Mask mandates

Do they work?

I think they do. A little.

But a lot?

Well, let's take a look at 3 Colorado counties.
Douglas, Adams, Arapahoe.

Two adopted mask mandates in late Nov. One didn't.
So.. what's happened since then?

Let's look at hospitalizations.
Douglas County (in a much publicized move) elected not to go forward with mask mandates

Arapahoe/Adams

(like Denver)

elected to move forward with them (only dissolved last week)
So... how did everyone do?

W/Hospitalizations?

Well... Similar falls and rises (Douglas was a little lower over last 2 months)
Incidence rates?

Notice a trend here during last 28 days?
Positivity?
So what about kids?

Remember Douglas County schools. It dropped mask mandates in December.

9news.com/article/news/l…
Interestingly enough... this is where Douglas County turned out to do worse that the other two counties

Let's look at this chart.

Adams=Red
Arap=Blue
Douglas=Yellow

In 0-5, 6-11 and 12-17.. kids in DougCo fared worse in case incidence rates in early January
What's also interesting is that once you get to 18+...

DougCo fares better.

(look at black arrows)
What does this all mean?

Well, it's a very raw look at the data... and I wouldn't recommend jumping to too many conclusions.

But masks did not allow ArapCo and AdCo to do much better than DougCo.

But maybe they had a slight impact in schools?
I'm open to thoughts here. This is clearly a VERY QUICK analysis.

But it's also a reminder that even counties with mask mandates didn't fare too well against Omicron

Most counties just rose (and then fell) in unison.

FIN
One more thing...

Cuz this always happens when I do something like this

This is NOT an anti-mask screed.

As I have said, for months, mandates are only as good as the enforcement mechanism

and during last few months... that mechanism relied heavily on employees.
Which, in turn, made enforcement awkward at best.

We may very well need to reconsider mask mandates in the future should another variant emerge.

But we darn well better come up with a way to enforce w/o relying on employees alone.

Otherwise, we'll get same result.

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More from @chrisvanderveen

Feb 7
MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Cases continue sharp drop. Positivity in the 12s. ICU bed crunch continues to ease.

ICU BEDS
Best I've seen in months folks. Nearly 200 (We were close to 60 a little more than a month ago)

#9news Image
CASES

Down to 3k

(14K at peak) Image
POSITIVITY

Smidge over 12%
(was bordering on 30 at peak) Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3
Let's talk about a story you might think you know a lot about...

yet you probably don't know this.

THREAD

In 2019, a semi going 85 mph and loaded with lumber collided with car after car after car on I-70.

The driver said he lost his brakes. You know all that.

1/

#9news Image
You also likely know that four people died that day.

At least ten others were injured.

The crash happened April 25, 2019, on I-70 near Colorado Mills.

2/ Image
Last month, @GovofCO got involved when he reduced a 110 year prison sentence to 10 years for the driver of the truck

The 110 year sentence for Rogel Aguilera-Mederos became the subject of a national outcry re: harsh sentences

Rogel, for his part, apologized at sentencing.

3/ Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 1
TUESDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Steep downward trend continues. Positivity dropping pretty quickly now.

CASES
5.3K

About 40% of peak Jan 10 peak.

#9news
POSITIVITY

Below 18. IN 20 days its gone from 29 to 18
ICU

172 beds available

This is definitely improving
Read 5 tweets
Feb 1
MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Cases dropping quickly... almost as quickly as they had jumped. Positivity below 20. Bed space still holding

CASES: 5.7K

Look at that downward slope

#9news Image
POSITIVITY

Below 20%

Dropping fast now Image
ICU BEDS

140 available Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 9, 2021
TUESDAY @COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Colorado jumps past 1400 patients. Cases still headed up. Worst of the wave remains yet to come.

HOSPITALIZATIONS
today: 1426 (up 32)
last week: 1254

(***this is speeding up again)

#9news
CASES

Above 2800

Still going in wrong direction
POSITIVITY

Still too damn close to 10
Read 7 tweets
Nov 8, 2021
MONDAY #COVID19Colorado update

Headline: Seeing continued and troubling increase in patient count. Positivity nearing ten.

HOSPITALIZATIONS
covid+ ONLY

Today: 1394 (Up 98 from Friday)
Last week: 1236

(this is a net gain of 158 in a week)

#9news
POSITIVITY

Now highest since Dec 13
CASES

Still growing
Read 7 tweets

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