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Feb 16 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
NEW—US senior administration official: Yesterday, Russian government said it was pulling troops away from the border of Ukraine. That’s false. In fact, Russia has increased its troop presence by at least 7,000. (Biden said 150K troops yday.) No specifics given to support claim.
Senior admin official: Russia could use false pretext to invade Ukraine "at any time." US has seen increase of false claims including alleged mass grave of ppl killed by Ukraine forces; west mercenaries fighting; biological weapons being prepared for use against Russian-speakers.
Senior admin official: VP Kamala Harris will speak Saturday at Munich Security Conference. In speech, will address situation on Ukraine borders, Russian aggression, latest state of play. Themes include “remarkable unity achieved” while coordinating responses to Russian aggression
VP Harris will underscore how that strength will help the West to respond to Russia and will generally talk about the importance of transatlantic cooperation. She'll talk about how a new invasion will "leave Russia weaker, not stronger," and will meet Ukrainian President Zelensky

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More from @ChristopherJM

Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 17
Russia-backed forces shelled the music room of a kindergarten in far-eastern Stanytsia Luhanska, Luhansk region, at 9am this morning, according to local reports, local city admin, & NGO Proliska. Children were present but unharmed. Two teachers said to have suffered concussions. ImageImage
The shelling comes amid a flurry of reports today from Russian state media & local Moscow-backed separatists on Telegram of Ukrainian shelling and provocations — none of which have been confirmed. The concern is that these may create a pretext for Moscow to launch a new attack.
Kyiv, the US, NATO, and Western governments have been warning for weeks and increasingly in recent days that Russia could stage "false flag" attacks to justify a new invasion of Ukraine. There is of course precedent for this in this eight-year war.
Read 6 tweets
Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 16
New @Maxar satellite images from the past 48 hours continue to show heightened military activity in Belarus, Crimea, and western Russia. Pics below are from Feb. 15 and show a new pontoon bridge over the Prypyat River in Belarus.
Armored vehicles, troops, and military equipment at the Brest railyard and Brestsky training area in Belarus. Feb. 16. 📸: @Maxar
Deployed troops and equipment at the Zyabrovka airbase in Belarus, Feb. 10, Feb. 15. The third image from Feb. 15 shows new attack helicopters. 📸: @Maxar
Read 9 tweets
Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 16
NOW: Speaking in Brussels, NATO's @jensstoltenberg calls the Russian threat vs Ukraine the "most serious security crisis in decades."

"There are signs from Moscow diplomacy should continue. But so far we see no signs of de-escalation on the ground, not troops or equipment."
"Russia maintains a massive invasion force ready to attack," @jensstoltenberg says. Russia's military buildup around Ukraine is "the biggest concentration of forces in Europe since the Cold War."
.@jensstoltenberg says Russia's military moves show it is willing to contest the fundamental principles of Europe's security, including by using force.

"This is the new normal in Europe."
Read 4 tweets
Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 15
I FaceTimed with a Ukrainian lieutenant on the frontline in the Donbas tonight. Here’s what he had to say. (Lightly edited for clarity, brevity.) ‘Things are stable at the moment. Russian attacks and shelling have not been stronger or weaker in recent days.’
‘Today Russian forces shot at two of our positions and fired a couple of grenades from an underbarrel grenade launcher. The last four hours has been silent. But it won’t stay that way.’
‘Drones have become much more frequent as the weather has improved. We now have a clear sky and this is very bad. The enemy uses drones with thermal imaging to locate us. They’ve dropped explosives from them too.’
Read 5 tweets
Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 15
In Ukraine right now, hackers are attacking state-owned Privatbank & Oschadbank, as well as Ministry of Defense. ATMs & banking services interrupted. MOD and Armed Forces websites are down (picture below). Confirmed by gov's Center for Strategic Comms and Info Security of Ukraine
Not all ATMs and banking systems affected. Here’s @Kiehart checking for us.
The reason this is noteworthy is because a conventional Russian military strike is likely to be proceeded by/launched in conjunction with cyberattacks. Russia's done this over the years. A cyberattack last month was attributed to Belarus & Russian groups. buzzfeednews.com/article/christ…
Read 5 tweets
Christopher Miller Profile picture
Feb 15
New batch of @Maxar satellite 📸 show Russia's continuing buildup in the past 48 hours. Increased military activity in Belarus, Crimea, and western Russia. This is Rechitsa, Belarus, showing Russian troops, equipment, and departures.
Image from Machulishchy airfield in Belarus shows Mi-26 Soviet/Russian heavy transport helicopters.
📸 @Maxar
These images show troop transport and ground attack helicopters near Lake Donuzlav, in Russia-occupied Crimea. 📸 @Maxar
Read 9 tweets

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