Seth Cotlar Profile picture
Feb 11 15 tweets 5 min read
🧵Watching the footage from Ottawa reminded me that a few hundred trucks convoyed into Salem, OR and snarled traffic for about 10 hours on June 27, 2019. It was part of a mostly-astroturfed movement that scuttled a carbon bill that, by all accounts, was about to pass.
The group that organized the rally was called "Timber Unity" & it had 1st come into existence on June 6, 2019 (3 weeks before the protest) as a Facebook group. From what I can tell, the 37K members (as of late June 2019) were real live Oregonians who didn't like the Carbon Bill.
That said, the seed money for the group was provided on 6/21 by Andrew Miller, a longtime conservative donor in Oregon who is the heir to a multi-generational timber fortune. He owns Stimson Lumber Company. Screenshot from Oregon Sec of State website.
Here's a profile of Miller from 2012. According to that article, Miller had donated $2.2 million "in recent years" to conservative candidates and groups. By Oregon standards, that's a lot of money. wweek.com/portland/artic…
One week before Timber Unity came into existence on FB and 3 weeks before Miller gave them $5000, he laid off a good number of workers, blaming it on the climate legislation in the works. wweek.com/news/2019/05/3…
One of the things that really angered Miller (who has given untold millions to influence Oregon politics) is the way "special-interest donors" were supposedly distorting the legislative process. I mean, come on now. This isn't even trying to pass the smell test.
To some extent the successful killing of the carbon bill was "normal" American politics. Citizens formed a pressure group, special-interests donated funds to support politics favorable to them, coordinated protests happened at the Capitol. Standard stuff.
But as I observed on in June 2019 and as is documented in this piece by Leah Sottile, Timber Unity has many ties to far right groups. It brings together timber CEOs with cash, far right groups with muscle, and a good number of other "conservative" folks. hcn.org/issues/53.7/no…
The group still exists. There have been many changes in leaderships, squabbles, etc. that I don't fully understand. One thing I do know is that the current leader of the group, who is on the city council in Sweet Home, was in DC on Jan 6.
This story talks about the Oregon GOP officials and candidates who went to DC for Jan 6. statesmanjournal.com/story/news/202…
Here's the point. Protests are messy events that are hard to reduce to one thing. There were far right domestic terror groups and white supremacists at the Timber Unity rally. There were ordinary people. There were aspiring MAGA politicians. It was funded in part by a rich CEO.
Just because some participants in a rally authentically believe in the cause, doesn't mean it's not also in service of some rich guy's political project. And just because many "normies" are there, that doesn't mean there aren't far right radicals providing muscle and recruiting.
To me, what made the Timber Unity protests appear anti-democratic (rather than part of the normal process) was that they used this mysteriously funded truck convoy to kill a bill on the verge of passing that had been worked a long time, with all stakeholders at the table.
The bill was also killed by a GOP Senate walkout to deny a quorum. When the senators went to Idaho, one of them implied the OR State Police better be ready for a shootout if they came to retrieve them. statesmanjournal.com/story/news/pol…
The Oregon GOP has not been competitive in statewide races for over a decade. Rather than move to the center, they have instead lurched rightward, making themselves even LESS electorally viable. So the only power they now have is the power to disrupt, to ratf*ck the process.

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More from @SethCotlar

Feb 11
The RNC sent out this email encouraging people to a) donate and b) join Trump's new social media platform which will provide an even MORE hermetically sealed informational bubble for the MAGA-verse. But hermetic seals keep things both in AND out.
Trump (and the far right in general) has always heavily relied on mainstream media coverage to get their message out. Their complaints about "the liberal media" are mostly just bullying tactics to get that media to talk about them.
If the GOP commits to a communications strategy that focuses on a Trump-created social media platform (which will probably be as successful as Trump University, etc.) that by definition excludes those not already in the tent, then that's one f-ed up political strategy.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 11
A totally unrepresentative group of trucks (90% of Canadian truckers are vaccinated) shuts down Ottawa for a week & the US Right loves it. A protest against police violence in the US blocks a highway in a US city on a weekend night for an hour and the US Right loses its shit. Hm.
Some people just want to watch the world burn, and call it freedom, while cackling all the way to the bank.
I’ll bet the person who owns this car (which I saw parked in my town a few years ago) is very stoked about the Ottawa protest.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 11
Today I learned that in 1972, John Lennon and Yoko Ono provided the funding for a newsletter published by left wing conspiracy theorist Mae Brussel.
This Slow Burn episode on Brussell was really interesting I thought. slate.com/news-and-polit…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 10
Ah yes, you mean like during rush hour in DC when people are walking a few blocks from their crowded metro trains to get to their crowded offices? William of Occam wept.
The good faith DC explainer, hard at work.
"Obsessive, bad faith pathologizing of easily explainable behavior" could be considered a form of "explaining," I guess.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 10
People are flushing toilets fifteen times you say? Interesting. I don’t know anyone who does that. Do you?
I wonder if it’s not a widespread problem but rather something you’re doing wrong? Just a thought.
This tweet from four days ago looks even more insightful now.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 9
The CDC website has this interesting data about levels of Covid 19 detected in wastewater. The data is very scattershot (none from Oregon, from what I can tell). Just speaking as an interested citizen, but shouldn't we be investing more resources in this? covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
Again, not an expert, just a citizen, but it strikes me that this sort of data would offer us a much more accurate and easily attainable picture of the rate of community spread in specific places at specific times. What a great risk management tool for individuals.
For example, let's say I work as a cashier at a supermarket and I see that levels of Covid 19 in that community have suddenly spiked upward. I might then decide to upgrade my masking on the basis of that information.
Read 10 tweets

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