because Kharkiv population has shown that we don’t want Russians here. Besides, the Ukrainian armed forces are much stronger now than at the start of war, when they fought literally in slippers’, Tanchuk said
Yevhen Spirin, a journalist, had to flee his native city of Luhansk in spring 2014, after Russian special forces violently seized control of it. ‘They knew I supported Maidan. Some people approached me, put me into a car, took me to the river and said I had 24 hours to leave’.
Spirin is one of 1.5 million of internally displaced Ukrainians, who left the occupied Crimea and Donbas since 2014. He left Luhansk and has never been back since. Now, he dreads the prospect of having to abandon his new home in Kyiv.
‘I’m trying to stay calm because I think it’s a part of Putin’s plan: to make Ukrainians nervous’, Spirin said. ‘I will not leave Kyiv and my home again. If the new invasion starts, I hope I can work as a journalist - or as a nurse, as I did years ago’.
Medical workers will indeed be needed in case of a new Russian invasion of Ukraine, says Iryna Yosypenko, 53, a surgeon with more than 20 years of experience at the Kyiv emergency hospital polytrauma department.
In 2014, Yosypenko volunteered as a doctor during the Maidan protests, helping to cure wounded protesters. Then, when the war in Donbas began, Iryna joined the Ukrainian National Guard as a frontline doctor. In 2018, she left the army due to deteriorating health.
But as Russia started to amass troops at the Ukrainian border in late 2021, she decided to join territorial defence units to support resistance.
‘I realized that I can still do many things. For example, to organize training on first medical aid’, Iryna said.
‘Now I am in reserve. But if Russia attacks Kyiv, I will return to be a frontline doctor, providing first aid and organizing medical personnel and the whole process’.
“We laugh in the face of threats not because we underestimate them, but because what else should we do? Laydown and cry? Tears have never won anyone freedom.”
Your must-read of the day: the story of @Ukraine account, summing up the spirit of Ukrainians 🔥 washingtonpost.com/world/2022/01/…
“The truth is that humor has an enormous power, especially when facing a brutal, self-aggrandizing and extremely serious authoritarian regime like Russia,” the account added. “They are so serious that they actually fear humor no less than nukes. Memes do just that.”
There are some things I disagree with @BBCRosAtkins assessment: 1) what Ukrainians want is missing from the big picture: the fact that 81% of Ukrainians don't like Putin is less relevant than the fact 60% support the EU and NATO membership: a direct result of Russian aggression
2) it's unclear who is the man in Donetsk and whose views he represents. This clip creates a false impression of some kind of a popular separatist uprising in Donbas: which it wasn't, it was and is a conflict instigated by Russia, who sends military, weapons and money
3) a false equation between Russia and the West actions re Ukraine: while Russia was the first to attack Ukraine and is massing troops at Ukraine's borders now without any realistic motive, the West has been just responding, and quite slowly.Military aid to Ukraine is a deterrent
Meanwhile, in Italy: Russian president Putin will address major Italian businesses, such as ENI, Enel, Unicredit, Pirelli, Barilla, via videolink at an event tomorrow organized by the Italian-Russian chamber of commerce, according to Repubblica newspaper.
Thread
There's no doubt Putin is going to talk about losses for the Italian economy if Rome supports sanctions against Russia promised by the West in case of a new attack on Ukraine. In fact, many Italian businesses don't need to be persuaded to side with Russia: they already do.
Business circles have a significant influence on the Italian politics. And while prime minister Draghi took a tougher stance on Russia than his predecessors, he is almost on his own. Italy is choosing the new president these days,and one of potential candidates is Franco Frattini
⚡Russia planned to overthrow the government in Kyiv and to install pro-Russian politician Yevgeniy Murayev as head of the occupation administration in Ukraine, according to the UK foreign ministry. Murayev is a former MP and owner of Nash TV channel.
📷 defaced ad for Nash TV
The assessment, provided by the UK Foreign Office, alleges that Russian intelligence officers currently involved in the planning for an attack on Ukraine are also collaborating with several former Ukrainian officials who fled to Moscow in winter 2014 buzzfeednews.com/article/christ…
"The UK Foreign Office said Russian intelligence services currently involved in the planning of a new attack on Ukraine are in close contact with several former Ukrainian officials who served in the Yanukovych government. They include:
'In 2011, for example, the German defense contractor Rheinmetall signed a $140 million contract to build a combat simulation training center in Mulino, in southwest Russia, that would train 30,000 Russian combat troops per year' thedailybeast.com/germany-helped…
'The U.S. officials believe that some of the German training over the last few years was given to the GRU Spetsnaz, the special operations forces that moved unmarked into Crimea and who can now be found stirring up trouble in eastern Ukraine.'
“It’s unfortunate that German companies were directly supporting and training Russia’s military even during the attacks against Ukraine,” one senior Senate aide told The Daily Beast.
German position that it will not supply defensive weapons to Ukraine is 'unchanged', foreign minister @ABaerbock said at the press conference with the Ukrainian FM @DmytroKuleba in Kyiv. 'Our restrictive position to weapons supply is well-known and is rooted in history', she said
Baerbock said Germany supports Ukraine and its security in many ways, mentioning treatment and rehabilitation of injured Ukrainian soldiers in Berlin. She ducked the question what practical support it will provide in case of a new attack against Ukraine, emphasizing diplomacy
German FM repeated that a new Russian aggression on Ukraine will have a high cost, without providing more details. She stressed the need to negotiate in different formats, including Normandy, OSCE, etc. 'If the door is closed, windows should be open'