Today, at least 7 US ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), ARTEMIS (BRIO68); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE10), RC-135W (JAKE11), RC-135U (HOMER69), E-8C (REDEYE6). 1/6 Image
There was also an eighth aircraft, another USAF RQ-4 with bogus hex #000001. This aircraft is flying over Greece at the time of posting. 2/6
I covered FORTE10's flight in yesterday's map, but it is worth noticing the similarity in location of the RQ-4 with the E-8C and RC-135W. With the distance it is flying from Kyiv, it's possible that this adjustment could be in response to nearby IADS.
3/6
I quickly threw together this graphic, showing a hypothetical S-400 inside Belarus, showing the 40N6E at 400km range and the 48N6E3 at 250km range. I do not have any evidence to suggest there is a system of this type at this location. Thanks to @vcdgf555 for her help on this. 4/6 Image
An interesting note is the lack of P-8 flights today. The RC-135U was looking at the Lebanese coast instead; on the same path as she flew last December. (In the attached map, the blue path is today's HOMER69 and the purple path is December's HOMER11.)
5/6 Image
YANK01 88-00325 #AE515E
YANK02 91-00516 #AE1208
JAKE11 62-4134 #AE01CE
REDEYE6 95-0121 #AE1491
HOMER69 64-14849 #AE01D5
BRIO68 N488CR #A60693
FORTE10 #AE541A
#ADSB
6/6

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More from @ameliairheart

Feb 22
Today, at least 13 NATO ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: USN P-8As (4 PS21x, PS20x); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE11), E-8C (REDEYE6), RC-135U (HOMER19); US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), ARTEMIS (BRIO68); NATO RQ-4D (UAVGH000); German Navy P-3C (GNY4530). 1/5 Image
Despite the P-8 activity in the Ionian Sea being regular these past few days, today was the first day I am including it due to recently hearing about Russian naval operations in the area.

2/5
Using this map from @lemonodor, we can look at what the RC-135U may be interested in; in this case, possible GPS interference.

3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20
Today, at least 8 US and Ukrainian ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: USAF RC-135W (JAKE12), RC-135V (HOMER71), WC-135W (JAKE21), RQ-4s (no callsign [possible FORTE12?], FORTE11); USN P-8A (PL20x); Ukrainian TB2 (12345688); NATO RQ-4D (UAVGH000) 1/8 Image
Again we see an overall lighter day, with few P-8s in the eastern Med but with a P-8 observing the Gibraltar Strait. Two Rivet Joints providing coverage of the Belarus-Ukraine border and of Crimea, with 24-hour RQ-4 coverage of the same areas, this time with an added TB2. 2/8
Per @CSIS, the area focused on by the TB2 can be shown to be busy with Russian ground forces: 3/8
Read 8 tweets
Jan 24
Earlier today, eight ISR aircraft from the US, UK and Sweden flew over the Baltics, Ukraine, & the North & Celtic Seas: USN P-8A (PK249); US Army ARTEMIS (BRIO68); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE12); USAF RC-135W (JAKE11) Swedish S102B & S100D (SVF623, C604); RAF P-8As (RFR7041, RFR7040). 1/6
This is the second RQ-4 flight to make this pattern in the last week, making use of the same airframe. There is a possibility that we will see the return of the daily RQ-4 flights over and around Ukraine. 2/6
All of the approximate unit locations reported by @konrad_muzyka are covered by the line-of-sight range of the RQ-4, giving us a better idea of what she's focusing on. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Jan 22
Earlier today, five ISR aircraft from the US, Sweden, and Ukraine flew over the Baltics, Ukraine, and the North Sea: USN P-8A (PK22x), US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), Ukrainian TB2 (1235678), Swedish S100D (SVF604). 1/3 Image
The Ukrainian TB2 briefly transmitted (~12 minutes) along the Crimean border, tracking west back to Mykolaiv. It is possible, based on prior flights, that she spent some time over the Donbas region. 2/3
SVF604 100004 #4A8220 from Malmen AB, SE
PK22x #AE67DE from Keflavík, IS
YANK01 88-00325 #AE515E from Šiauliai, LT
YANK02 91-00516 #AE1208 from Šiauliai, LT
12345678 #001071 from Mykolaiv AB, UA
3/3
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18
Earlier today, ten ISR aircraft from multiple NATO members flew over the Baltics and Ukraine:
USN P-8A (PK18x)
US Army RC-12Xs (YANK01 & YANK03)
USAF RC-135W (JAKE11)
USAF E-8C (REDEYE6)
RAF P-8A (GURNY01)
RAF RC-135W (RRR7205)
Swedish S100D (SVF604)
Swedish S102B (SVF623)
1/5
Norwegian 20ECM (NOW717H)
German P-3C (GNY4500).

Callsigns, Registrations, Hexes:
PK18x #AE68AA from Keflavík, IS
JAKE11 62-4134 #AE01CE from RAF Mildenhall, UK
REDEYE6 01-2005 #AE1499 from Ramstein AB, DE
YANK03 & YANK01 88-00325 #AE515E from Šiauliai, LT
3/5
RRR7205 ZZ665 #43C39C from RAF Waddington, UK
GURNY01 ZP801 #43C918 from RAF Lossiemouth, UK
SVF623 102003 #4A81F8 from Malmen AB, SE
SVF604 100004 #4A8220 from Malmen AB, SE
NOW717H 053 #478121 from Gardermoen AS, NO
GNY4500 60+08 #3F6008 from Nordholz AB, DE #ADSB 4/5
Read 5 tweets

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