When my lab set out to develop SARSCoV2 protease inhibtors based on the approved HCV drug boceprevir, we figured SARSCoV2 would persist for decades due to slow vaccination, vaccine waning/escape allowing endemicity, or reintroduction from animal reservoirs. All have become true.
We reported the first SARSCoV2 protease inhibitor based on boceprevir with very high affinity (IC50 ≤ 12nM) in 9/2020. It was our first drug candidate, tested by 4 very smart and dedicated academic scientists, and funded by $20k in FastGrants by @patrickc biorxiv.org/content/10.110…
In April 2021, Pfizer announced PF07321332 (nirmatrelvir, the active ingredient in Paxlovid) with a similar structure, the main difference being the replacement of the ketoamide reactive group of boceprevir with a nitrile group
Pfizer likes to say they had 300 scientists making and testing 800 structures to derive PF07321332 from the very different PF00835231, which they had made against SARSCoV1 protease ~15 years ago. cen.acs.org/pharmaceutical…
But it's clearly more likely Pfizer read the public academic papers showing boceprevir binding to SARSCoV2 protease, available since June 2020, then made a few structures based on boceprevir, as we did, to get nirmatrelvir. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Ironic that Pfizer would prefer to claim they had to make and test 800 compounds because they didn't read the literature. In academics that kind of approach would earn you a grant denial. But the public ends up paying for industry inefficiency anyway in the form of drug prices.
Pfizer's selection of the nitrile reactive group (warhead) was important because it improved cell permeability and oral bioavailability. Thus nirmatrelvir can reach very high levels in the blood after oral ingestion. Another company, Pardes, also use the nitrile, based on patents
With SARSCoV2's rapid genomic diversification in humans and other animals, and the posssibility of new coronavirus epidemics, we will need multiple types of protease inhibitors. Hopefully we've now learned that we must be prepared for the future, not react to the past and present
One worry is that the SARSCoV2 pool may contain mutants that resist Pfizer of Pardes protease inhibitors and that may get selected after these inhibitors become widely used. This has gotten some attention recently.
As Pfizer and Pardes (which raised $200M) are covering nitrile-based SARSCoV2 inhibitors, we continue to work on non-nitrile inhibitors. We recently expanded ML1000 to make a series of orally bioavailable drugs (thx to @Stanford_ChEMH, Coulter Foundation, and Fast Grants again).
Today I'll reveal how well our drugs work on SARSCoV2 protease mutants. S144A is a mutation found in the natural viral gene pool that resists Paxlovid (described in FDA's info for prescribers). We've confirmed our drugs work equally well on original and S144A. Here's one, ML1006a
As seen above, ML1006a works better than PF07321332/nirmaltrelvir/Paxlovid on original protease ("wildtype", WT). And Paxlovid loses activity against S144A by ~10-fold, whereas ML1006a is not affected at all. Below is a second example, with another of our drugs named ML109m.
So far it appears that the resistance by S144A is related to the use of the nitrile warhead. When we compare the same structure with nitrile vs a ketoamide warhead (the one originally from boceprevir), we see the S144A resists the nitrile but not the ketoamide.
It remains to be seen if this will hold true for all nitrile compounds and all ketoamide compounds, but these results indicate it's crucial to not rely on one type of reactive group such as the nitrile. Rather, diversification of SARSCoV2 requires us to diversity our drugs too.
And while a nitrile warhead is one way to enhance oral delivery, it's not the only way. We've recently achieved oral bioavailability without nitriles via some imaginative chemistry (patented, sorry Pfizer). This may be a route to drugs better than Paxlovid even on nonmutant virus
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Novavax announced their vaccine protects adolescents from Delta infection by 80% (95% CI, 47-92%) after dose 2 vs placebo. Side effects were stated as similar or milder than adults.
To compare to RNA vaccines, we can look at Pfizer results. In one study Pfizer protection was 91% at week 3 after dose 2. It appears in the high 80s at week 2 and 4. medpagetoday.com/infectiousdise…
Another study had Pfizer protection at 93% between weeks 1 and 3. So Novavax appears close, maybe the same (difference is well within the CI). Antibody levels are higher with Novavax in adults so you might have expected better VE. nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
In "The lessons of Lander", @ScienceMagazine chief editor @hholdenthorp points out WH hasn't fulfilled its pledge to revitalize our scientific agencies.
What we need: clear deadlines for NIH, FDA, and OSTP appointments, and accountability at HHS and CDC
Here's one calm sentence that is nevertheless alarming in pointing out the danger we are in. There's been a complete absence of government leadership in this epidemic; no wonder the only people in charge seem to be company CEOs.
The entire article is worth reading; it ends with a call to quickly fill our scientific leadership positions.
This shouldn't be hard, given the number of scientific/medical leaders in the US. Just search beyond 1º of separation from the WH, and make competence the only criterion
Essentially type 2 statistical errors are errors. And relying on those errors to hold back useful interventions led to deadly lack-of-recommendations by public health agencies
@DLeonhardt Good to see inaction on boosters for J&J cited as one of the examples. Seems the CDC would like to ignore #JnJers so it's good to be reminded that they have been treated badly.
Also good to mention again the FDA officials opposed to boosters (who still insist they are correct!)
Only thing I'd add: anti-intervention messages get traction citing "lack of solid data" precisely because newspapers, including (especially?) the @nytimes, publishes articles featuring them. Often these are news articles citing "experts" with a track record of being wrong.
This study aims to address what is necessary for high levels of Omicron immunity. As we should define adjectives quantitatively if possible (thinking of a particular big pharma), we can define "high levels" as those associated with >75% disease protection in clinical observations
So let's take a look at the findings. They're very comprehensive, so there are a lot of comparisons to parse. Unfortunately graphs are arranged by # of vax doses, not # of immunity events (ugh). I hope you like brainteasers.
Today in Science, two prominent viral drug experts express concerns about molnupiravir, Merck's mutagenic COVID pill: 1. Mutating patient DNA not ruled out 2. Mutating viral genomes for sure, risk unknown
Raymond Schinazi is a well known antiviral drug developer, called the "King of the Pills". His wikipedia page lists the many marketed HIV and HCV drugs he has developed based on nucleoside analogues like molnupiravir. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
In fact Schinazi is the one person who has the most knowledge of molnupiravir (MOV). He's been studying its active metabolite NHC as an antiviral since 2003 (PMID 12499198). He didn't push it to clinic because of mutagenesis concerns. That comes out clearly above, but also below
The article reveals many things not publicly known earlier.
First, Merck had (like my own lab and others) found boceprevir to have some activity against SARSCoV2. Not too surprising, as boceprevir is a HCV protease inhibitor, and SARSCoV2 protease is homologous to HCV protease.
I had emailed Merck to let them know in case they didn't already. But I expected the to know, and this confirms it. They determined that is was unlikely to work well for COVID19 on its own, but Merck was in a good position to modify it to work better, but they didn't.