Eliot Higgins Profile picture
Feb 1 13 tweets 5 min read
A new OPCW Fact-Finding Mission report on chemical weapon use in Syria. It's interesting to look at the analysis they're doing on the chlorine cylinders used, I expect we'll see similar analysis in the final report on the Douma chemical attack.
The report references an article written by @Hadi_alkhatib of @mnemonicorg about the attack, which includes various open source material from the attack. bellingcat.com/news/mena/2016…
The OPCW FFM concludes that there's "reasonable grounds to believe that the chlorine cylinder was used as a weapon. The cylinder ruptured as a result of mechanical force and released a toxic irritant substance that affects the respiratory system and mucous membranes."
As always, it should be noted the OPCW FFM is not the final investigative authority, but exists to establish that the use of chemical weapons occurred, and the incident will be further investigated by the OPCW Investigation and Identification Team (IIT).
First time the OPCW FFM has included a graphic like this, that breaks down the timeline of the investigation process. Good to see this level of transparency in their reports.
The OPCW FFM notes Russia destroyed a hospital where victims were treated, and other hospitals where victims were treated were destroyed in air strikes. They even link to a Russian video of the destroyed hospital
As with other chlorine attacks, the remains of a metal frame was documented close to the impact site. These have the same configurations as the frames seen in other attacks, including the fin shape and position, and the hole in the metal strap used to bolt it over the cylinder.
You can see the bolts on the frames from the Douma chlorine attacks, which I examine in detail here bellingcat.com/news/mena/2018…
The OPCW FFM report also includes modelling of the possible impacts, and the crater it would have created to establish the damage is consistent with the allegations. Expect to see more of this in the final Douma report.
As with other OPCW FFM reports into lesser known chemical attacks we can expect the usual denialists to barely acknowledge (if at all) this report because it doesn't fit their narrative of fake chemical attacks drawing the US into bombing Syria.
Also because it didn't make the news back when it happened, so this is probably the first time they've ever heard about it. If they do talk about it, it'll just be an excuse for them to bring up Douma again, because that's all they've done any "research" on.
If you want to learn more about the scale of chemical attacks in Syria this report from @GPPi is essential reading gppi.net/2019/02/17/the…

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More from @EliotHiggins

Jan 18
During the Summer of 2014 the Russian military performed over 100 cross border artillery attacks from Russia into Ukraine to support Russian proxy forces fighting inside Ukraine, which we identified in this investigation bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-eu…
By measuring the shape of impact craters on satellite imagery on Google Earth it was possible to establish which direction incoming fire that created the craters came from.
Although we published our report 2 years after the attacks took place the techniques used could be applied to satellite imagery as soon as it becomes available, sometimes as little as 24 hours after the attack.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 17
Russia has declared Bellingcat, an organisation with no presence inside Russia, a foreign agent under Russian law. Given the ridiculous and potentially dangerous nature of such an act by the Russian state we'll be challenging the designation in Russian courts and the ECHR.
This is part of the Russian state's attempt to shut down free speech and any reporting that puts the government in a negative light, and has impacted many Russian organisations that we'll also be working to support.
It is now almost certain Bellingcat's Russian language site (ru.bellingcat.com) will be blocked inside Russia, but will we continue to publish stories about Russia, in Russian, irregardless of what labels the Russian state puts on us and our work.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 3, 2021
This appears to be pro-Kurdish protestors, almost certainly in relation to attempts to get Turkey investigated for alleged chemical weapon us against Kurdish forces.
I've contacted the KCK to ask to see the evidence they've collected, considering they're claiming 300+ attacks over the last several months what I received wasn't very compelling, especially when there's accusations of Sulphur Mustard and Tabun use.
Given the number of alleged attacks and the fact chemical weapons generally leave fairly intact munition casings the images that were shared with me were not compelling, some captured unused riot control grenades and a munition that was marked as containing an explosive fill.
Read 11 tweets
Nov 25, 2021
This week Roman @Dobrokhotov appeared at the Berlin bicycle assassination trial detailing more incidents that ties the suspect to other assassination across the world
tagesschau.de/investigativ/t…
It seems likely the outcome of the Berlin bicycle assassination case will be a big test for the new coalition government, how will they react to a Russian state sponsored assassination on their territory?
More interestingly for us at Bellingcat is the identity of the suspect and his links to the Russian intelligence services were identified using the same techniques used in our other investigations into Russian assassination attempts, including the Skripal and Navalny cases.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 20, 2021
The next 10 tweets that have "[a famous person] painted by [a famous artist]" will get them put through Neural Blender. Here's "Donald Trump painted by Pablo Picasso"
Read 15 tweets
Nov 20, 2021
The next ten replies to this tweet will be plugged into Neural Blender Cronos Blend on max settings.
First batch in, should take about 30 minutes, let's see what monstrosities the AI oven bakes.
Read 14 tweets

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