Latest view on England mechanical ventilator beds (with a positive covid test), as of 8am on 13-Feb.
The count is now 348, equivalent to around 05-Jul (i.e. 223 days ago), a reduction of 43 (11%) in the last week.
The count is now 348, equivalent to around 05-Jul (i.e. 223 days ago), a reduction of 43 (11%) in the last week.
Latest view on England patients with a positive covid test currently in hospital, as of 8am on 13-Feb.
The count is now 10,049, a reduction of 1480 (13%) in the last week.
The count is now 10,049, a reduction of 1480 (13%) in the last week.
Latest view on England covid hospital admissions (as of 13-Feb) with 996 reported for 11-Feb.
The 7 day average is now 1167, equivalent to around 22-Dec (i.e. 48 days ago), a reduction of 194 (14%) in the last week.
The 7 day average is now 1167, equivalent to around 22-Dec (i.e. 48 days ago), a reduction of 194 (14%) in the last week.
Charts by England NHS Region of Admissions, Patients and Mechanical Ventilator Beds per 100K of population (to allow relative comparison).
Plus a set extended out to 400 days to give a bit more historical context.
Age ranges of England hospital admissions. Note this age-range data lags a day or so behind the above totals data.
Percentage view of age ranges of England hospital admissions.
Some additional content (mainly variations of the above charts) is available here: …ddatashare.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/Hospital/Hospi…
Selection of models from the 13-Oct SPI-M-O document for Autumn/Winter scenarios with the latest actuals.
Unusually, they have under-estimated but still goes to show how (as stated by the modellers themselves) they are not a reliable indicator of what will actually happen.
Unusually, they have under-estimated but still goes to show how (as stated by the modellers themselves) they are not a reliable indicator of what will actually happen.
The most optimistic models for Admissions / Deaths from the 11-Dec LSHTM report on potential consequences of Omicron, with latest actuals applied.
Note that the report is marked as "PRELIMINARY � NOT PEER REVIEWED" and "work in progress".
Note that the report is marked as "PRELIMINARY � NOT PEER REVIEWED" and "work in progress".
Imperial "Hypothetical Country" Omicron Deaths Model from 16-Dec Report with latest England actuals applied in red. A bit rough due to low resolution input image but good enough to illustrate how the model doesn't match England reality.
Warwick 30-Dec projections for Omicron. Main charts from document for Omicron at 50% severe as Delta and dark red for no further restrictions.
The model projected roughly 74,548 deaths from 01-Jan to 08-Feb while the actuals have been 8,324 (89% lower).
The model projected roughly 74,548 deaths from 01-Jan to 08-Feb while the actuals have been 8,324 (89% lower).
Also included in the 30-Dec Warwick doc (considerably less prominently) is a model for Omicron at 10% severe as Delta with 20% restrictions.
The model projected roughly 15,394 deaths from 01-Jan to 08-Feb while the actuals have been 8,324 (46% lower).
The model projected roughly 15,394 deaths from 01-Jan to 08-Feb while the actuals have been 8,324 (46% lower).
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