This physical inspection by VIO for renewal of road worthiness in Lagos is an illustration of how policymaking in Nigeria is divorced from data, logic & actually serving citizens. It mainly serves to create the environment for new corruption to thrive. Lets look at some numbers
There are only 14 computerised vehicle inspection centres in Lagos according to this 2020 news report. The report lists them.
The VIO oga, after one month of running, can now see data - the 14 centres only processed 26,442 vehicles in January, while being very stretched and creating long backlogs. So, on the average each can process 90 vehicles per day at this stretched rate.
Let's assume that they ramp up to 30,000 vehicles monthly. Means, at the most, they can inspect 360,000 vehicles annually at their current capacity, and they will be stretching themselves massively. Which is why this review - nairametrics.com/2022/02/02/lag…
But, how many vehicles are on Lagos roads? According to the LASG's own data, as at 2017, there were 5.2million (5m cars and 200k commercial vehicles). The current vehicle inspection capacity cannot serve 10% of this number in a year. lagosstate.gov.ng/blog/2017/07/0…
All these numbers are publicly available. I'm certain the LASG has even more numbers available to them that we can't see. Yet they have gone ahead to enact, implement and enforce a policy that they clearly have no capacity to carry out. Creating multiple corruption avenues.
Which brings us to the question why? Why is this policy important all of a sudden? The government says its for our safety. LOL. I will sell you Carter Bridge if you believe that.
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Spent the last few days reading this on how gangs and crime Lord became so powerful and violent in the Americas. From South America through Central and all the way into North America.
Lagos gangs show many of the early day patterns. It's a scary prospect.
The pattern usually is to find spaces where government is weak especially in poor areas, and first gain monopoly of violence there. Then create protection rackets, alternate justice and extortion of people and businesses. Sprinkle it with some philantorpy. That creates income
Politicians notice and use this gangs for political ends, to win elections. They legitimise aspects of their gang operations by taking over associations. They also win contracts and route jobs and favours to their followers. But always always, they rule with violence