Thread with reasons as to why i picked each fighter and potential scenarios in each fight. Likes and RTs appreciated, took some time ⬇️ 🥊 #UFCVegas48 #MMATwitter #UFCPicks
Mario Bautista 🇺🇸 (-300) 3u
Only big favourite of the night im backing, unlucky last time out against Trevin. Perrin is taking it on short notice and i dont think hes anything special, expect Bautista to do whatever he wants to him. Keeping it short and sweet with this one.
Only big favourite of the night im backing, unlucky last time out against Trevin. Perrin is taking it on short notice and i dont think hes anything special, expect Bautista to do whatever he wants to him. Keeping it short and sweet with this one.
Jesse Strader 🇺🇸 (+210) 1u
Honestly think this is more of a toss up than the odds suggest. Chad looked decent on the contender considering i thought he’d probably loose. Although nothing special, seems like a grinder.
Honestly think this is more of a toss up than the odds suggest. Chad looked decent on the contender considering i thought he’d probably loose. Although nothing special, seems like a grinder.
He did hurt his opponent a few times and honestly could have been scored either way. Jesse has big power and maybe a bit wilder, he has a nasty combo of hooks to the body then comes up top. But is that enough at this level?
Also the experience isnt as far apart as it seems, if you add in Jesses amateur career. Expect a fun fight and at +210 i cant not bet Jesse.
Gloria de Paula 🇧🇷 (+110) 2u
Gloria has had a rough run so far, Frey fought a smart fight and exposed her ground game. Although i dont think Belbita will look to take this one to the ground, could we potentially see Gloria take her down though?
Gloria has had a rough run so far, Frey fought a smart fight and exposed her ground game. Although i dont think Belbita will look to take this one to the ground, could we potentially see Gloria take her down though?
Unlucky in her 2nd outing against Cheyanne, just caught on her way up, razor close too. Her UFC record this far dosent reflect her correctly imo. I didn’t think Belbita looked great against Goldy,
see kept getting caught with high kicks and is succeptable to rushing and getting taken down/countered. I would say Gloria has the better fight IQ, and believe Gloria picks up her first win in the UFC here.
Christian Rodriguez 🇺🇸 (+300) 1.33u
Rodriguez looked phenomenal on the contender crisp strking and great takedown defense, as well as mixing in his own. JSP is a great wrestler although i feel this late replacement is a harder fight than the bout he originally had scheduled.
Rodriguez looked phenomenal on the contender crisp strking and great takedown defense, as well as mixing in his own. JSP is a great wrestler although i feel this late replacement is a harder fight than the bout he originally had scheduled.
The only positive case i can make for JSP is Rodriguez is coming up a weight class so how does his TDD hold up with a stronger guy? But at +300 i have to take Rodriguez to pick up a win in his promotional debut.
Chas Skelly 🇺🇸 (-200) 2u
Chas Skelly has been out for a while, unfortunate circumstances last time out, that was a first! I think he’ll simply be too much for Striegl and probably wrestle him to a decision.
Chas Skelly has been out for a while, unfortunate circumstances last time out, that was a first! I think he’ll simply be too much for Striegl and probably wrestle him to a decision.
Jessica-Rose Clark 🇦🇺 (-175) 1.75u
Jessica had a great striking performance around 18months ago, followed up by a dominant grappling performance last time out. Nice to see her improving in all aspects of her game,
Jessica had a great striking performance around 18months ago, followed up by a dominant grappling performance last time out. Nice to see her improving in all aspects of her game,
I don’t feel all the negativity was fair about her last performance. Expect her to build on that in her coming fights. I think the path to victory here is to keep it a striking affair, although nice to know she has a decent ground game.
As if they get in to clinch situations expect Egger to look for judo throws, although as stated im expecting Jessica to show a well rounded game and if taken to the mat to return to her feet.
Feel shes putting it all together and this is her time imo and shes gona go on a bit of a run, i look at those top 15 and see no reason why she cant get there.
David Onama 🇺🇬 (-161) 3.2u
Didnt know much against Onama going into his debut, up a weight class on short notice. What a performance considering. I think this will be a striker vs grappler match up.
Didnt know much against Onama going into his debut, up a weight class on short notice. What a performance considering. I think this will be a striker vs grappler match up.
Onama does have a well rounded game and i can see him holding his own on the feet, but I’d imagine him and the team at Glory have watched Benítez vs Billy and will base their game plan around this fight.
I expect Onama to dominate the grappling exchanges, and based on his last performance although a lot of quick stoppages on his record cardio shouldnt be an issue. Again here i think you also have to factor in Onamas amateur career. You could say i expect Onama to drown Mougly.
Abdul Razak Alhassan 🇬🇭 (+150) 2u
What can i say about this one? Someone’s getting put to sleep. I would say Alhassan has the lion’s share in the first 7.5min of getting the KO, and after that Buckley probably KOs him or it hits the scorecards.
What can i say about this one? Someone’s getting put to sleep. I would say Alhassan has the lion’s share in the first 7.5min of getting the KO, and after that Buckley probably KOs him or it hits the scorecards.
At +150 its hard not to take Abdul, Buckley was caught early against Di Chirico and man that was a nastly head kick by Adbul last time out.
Jim Miller 🇺🇸 (+150) 1.33u
The biggest experience difference in UFC history, how can you not take the veteran at +150. Miller also coming off his first KO win in quite a while, although he did get cracked once or twice.
The biggest experience difference in UFC history, how can you not take the veteran at +150. Miller also coming off his first KO win in quite a while, although he did get cracked once or twice.
Expect Motta to come out pumped up looking for the early KO and Miller to set up the TDs with his strikes. Would predict a Miller sub.
Alan Baudot 🇫🇷 (+225) 1.33u
Parker Porter has been a good underdog pick for me recently, but i find it hard to not fade him here and take Baudot at +225. Porter has some good subs, is quite ploddy on the feet but has good leg kicks.
Parker Porter has been a good underdog pick for me recently, but i find it hard to not fade him here and take Baudot at +225. Porter has some good subs, is quite ploddy on the feet but has good leg kicks.
Baudot has had a rough time at it so far, but did debut against the streaking Aspinall and almost had the 1st round KO last time out before gassing himself out in the 2nd. Baudot also trains out of the MMA Factory,
its no secret that they’ve had some great recent success at heavyweight. I feel this is Baudots chance to show he belongs at the big show.
Kyle Daukaus 🇺🇸 (-225) 3.38u
Jamie Pickett is another whos been kind to me recently as an underdog. But he is quite frustrating to watch, he strikes quite scared i would say and then rushes in for the clinch. I think Daukas will do well enough on the feet,
Jamie Pickett is another whos been kind to me recently as an underdog. But he is quite frustrating to watch, he strikes quite scared i would say and then rushes in for the clinch. I think Daukas will do well enough on the feet,
Picketts low volume will help and feel he will either sub him or grind out a decision win. Daukaus may also catch Pickett in a standing darce, as he’s rushing in trying to clinch.
Johnny Walker 🇧🇷 (+200) 1u
If the odds were closer I’d pick Hill, but with the nature and unpredictability of Walker its hard not too take a guy like him at +200. Then again if you look at his last fight,
If the odds were closer I’d pick Hill, but with the nature and unpredictability of Walker its hard not too take a guy like him at +200. Then again if you look at his last fight,
he has a chance to win a decision in a slow paced fight now, which this could turn out to be. The gameplan for Hill would be to control the distance and keep his shots straight, not overextend and expose himself to Walker who would jump on the opportunity.
Keep it tight and if he hurts Walker then open up a bit. Which he is good at and this would cause a lot of frustration for Walker. But ill go with Walker for the odds, along with the experience and unpredictability.
I also think although not the most exciting fight 25mins last time out against a heavy handed Santos is a great learning experience. Peieria is in his corner alao and they’re pretty good friends,
thats a big help for Johnny as they’ve got a sinilar style and Peieria has learned how to be more efficient with his game. Perhaps Walker could suprise a few utilising his grappling in this one.
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