FYI you know how the government keeps saying low rates help poor people, but you're seeing rising inequality?

Well, that's because they're lying. The Dutch central bank found the rich captured 6% more wealth due to low rates.

<thread> 🧵👇

betterdwelling.com/low-interest-r…
2/ What about cheap housing? Central banks keep saying people can't afford higher rates.

Well, lol. The Bank of Canada's own research shows low rates drive home prices higher. Somehow giving people more credit doesn't lower home prices.

Weird, right?

betterdwelling.com/canadians-are-…
3/ What about QE? Surely that policy, to facilitate greater government spending, will improve the lives of those on the bottom half, right?

*checks notes*

Bank of Canada found it may have increased inequality. Sorry about that, eh.

betterdwelling.com/whoopsie-bank-…
4/ Okay. But at least it will help pensioners, right?

Shit. It turns out the OECD found it will reduce fixed income impacting things like pensions, and increase the likelihood of gambling from institutions.

Fun fact: You're the replacement for bonds!

oecd.org/finance/financ… Image
5/ This fuckery doesn't make sense, even at its basic level.

What's debt? Future income used today. Low rates help you borrow more.

Now put it together. Low rates help you borrow more of your future income to use today. Does that sound like it'll help? lol.

Why?
6/ Because young people are the exit plan.

As rates fall continually, each generation is given the ability to borrow more years of their future income.

Generations of predators are now playing stupid, and pretending they don't understand how the ponzi system works.
7/ Except what do you do at this level? Well, Millennials are told to buy minuscule houses for a 25-30 year mortgage, and then upgrade after 10 or so years.

They effectively extended your costs 35 to 45 years, by extending more credit. Here's the problem.
8/ How do you continue a ponzi when debt is hard to extend? They'll try, but it's hard and feels predatory.

There's a carrot though. You're rich!

Sure, your $1 million home looks like a $100,000 home 10 years ago, but you feel like a million bucks, and that's what matters.

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More from @StephenPunwasi

Feb 5
Just got out of the funniest meeting with Stat Can's leadership about inflation.

Who wants the deets and what I learned? I promise you'll laugh, but only to hide the pain. 😂

Quick thread. 🧵👇
2/ First off, they don't understand how CPI influences the Bank of Canada.

They said the BoC uses various measures when making rate decisions.

The BoC says rates are low because CPI is low.

This is the BoC's website if you're confused about what they do. Image
3/ The BoC uses CPI as a report card on how it's doing, and the person doing the grading thinks it's just for fun.

More bluntly put, bad research producing high inflation that says inflation is lower than everyone feels... they don't think it has consequences. LOL!
Read 11 tweets
Feb 2
The Conservative Party of Canada, circa 2022. Image
Don’t Worry Folks, circa 2022. Image
The Ides of Roll Up The Rim At Timmies, circa 2022. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 24
I really hate that everyone is trying to politicize food shortages/transportation squeezes.

Canada imports 218 million kgs of dairy from the US. Do you really think 218 million kgs of anything getting throttled doesn't leave a mark?

1/2
2/ More important is not understanding a squeeze leads to a reprioritization of transportation resources.

If there's a 5-10% reduction in shipping capacity, do you think all segments decline?

No, there is competition for existing resources. Low-priced goods are dropped first.
Let's say you have a domestic transport company. The cross-border drop of only 5-10% means they'll pay you to do higher-priced cross-border shipments.

What do you think happens? Either a domestic shipper needs to pay the same, or domestic capacity disappears.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 21
In the 1970s, Howard Hughes built a ship to mine the bottom of the Pacific ocean.

It was an outrageous, and unlikely cost ineffective pursuit.

Mining an inhospitable place humans have barely explored?

I guess. Billionaires make big bets, right?

Ha, nope…

<Thread> 🧵👇
2/ We later found out it wasn’t his idea, but a covert CIA operation called Project Azorian.

See, the US noticed the Soviets were searching for something in the Pacific Ocean.

They later figured out it was a high tech submarine, and found it first.
3/ They couldn’t just *send* the military to the spot though. That would alert the Soviets and possibly sacrifice the recovery.

Instead, they got Howard Hughes, one of the richest people at the time to do it.

Hughes had built several classified military projects before.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 17
If Canadian home prices fall 30% they would be back at the 2019 crisis levels the Liberals promised to solve.

Dropping another 30% on top of that puts it at the 2015-crisis levels the Liberals said they would solve.

Another 30% lower is where the BoC called it a bubble.
Bonus fact:

If Canadian home prices drop 30%, then another 30%, then another 30%, then 10% ...

... home prices would be where the Bank of Canada said Asian investors have made Vancouver unaffordable.

I shit you not, this is how effective politicians are.
Yes, the Bank of Canada actually expressed this concern in 2011.

Apparently no one remembers that the central bank used to present concerns. Now that they've been politicized, they're the ones dismissing it.

Read 4 tweets
Jan 16
The most remarkable thing about Canadian real estate prices?

Developers sold significant lots of property overseas for deep discounts to ensure less local supply and keep domestic prices inflated.

That shakey foundation was ignored, and domestic buyers bid on top of that.
Now that the rest of Canada is paying attention, this is what was happening 5 years ago.

Homes were sold at a significant discount overseas.

Why not sell for the same price everywhere? One word — massification.

<thread> 🧵👇
2/ What makes something expensive?

People justify this with scarcity. But how does a business scale selling a rare product? People have an upper limit to what they can pay, right?

That's where massification comes in, a tactic commonly used in the fashion industry.
Read 11 tweets

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