Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Jan 31 5 tweets 2 min read
It's fine to question research, seek out opposing viewpoints, test alternative theories, the reason it's dumb to carry on with this w/ vaccines is you have ongoing realtime evidence from literally billions of people all over the entire world and it all keeps saying the same thing
On the one hand, you have more than 10 billion doses distributed in a short period and public and private sources from a wide array of countries with divergent interests and cultures everywhere putting out research and data. On the other, you heard from a guy.
In order to pretend THIS much evidence isn't true, you don't need to just find alternate evidence, you need to create an entire conspiracy worldview and build a cult around it to maintain it. Which is exactly what's happening.
Maybe someday something changes with the virus and we need to update our views. But that's exactly what happened with omicron. Faced with a new situation, countries did what they're supposed to: Gathered more data, tested how they responded, published the results, updated priors.
We have very tough debates on public health measures because the data is often more ambiguous, takes longer to test, and has cost/benefit tradeoffs that run into multiple areas of expertise and require public buy-in. But the vaccines are not that, it's unambiguous.

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More from @BenjySarlin

Jan 31
I think a lot of the "We believe in SCIENCE" discourse is poisoned by basic misunderstandings about what it is: A process. Especially in a new situation, it's awaiting research, then interpretations, then real world verification, then new research, etc etc etc
This is easily exploited, because you can always point to old findings or interpretations being wrong or inconclusive or superseded by new evidence and cherry pick which to emphasize. But that's how it's supposed to work. Truth is a continuous verification process.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 25
So I think this is missing the issue. BBB individually is all popular poll-tested vanilla policies. The strategy to PASS it has been a disaster that’s done grievous damage because of Schumer’s decision not to pick a combo of policies Manchinema signaled support on first.
Indeed, Manchin and Sinema seem fairly flexible as to which spending polices even go into it since they’re mostly not very controversial. The main barrier is the overall cost and structure. That’s all on leadership and WH.
There’s a plausible strategic explanation: “Let’s aim higher than they wanted on BBB and then pressure them to come closer to our number.” But if it’s January and you’re begging them to even consider their July offer again, it’s a self-evident failure on substance and tactics.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 23
This is the latest in a long series, “Biden is actually saying the thing pundits constantly say he should say and it probably doesn't matter all that much”
Previous editions include “why won’t Biden clearly say schools should stay open”
Obama had a bunch of these, “why won’t he do X?” moments in which he, in fact, had done X. It’s not as simple as saying some magic words to turn around approval or make a story stick. Requires sustained effort and usually is just drowned out by bigger events.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 21
This isn’t quite right, I’d say. It’s more that domestic leg agenda is incredibly important in real life terms and even sometimes for re-election, but not particularly for short-term approval or midterms.
There is no universe where Obama “focused” on the More Jobs Act in 2010 and D’s didn’t lose 50+ seats with 10% unemployment. Similarly inflation/gas prices and Delta/omicron massively outweigh whatever action Biden could take around them in terms of dictating approval.
You know what’s a good way to show you’re “focused” on the economy and COVID? Passing $1.9T that just gives people money and every institution unprecedented funds to deal with COVID. That bought like 4 months of goodwill and then it became overwhelmed by the problems themselves.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 12, 2021
People hear "The Enlightenment" and the branding does the rest, but there's lots of interesting strains of right wing criticism of it along with left. Major evangelical theologians see it as a wrong turn. There are neo-classical thinkers who think we should go back to Aristotle.
One of the most influential evangelical works is "How Should We Then Live?" by Francis Schaeffer, who explicitly makes the case the Renaissance onward was a mistake that took us from religion and led to all sorts of secular and totalitarian evils. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/How_Shoul….
Then there's thinkers like Leo Strauss and Alasdair MacIntyre who championed classical virtues and argued the Enlightenment successfully tore down traditional pillars of thought, but failed to provide a viable alternative. "After Virtue" is a great read whatever your politics.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8, 2021
I've read about a million takes on "critical race theory" over the last few months and my one consistent takeaway that obsessing over a definition of "CRT" is largely useless and everyone should just argue over specific examples as much as possible nymag.com/intelligencer/…
This cuts in different directions on left and right. The main activist on the right is openly trying to make CRT a catch-call and political slogan for various things conservatives hate, not some actual rigorous definition. It's easy to dismiss it as bad faith demagoguery as such.
But because it's so easy to dismiss as propaganda, people on the left keep thinking any complaint that falls under its rubric can be safely ignored. But there really is lots of change happening now and they need to address specifics without getting bogged down in label fights.
Read 9 tweets

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