For Tory MPs who regard partygate as being a prime ministerial competence issue, rather than an ethical issue, it is striking that of the three "parties" or events Sue Gray was asked to investigate by the PM, two are not deemed by the Met Police as being potential breaches...
of the criminal law (namely the leaving party for Cleo Watson and the party at the department for education). Only the Downing Street Christmas party on 18 Dec 2020 passed the threshold for police investigation, along with 11 other events that Sue Gray subsequently determined...
to be in scope of her investigation. There are a couple of inferences to be drawn. 1) Gray was robustly independent in her investigation, taking her inquiry considerably further than the PM would have wanted or expected. 2) The PM is now...
in a fearful mess, that could yet end his time in Downing Street, because his initial reaction to the Mirror's disclosure of the Downing St Christmas party was to deny it was a party or a rule breaking event in any way. As a result of that denial, which led to Gray...
being appointed, his own birthday "event" with cake, a bye-bye Cummings event in his Downing Street flat and the notorious "bring-your-own-booze" garden event that he attended are all now under investigation by the Met - along with nine other seeming parties. With the benefit...
of hindsight - and many would say foresight too - if he had put his hands up about the original Christmas party and said sorry at the outset, a debacle that has massively damaged the popularity and reputation of the Conservative Party could have been avoided, probably...
In Politics it is usually the cover-up that kills. And the question that Tory MPs need to ask themselves is whether the PM and they are now in such dire straits because the PM wasn't good enough at covering up or because his instincts were to cover up in the first place. Do...
they think the road to recovery requires a straight dealer in Number 10 or someone who is better organised at hiding the bad and embarrassing stuff. And equally, as the PM wonders whether he will be found guilty of breaking the law by the Met Police, what practical and ethical...
lesson will he draw?
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The Chancellor is tomorrow set to unveil a set of loans, subsidies and rebates to reduce the impact of the expected £700 increase in typical household energy bills that will bite from April. He’ll do so at circa 11am, to coincide with the Ofgem announcement of new price cap…
I’ve said for a while, the cap is set to rise from just under £1300 to circa £2000 - which would be totally unaffordable for hundreds of thousands of low income households. @thetimes says today Sunak’s package will include some kind of loan scheme to energy companies…
to help them reduce (though not eliminate) the immediate price increase, by deferring some of the price rise for consumers to future years. What is unclear is the mechanism for repaying that multi-billion pound loan and whether it is at all linked to future movements in the…
It gets worse for the Department of Health and Social Care. The public sector’s auditor in chief, Garett Davies, refused to give a clean bill of health to the department’s 2020/21 accounts, he “qualified” the accounts (in the jargon) because “£1.3 billion…
of the Department’s COVID-19 spending was spent either without the necessary HM Treasury approvals or in breach of conditions set by HM Treasury. Davies has also qualified his regularity opinion due to insufficient evidence to show that the Department’s spending, particularly…
on COVID-19 procurement, was not subject to a material level of fraud”. He is basically saying the department failed the test of competence. The findings that the department may have been subject to “material” fraud and breached Treasury stipulations are damning…
Buried on page 199 of the Department of Health and Social Care’s annual report published yesterday is the shocking disclosure that it has incurred £8.7bn of losses - £8.7bn ! - on £12.1bn of PPE bought in 2020/21. Think about how that money could have been…
deployed in hospitals. Surely there needs to be a statement from @sajidjavid to parliament about this. Here is the excerpt from the DHSC annual report: “the Department estimates that there has been a loss in value of £8.7 billion of the £12.1 billion of PPE purchased in 2020-21…
“This impairment relates to: • £0.67 billion of PPE which cannot be used, for instance because it is defective; • £2.6 billion of PPE which is not suitable for use within the health and social care sector but which…
It matters that the Cabinet Office briefed that Sue Gray is delivering an “update” to the PM and NOT her report or definitive findings. She chooses her words carefully. As the PM has always said “judge me on the report”, she is explicitly saying this is not the moment to…
convict and evict him or find him innocent. There is also an implication in the “update” word that she is holding the PM to his earlier commitment to publish her full report, despite prevarication from Downing St this morning, as and when the police remove their objections
That said, it is not her decision what will subsequently be published. The PM is shortly to publish her investigation “update”in full. And as the commissioner of the report, the PM may feel he has honoured his commitment to her. it will eventually be his decision whether her…
In many eyes, the reputation of Cressida Dick and the Met Police will be significantly damaged by the timing of her decision to investigate. There was plenty of prima facie evidence of crimes in Downing Street weeks ago. Dick refused to investigate then. She is only…
investigating when Sue Gray was poised to published a comprehensive account of all that evidence, and at the precise moment when Dick’s intervention makes it impossible for Gray to publish that comprehensive account. If Gray published anything, it will be censored…
to the point of rendering any conclusions meaningless. No wonder so many believe that the Met Commissioner has rescued Boris Johnson. This may all be cock-up rather than conspiracy, but an astute Met should have seen the cock-up coming and swerved it, arguably. The…
On the basis of the statement from the Met Police this morning, it’s hard to see how Sue Gray can publish anything meaningful till the police inquiries are concluded. When she initially decided her report had to be put on hold till the Met had finished their work, she was…
seemingly correct. It is a terrible mess. Here is the Met statement: “for the events the Met is investigating, we asked for minimal reference to be made in the Cabinet Office report. The Met did not ask for any limitations on…
“other events in the report, or for the report to be delayed, but we have had ongoing contact with the Cabinet Office, including on the content of the report, to avoid any prejudice to our investigation”. The timing of this announcement from the Met is bizarre. It should have…