Sullivan: "We continue to see signs of Russian escalation, including more forces arriving at the border...could begin during the Olympics."
Says "we are ready," US will continue "results-oriented diplomacy," and is ready to take decisive sanctions action.
Sullivan says US, along with EU, UK, Canada, and others, will implement sanctions; that NATO force postures in CEE region will change.
Sullivan driving home the coordination message with allies; says the US and its transatlantic allies are more united than ever.
Encourages all US Citizens to depart Ukraine immediately, asap, "in any event the next 24-48 hours."
Sullivan says Russian offensive would likely begin with aerial bombardment that would shut down commercial air/rail and other transit links.
"We aren't saying Putin has made a decision...we are saying we have a sufficient level of concern" to evacuate US Cits and raise this level of urgency.
From what I'm told, many US allies including the UK share this dire assessment.
US forces deployed in CEE are meant to reassure and deter Russian aggression in NATO territory, NOT to fight in Ukraine, Sullivan clarifies and underlines.
One of the forms that the Russian attack could take is a "rapid assault on the city of Kyiv."
(Kyiv, my love. 💔)
Sullivan repeats that the US and allies still believe the Kremlin will attempt to invade on the basis of a false flag attack, such as scenarios declassified by the US and UK governments.
TL;DR if they do it, don't buy it.
(As a reminder, if you're looking for an up-to-date, verified map of where Russian forces are deployed around Ukraine, @Cen4infoRes has got you covered:
82 years ago this week, my grandfather, aged 10, was deported along with his family from present day Ukraine (then Poland) to a Soviet work camp.
In part because of his deportation, I’m sitting on Twitter tonight, writing about current Russian threats to the same land. (1/)
My family was deported because they were Polish (my ethnic Ukrainian blood is on the other side of the family); Poles like them, who had moved East in the interwar period thanks to land grants from the Polish govt, were an impediment to Soviet influence expanding Westward. (2/)
So they were packed into cattle cars and shipped north and east. My family ended up in a work camp near the Arctic Circle. One of my great aunts, Teresa, who I apparently resemble, died of TB and is buried in an unmarked grave there. One day I hope to locate it. (3/)
For those who don't know the preorder schpeal: it really helps authors, sending a signal to bookshops, reviewers, and media about which books are worth covering. It'd mean the world if you preordered this book for yourself or someone in your life who might need or enjoy it.
I'm growing increasingly frustrated with the out of touch, abstracted discourse about Ukraine..
I lived and worked in Ukraine. I have Ukrainian heritage. And while that gives me some insight to the situation, it's not about me. It's about 40+ million Ukrainians. 🧵
It's about pensioners like this woman @ColborneMichael & I spoke to in Kryivih Rih in 2019, who was selling in the rain tulips at 11 cents each to make ends meet. Her government pension barely covered her apartment.
She was looking forward to making her voice heard in the upcoming election. (Her oblast, Zelensky's own, voted overwhelmingly for Ze.)
The Kremlin—which has repeatedly decried the legitimacy of two consecutive Ukrainian governments—would deny her that right.
This isn't new. Lethal aid is a distinct term from military aid—which can come in the form of training, for instance—and other types of aid (humanitarian, economic, democracy support).
This isn't some sort of massive conspiracy... just a somewhat jargony term in the aid biz.
Good morning! I know there is a lot of ~stuff~ happening, but some good news for your feed: I got the full cover design for HOW TO BE A WOMAN ONLINE and it is 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Also, I would like you all to meet someone very special.
I'm pleased to introduce you to...
Emoji Nina. She adorns the back cover and the spine of this slim new volume. It can fit in your purse, and Emoji Nina will be there to fend off any trolls or jerks who come your way.
ICYMI: I’m pregnant with my first child, and was shocked to encounter the manipulation and outright disinformation that exists on pregnancy apps. I wrote about it for @WIRED: wired.com/story/pregnanc…
There are a few things I’d like to address that have come up in the 24 hours that the piece has been out. A short thread:
It’s interesting—though not surprising—to see who’s engaging with this piece. I’ve gotten a lot of notes from other young mothers and women who are tired of the way the internet and society overlooks our needs, and expects us, as I write, “to grin and bear it.”