Car Dealership Guy Profile picture
Feb 22, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read Read on X
As predicted:

Wholesale Used Car prices DECLINED 1.5% in the first 15 days of February.

This is ONLY the beginning 👇
According to Manheim:

"The latest trends in the key indicators suggest wholesale used-vehicle values will likely see FURTHER declines in the second half of the month."

(Source: Manheim Used Car Index)
Called this in January… Follow me @GuyDealership for more insights
Worth noting that there have been lots of “No sales” at auctions recently.

“No sale” is when a dealer doesn’t get the wholesale price they want for a car and chooses not to sell it.

If these cars were to be sold, the market index would be even LOWER.

Anecdotal, but still.

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More from @GuyDealership

Jan 2
Never have I received some many DMs about a post.

Here's a summary of the Carvana ($CVNA) allegations by Hindenburg Research:

1) Hindenburg is alleging that Carvana is engaging in financial misconduct, including $800 million in loan sales to a suspected undisclosed related party.

2) Despite these allegations, Carvana's stock rose by 284% in 2024, indicating that investors are expressing confidence in the company's recovery.

3) Carvana is being accused of using accounting manipulation and lax underwriting to inflate income, while insiders are reportedly cashing out billions.

4) Carvana’s business model involves selling auto loans, with a significant portion being subprime, which is leading to high delinquency rates.

5) The company is being valued at an 845% higher sales multiple compared to peers, suggesting overvaluation despite the allegations.

6) Carvana is reporting positive net income for three consecutive quarters, showing some financial stability.

7) Claims are surfacing that Carvana’s related-party transactions might be artificially inflating its profitability (wholesale vehicle sales to DriveTime)

8) Carvana’s CEO’s father, Ernest Garcia II, is selling substantial amounts of stock, potentially signaling concerns about the company’s future.

9) The stock experienced volatile trading following Hindenburg's report, initially dropping but later recovering.

10) Questions are remaining about the sustainability of Carvana’s business model given the economic headwinds and the reliance on subprime loans.

Right now, what surprises me most is that the stock price is staying relatively unfazed.

Tough to tell if this is a big "nothingburger" or real cause for concern... What do you think?
Below is the podcast I recorded a couple of weeks back with CEO of Carvana

Have offered Ernie the opportunity to return to the podcast to address all these allegations head on.

Hypothetically, if he were to come back on, what would you want me to ask?

dealershipguy.com/videos/the-ris…
Scared to check in on the comments section... Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 20, 2024
BREAKING

You might not own an electric vehicle by 2032, after all.

The EPA is *easing* its emissions rule ramp-up after major concerns from the car industry.

Percentage of EVs by 2032:

Previous plan: 67%
Current plan: 30-56%

Dealers and consumers - how do you feel about this?

Tell me below.

Will compile responses and summarize sentiment.

(via EPA, Auto News)
Read 4 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
True or false:

You should LEASE if you’re optimizing for lifestyle.
You should BUY if you’re optimizing for value.

Don't touch another car before reading this: Image
First, let's breakdown the differences:

Leasing offers more flexibility than outright buying, but it comes at a price.

You don't get to keep the car you've paid towards at the end of the 3-year term.

Instead, here's what you do get:
— Lower monthly payments (with some exceptions)
— Never worrying about repairs
— Ability to upgrade your vehicle every 3 years

On the other hand, buying is (typically) a savvier financial decision, but it requires a bigger cash outlay upfront.

The best part?
Read 9 tweets
Sep 14, 2023
Just in:

A major bank is rumored to be exiting the auto lending business tomorrow.

They have over 3,000 dealer partners nationwide.

Unconfirmed but from a highly credible source, as always.

Will keep you posted.
Every 3 weeks I send an email.

It contains car market and economic insights to make you smarter.

I’ll share the official bank announcement in my next email.

it’s 100% free to join: dealershipguy.com
Feels like i’m breaking news like this once every two weeks at this point. Just crazy.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 15, 2023
My tweets get 100M+ impressions per month.

Time for an experiment…

Let’s get your car sold on Twitter 😊

Sellers: Post a 1-sentence description of your car and the price.

Buyers: Tell us what car you’re looking to buy and your budget.
A “Twitter Marketplace” would be huge. Something for the roadmap 😊

(cc @evanstnlyjones / @ptraughber)
@evanstnlyjones @ptraughber Deals already getting done in the comments section. Amazing.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 9, 2023
2024 Lexus GX 🤯 Image
What do we think?
@buccocapital thnx for highlighting this!
Read 4 tweets

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