The US intelligence community should get a Pulitzer this year for its predictive work on Russian intentions and actions.
We rightly bash them when they get things wrong. But wow, have they performed well in this period! They’ve gotten every major aspect of Russian behavior correct a few weeks in advance, allowing policymakers to think through responses and act quickly when things happen.
Their accuracy has also allowed President Biden wholly to deprive Putin of the element of surprise or trickery.
Also, credit to Biden and his people for making so much of the top line intelligence public. These decisions have real costs in terms of sources and methods. But in this case, it has played a huge role in getting the world behind an appropriately strong response.
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